Llantwit Major vs Trethomas Bluebirds: prediction and stats
FAW ChampionshipSouth - 28Kick-off on April 3, 2027 at 01:30 PM (UTC)Windmill Ground, Llantwit Major
The Footlab AI model makes Llantwit Major the favourite at 40%, against 23% for a draw and 37% for Trethomas Bluebirds. The most likely score is 1-1. If Llantwit Major wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 2,788 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 18, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Llantwit Major vs Trethomas Bluebirds?
A very open match: only 40 Elo points separate Llantwit Major (1,551) and Trethomas Bluebirds (1,591).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Llantwit Major vs Trethomas Bluebirds
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Llantwit Major
Not enough data to predict the Llantwit Major lineup.
Trethomas Bluebirds
Not enough data to predict the Trethomas Bluebirds lineup.
Computed on October 18, 2026 at 07:47 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Llantwit Major have 2 wins, 3 draws and 10 defeats; Trethomas Bluebirds have 3, 7 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Trefelin(away) | 1-4 | Welsh Cup |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Pontardawe Town(home) | 1-1 | FAW Championship |
| Oct 6, 2026 | Pontypridd Town(away) | 1-4 | FAW Championship |
| Oct 2, 2026 | Carmarthen Town(away) | 2-1 | FAW Championship |
| Sep 26, 2026 | llanelli AFC(home) | 2-0 | FAW Championship |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 16, 2026 | Cambrian & Clydach(away) | 0-5 | Welsh Cup |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Treowen Stars(away) | 3-1 | FAW Championship |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Pontardawe Town(home) | 2-3 | FAW Championship |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Ynyshir Albions(away) | 1-1 | FAW Championship |
| Sep 4, 2026 | Caerphilly Athletic(home) | 2-2 | FAW Championship |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 1 Llantwit Major win, 2 draws, 1 Trethomas Bluebirds win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Dec 5, 2025 | Trethomas Bluebirds 2-2 Llantwit Major | FAW Championship |
| Sep 6, 2025 | Llantwit Major 2-1 Trethomas Bluebirds | FAW Championship |
| Sep 27, 2024 | Trethomas Bluebirds 1-1 Llantwit Major | FAW Championship |
| Jul 27, 2024 | Llantwit Major 0-1 Trethomas Bluebirds | FAW Championship |
Last archived meeting: Trethomas Bluebirds vs Llantwit Major on Dec 5, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Llantwit Major score 1.1 and concede 2.7 goals per match over their last 15; Trethomas Bluebirds score 1.9 and concede 2.3. The model gives a 68% probability of over 2.5 goals and 69% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Llantwit Major | 1.1 | 2.7 | 1 | 11/15 | 11/15 |
| Trethomas Bluebirds | 1.9 | 2.3 | 1 | 13/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Llantwit Major sit 15th in FAW Championship (8 points from 9 matches) and Trethomas Bluebirds sit 8th (13 points from 10 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Trethomas Bluebirds | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 20 | 18 | 13 |
| 15 | Llantwit Major | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 8 | 21 | 8 |
A question about Llantwit Major vs Trethomas Bluebirds?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Llantwit Major vs Trethomas Bluebirds?
- The Footlab AI model makes Llantwit Major the favourite at 40%, against 23% for a draw and 37% for Trethomas Bluebirds.
- Where and when is Llantwit Major vs Trethomas Bluebirds played?
- Llantwit Major vs Trethomas Bluebirds is played on April 3, 2027 at 01:30 PM (UTC) at Windmill Ground, in the FAW Championship.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 68% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.