Balkan Botevgrad vs Levski Sofia II: prediction and stats
Third League - SouthwestSouthwest - 6Kick-off on September 5, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Hristo Botev Izkustven Teren, Botevgrad
The Footlab model makes Balkan Botevgrad the favourite at 57%, against 25% for a draw and 18% for Levski Sofia II. The most likely score is 1-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Balkan Botevgrad vs Levski Sofia II?
A very open match: only 90 Elo points separate Balkan Botevgrad (1,484) and Levski Sofia II (1,394).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Balkan Botevgrad have 6 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats; Levski Sofia II have 5, 3 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Botev Ihtiman(home) | 1-0 | Third League - Southwest |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Kyustendil(away) | 1-0 | Third League - Southwest |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Septemvri Simitli(home) | 1-2 | Third League - Southwest |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Strumska Slava(away) | 0-2 | Third League - Southwest |
| May 29, 2026 | Bansko(away) | 2-0 | Third League - Southwest |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Slivnishki geroy(away) | 0-1 | Third League - Southwest |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Septemvri Sofia II(home) | 1-1 | Third League - Southwest |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Belasitsa(away) | 5-4 | Third League - Southwest |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Slavia Sofia II(away) | 0-1 | Third League - Southwest |
| May 29, 2026 | Septemvri Sofia II(home) | 0-2 | Third League - Southwest |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Balkan Botevgrad win(s), 2 draw(s), 2 Levski Sofia II win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 2, 2026 | Levski Sofia II 1-1 Balkan Botevgrad | Third League - Southwest |
| Oct 18, 2025 | Balkan Botevgrad 4-1 Levski Sofia II | Third League - Southwest |
| May 14, 2025 | Levski Sofia II 2-2 Balkan Botevgrad | Third League - Southwest |
| Oct 24, 2024 | Balkan Botevgrad 4-1 Levski Sofia II | Third League - Southwest |
| May 1, 2024 | Balkan Botevgrad 2-3 Levski Sofia II | Third League - Southwest |
| Oct 14, 2023 | Levski Sofia II 4-0 Balkan Botevgrad | Third League - Southwest |
Last archived meeting: Levski Sofia II vs Balkan Botevgrad on May 2, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Balkan Botevgrad score 1.3 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Levski Sofia II score 1.1 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 47% probability of over 2.5 goals and 47% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Balkan Botevgrad | 1.3 | 1.1 | 7 | 6/15 | 5/15 |
| Levski Sofia II | 1.1 | 1.2 | 4 | 5/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Balkan Botevgrad sit 11th in Third League - Southwest (6 points from 4 matches) and Levski Sofia II sit 13th (4 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Balkan Botevgrad | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 6 |
| 13 | Levski Sofia II | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 7 | 4 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Balkan Botevgrad vs Levski Sofia II?
- The Footlab model makes Balkan Botevgrad the favourite at 57%, against 25% for a draw and 18% for Levski Sofia II.
- Where and when is Balkan Botevgrad vs Levski Sofia II played?
- Balkan Botevgrad vs Levski Sofia II is played on September 5, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Hristo Botev Izkustven Teren, in the Third League - Southwest.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 47% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Sep 5, 2026BanskovsOborishte
- Sep 5, 2026FK Minyor PernikvsStrumska Slava
- Sep 5, 2026BelasitsavsSlivnishki geroy
- Sep 5, 2026Chavdar EtropolevsBotev Ihtiman
- Sep 5, 2026Pirin RazlogvsSeptemvri Simitli
- Sep 5, 2026KostinbrodvsSeptemvri Sofia II
- Sep 5, 2026Natsional SofiavsKyustendil
- Sep 5, 2026CSKA Sofia IIIvsSlavia Sofia II