Uzbekistan vs Jordan: prediction and stats
Asian CupGroup stage · Matchday 1Kick-off on January 8, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Milliy Stadium, Tashkent
The Footlab AI model makes Uzbekistan the favourite at 57%, against 24% for a draw and 19% for Jordan. The most likely score is 1-1. If Uzbekistan wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.1% of the 5,491 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Limited history for at least one of the two teams: read this prediction with caution.
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 12, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Uzbekistan vs Jordan?
On Elo ratings, Uzbekistan has 1,716 points and Jordan 1,661.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Uzbekistan vs Jordan
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Uzbekistan
4-2-3-1- 14E. Shomurodov
- 22A. Fayzullaev
- 6A. Mozgovoy
- 9O. Hamrobekov
- 17D. Khamdamov
- 10A. Gʻaniyev
- 2A. Khusanov
- 5J. Urozov
- 4B. Karimov
- 13S. Nasrullayev
- 12A. Ne'matov
Jordan
4-3-3- 9Ali Olwan
- 11Odeh Al Fakhouri
- 11O. Al Fakhouri
- 8Noor Al Rawabdeh
- 21Nizar Al Rashdan
- 20Mohannad Abu Taha
- 3Abdallah Naseeb
- 19Saed Al Rosan
- 2A. Badawi
- 5Yazan Al Arab
- 22Abdallah Al Fakhouri
Computed on November 12, 2026 at 01:22 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Uzbekistan have 5 wins, 3 draws and 7 defeats; Jordan have 5, 4 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 6, 2026 | South Korea(away) | 0-2 | Friendlies |
| Oct 1, 2026 | Syria(home) | 4-1 | Friendlies |
| Sep 24, 2026 | Iran(home) | 3-1 | Friendlies |
| Jun 27, 2026 | Congo DR(away) | 1-3 | World Cup |
| Jun 23, 2026 | Portugal(away) | 0-5 | World Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 6, 2026 | Venezuela(home) | 0-0 | Friendlies |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Syria(home) | 1-1 | Friendlies |
| Jun 28, 2026 | Argentina(home) | 1-3 | World Cup |
| Jun 23, 2026 | Algeria(home) | 1-2 | World Cup |
| Jun 17, 2026 | Austria(away) | 1-3 | World Cup |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 2 Uzbekistan wins, 1 draw, 1 Jordan win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 27, 2025 | Uzbekistan 0-0 Jordan | Friendlies |
| Oct 12, 2021 | Jordan 3-0 Uzbekistan | Friendlies |
| Feb 15, 2021 | Uzbekistan 2-0 Jordan | Friendlies |
| Jan 21, 2011 | Uzbekistan 2-1 Jordan | Asian Cup |
How many goals should we expect?
Uzbekistan score 1.5 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Jordan score 1.4 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 53% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Uzbekistan | 1.5 | 1.7 | 3 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
| Jordan | 1.4 | 1.6 | 4 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
A question about Uzbekistan vs Jordan?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Uzbekistan vs Jordan?
- The Footlab AI model makes Uzbekistan the favourite at 57%, against 24% for a draw and 19% for Jordan.
- Where and when is Uzbekistan vs Jordan played?
- Uzbekistan vs Jordan is played on January 8, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Milliy Stadium, in the Asian Cup.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 53% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.1% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.