Caerphilly Athletic vs Carmarthen Town: prediction and stats
FAW ChampionshipSouth - 28Kick-off on April 2, 2027 at 06:30 PM (UTC)
The Footlab AI model makes Carmarthen Town the favourite at 45%, against 22% for a draw and 33% for Caerphilly Athletic. The most likely score is 1-1. If Carmarthen Town wins, the most likely score is 1-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,457 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 16, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Caerphilly Athletic vs Carmarthen Town?
A very open match: only 89 Elo points separate Caerphilly Athletic (1,560) and Carmarthen Town (1,649).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Caerphilly Athletic vs Carmarthen Town
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Caerphilly Athletic
Not enough data to predict the Caerphilly Athletic lineup.
Carmarthen Town
Not enough data to predict the Carmarthen Town lineup.
Computed on October 16, 2026 at 07:17 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 14 matches in all competitions, Caerphilly Athletic have 4 wins, 3 draws and 7 defeats; Carmarthen Town have 6, 4 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 9, 2026 | Newport City(home) | 3-2 | FAW Championship |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Swansea University(away) | 1-3 | FAW Championship |
| Sep 25, 2026 | Pontypridd Town(home) | 1-2 | FAW Championship |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Aberystwyth Town(home) | 2-3 | FAW Championship |
| Sep 4, 2026 | Trethomas Bluebirds(away) | 2-2 | FAW Championship |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Cardiff Draconians(away) | 2-2 | FAW Championship |
| Oct 2, 2026 | Llantwit Major(home) | 1-2 | FAW Championship |
| Sep 25, 2026 | Baglan Dragons(away) | 2-1 | FAW Championship |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Ynyshir Albions(home) | 2-2 | FAW Championship |
| Aug 31, 2026 | Trethomas Bluebirds(home) | 2-3 | FAW Championship |
How many goals should we expect?
Caerphilly Athletic score 1.4 and concede 2.0 goals per match over their last 14; Carmarthen Town score 2.2 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 72% probability of over 2.5 goals and 71% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caerphilly Athletic | 1.4 | 2.0 | 2 | 10/14 | 11/14 |
| Carmarthen Town | 2.2 | 1.9 | 2 | 12/15 | 13/15 |
Over the last 14 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Caerphilly Athletic sit 11th in FAW Championship (11 points from 10 matches) and Carmarthen Town sit 7th (15 points from 10 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Carmarthen Town | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 22 | 21 | 15 |
| 11 | Caerphilly Athletic | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 12 | 19 | 11 |
A question about Caerphilly Athletic vs Carmarthen Town?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Caerphilly Athletic vs Carmarthen Town?
- The Footlab AI model makes Carmarthen Town the favourite at 45%, against 22% for a draw and 33% for Caerphilly Athletic.
- Where and when is Caerphilly Athletic vs Carmarthen Town played?
- Caerphilly Athletic vs Carmarthen Town is played on April 2, 2027 at 06:30 PM (UTC), in the FAW Championship.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 72% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.