Ynyshir Albions vs Baglan Dragons: prediction and stats
FAW ChampionshipSouth - 29Kick-off on April 10, 2027 at 01:30 PM (UTC)Ynyshir Oval, Porth
The Footlab AI model makes Ynyshir Albions the favourite at 48%, against 26% for a draw and 26% for Baglan Dragons. The most likely score is 1-1. If Ynyshir Albions wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 4,604 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 6, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Ynyshir Albions vs Baglan Dragons?
A very open match: only 18 Elo points separate Ynyshir Albions (1,496) and Baglan Dragons (1,478).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Ynyshir Albions vs Baglan Dragons
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Ynyshir Albions
Not enough data to predict the Ynyshir Albions lineup.
Baglan Dragons
Not enough data to predict the Baglan Dragons lineup.
Computed on November 6, 2026 at 12:46 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Ynyshir Albions have 5 wins, 6 draws and 4 defeats; Baglan Dragons have 6, 3 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 31, 2026 | Swansea University(home) | 4-2 | FAW Championship |
| Oct 16, 2026 | Cardiff MET(away) | 0-4 | Welsh Cup |
| Oct 10, 2026 | llanelli AFC(home) | 6-2 | FAW Championship |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Treowen Stars(away) | 2-1 | FAW Championship |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Trethomas Bluebirds(home) | 1-1 | FAW Championship |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 30, 2026 | Treowen Stars(home) | 0-1 | FAW Championship |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Llantwit Fardre(away) | 3-1 | Welsh Cup |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Pontypridd Town(home) | 1-1 | FAW Championship |
| Oct 2, 2026 | llanelli AFC(away) | 2-1 | FAW Championship |
| Sep 25, 2026 | Carmarthen Town(home) | 1-2 | FAW Championship |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 0 Ynyshir Albions wins, 1 draw, 1 Baglan Dragons win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 24, 2026 | Ynyshir Albions 0-0 Baglan Dragons | FAW Championship |
| Nov 7, 2025 | Baglan Dragons 2-1 Ynyshir Albions | FAW Championship |
Last archived meeting: Ynyshir Albions vs Baglan Dragons on Jan 24, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Ynyshir Albions score 1.5 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Baglan Dragons score 1.1 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 51% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ynyshir Albions | 1.5 | 1.5 | 4 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
| Baglan Dragons | 1.1 | 1.1 | 3 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Ynyshir Albions sit 5th in FAW Championship (19 points from 10 matches) and Baglan Dragons sit 6th (17 points from 12 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Ynyshir Albions | 10 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 19 | 11 | 19 |
| 6 | Baglan Dragons | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 12 | 13 | 17 |
A question about Ynyshir Albions vs Baglan Dragons?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Ynyshir Albions vs Baglan Dragons?
- The Footlab AI model makes Ynyshir Albions the favourite at 48%, against 26% for a draw and 26% for Baglan Dragons.
- Where and when is Ynyshir Albions vs Baglan Dragons played?
- Ynyshir Albions vs Baglan Dragons is played on April 10, 2027 at 01:30 PM (UTC) at Ynyshir Oval, in the FAW Championship.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 51% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
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- Apr 10, 2027Pontardawe TownvsPontypridd Town
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