Uzbekistan vs Jordan: prediction and stats
Asian CupGroup Stage - 1Kick-off on January 8, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Milliy Stadium, Tashkent
The Footlab model makes Uzbekistan the favourite at 47%, against 26% for a draw and 26% for Jordan. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Limited history for at least one of the two teams: read this prediction with caution.
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Uzbekistan vs Jordan?
A very open match: only 44 Elo points separate Uzbekistan (1,709) and Jordan (1,665).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Uzbekistan have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; Jordan have 5, 3 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 27, 2026 | Congo DR(away) | 1-3 | World Cup |
| Jun 23, 2026 | Portugal(away) | 0-5 | World Cup |
| Jun 18, 2026 | Colombia(home) | 1-3 | World Cup |
| Jun 8, 2026 | Netherlands(away) | 1-2 | Friendlies |
| Jun 2, 2026 | Canada(away) | 0-2 | Friendlies |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 28, 2026 | Argentina(home) | 1-3 | World Cup |
| Jun 23, 2026 | Algeria(home) | 1-2 | World Cup |
| Jun 17, 2026 | Austria(away) | 1-3 | World Cup |
| Jun 7, 2026 | Colombia(away) | 0-2 | Friendlies |
| May 31, 2026 | Switzerland(away) | 1-4 | Friendlies |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 2 Uzbekistan win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Jordan win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 27, 2025 | Uzbekistan 0-0 Jordan | Friendlies |
| Oct 12, 2021 | Jordan 3-0 Uzbekistan | Friendlies |
| Feb 15, 2021 | Uzbekistan 2-0 Jordan | Friendlies |
| Jan 21, 2011 | Uzbekistan 2-1 Jordan | Asian Cup |
How many goals should we expect?
Uzbekistan score 1.5 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Jordan score 1.5 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 51% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Uzbekistan | 1.5 | 1.5 | 6 | 7/15 | 9/15 |
| Jordan | 1.5 | 1.7 | 4 | 10/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Uzbekistan vs Jordan?
- The Footlab model makes Uzbekistan the favourite at 47%, against 26% for a draw and 26% for Jordan.
- Where and when is Uzbekistan vs Jordan played?
- Uzbekistan vs Jordan is played on January 8, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Milliy Stadium, in the Asian Cup.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 51% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.