Match

Balkan Botevgrad vs Levski Sofia II: prediction and stats

Third League - SouthwestSouthwest - 6Kick-off on September 5, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Hristo Botev Izkustven Teren, Botevgrad

Balkan BotevgradLevski Sofia II

The Footlab model makes Balkan Botevgrad the favourite at 57%, against 25% for a draw and 18% for Levski Sofia II. The most likely score is 1-0.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Balkan Botevgrad vs Levski Sofia II?

A very open match: only 90 Elo points separate Balkan Botevgrad (1,484) and Levski Sofia II (1,394).

Balkan Botevgrad win57 %
Draw25 %
Levski Sofia II win18 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Balkan Botevgrad have 6 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats; Levski Sofia II have 5, 3 and 7.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Balkan Botevgrad
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Botev Ihtiman(home)1-0Third League - Southwest
Aug 15, 2026Kyustendil(away)1-0Third League - Southwest
Aug 8, 2026Septemvri Simitli(home)1-2Third League - Southwest
Aug 1, 2026Strumska Slava(away)0-2Third League - Southwest
May 29, 2026Bansko(away)2-0Third League - Southwest
Levski Sofia II
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Slivnishki geroy(away)0-1Third League - Southwest
Aug 15, 2026Septemvri Sofia II(home)1-1Third League - Southwest
Aug 8, 2026Belasitsa(away)5-4Third League - Southwest
Aug 1, 2026Slavia Sofia II(away)0-1Third League - Southwest
May 29, 2026Septemvri Sofia II(home)0-2Third League - Southwest

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Balkan Botevgrad win(s), 2 draw(s), 2 Levski Sofia II win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
May 2, 2026Levski Sofia II 1-1 Balkan BotevgradThird League - Southwest
Oct 18, 2025Balkan Botevgrad 4-1 Levski Sofia IIThird League - Southwest
May 14, 2025Levski Sofia II 2-2 Balkan BotevgradThird League - Southwest
Oct 24, 2024Balkan Botevgrad 4-1 Levski Sofia IIThird League - Southwest
May 1, 2024Balkan Botevgrad 2-3 Levski Sofia IIThird League - Southwest
Oct 14, 2023Levski Sofia II 4-0 Balkan BotevgradThird League - Southwest

Last archived meeting: Levski Sofia II vs Balkan Botevgrad on May 2, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Balkan Botevgrad score 1.3 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Levski Sofia II score 1.1 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 47% probability of over 2.5 goals and 47% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Balkan Botevgrad1.31.176/155/15
Levski Sofia II1.11.245/154/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Balkan Botevgrad sit 11th in Third League - Southwest (6 points from 4 matches) and Levski Sofia II sit 13th (4 points from 4 matches).

2026 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
11Balkan Botevgrad4202346
13Levski Sofia II4112674

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Balkan Botevgrad vs Levski Sofia II?
The Footlab model makes Balkan Botevgrad the favourite at 57%, against 25% for a draw and 18% for Levski Sofia II.
Where and when is Balkan Botevgrad vs Levski Sofia II played?
Balkan Botevgrad vs Levski Sofia II is played on September 5, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Hristo Botev Izkustven Teren, in the Third League - Southwest.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 47% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Balkan Botevgrad and Levski Sofia II

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