Septemvri Sofia II vs Balkan Botevgrad: prediction and stats
Third League - SouthwestSouthwest - 7Kick-off on September 12, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Stadion German, German
The Footlab model makes Septemvri Sofia II the favourite at 62%, against 23% for a draw and 14% for Balkan Botevgrad. The most likely score is 1-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Septemvri Sofia II vs Balkan Botevgrad?
A very open match: only 26 Elo points separate Septemvri Sofia II (1,510) and Balkan Botevgrad (1,484).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Septemvri Sofia II have 8 wins, 5 draws and 2 defeats; Balkan Botevgrad have 6, 4 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Belasitsa(away) | 1-2 | Third League - Southwest |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Levski Sofia II(away) | 1-1 | Third League - Southwest |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Slavia Sofia II(home) | 1-0 | Third League - Southwest |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Botev Ihtiman(away) | 2-1 | Third League - Southwest |
| May 29, 2026 | Levski Sofia II(away) | 2-0 | Third League - Southwest |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Botev Ihtiman(home) | 1-0 | Third League - Southwest |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Kyustendil(away) | 1-0 | Third League - Southwest |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Septemvri Simitli(home) | 1-2 | Third League - Southwest |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Strumska Slava(away) | 0-2 | Third League - Southwest |
| May 29, 2026 | Bansko(away) | 2-0 | Third League - Southwest |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Septemvri Sofia II win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Balkan Botevgrad win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 28, 2026 | Septemvri Sofia II 3-2 Balkan Botevgrad | Third League - Southwest |
| Sep 17, 2025 | Balkan Botevgrad 2-1 Septemvri Sofia II | Third League - Southwest |
| May 17, 2025 | Septemvri Sofia II 2-1 Balkan Botevgrad | Third League - Southwest |
| Nov 2, 2024 | Balkan Botevgrad 1-0 Septemvri Sofia II | Third League - Southwest |
| May 25, 2024 | Septemvri Sofia II 2-1 Balkan Botevgrad | Third League - Southwest |
| Nov 11, 2023 | Balkan Botevgrad 3-3 Septemvri Sofia II | Third League - Southwest |
Last archived meeting: Septemvri Sofia II vs Balkan Botevgrad on Mar 28, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Septemvri Sofia II score 1.8 and concede 0.8 goals per match over their last 15; Balkan Botevgrad score 1.3 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 48% probability of over 2.5 goals and 46% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Septemvri Sofia II | 1.8 | 0.8 | 8 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
| Balkan Botevgrad | 1.3 | 1.1 | 7 | 6/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Septemvri Sofia II sit 7th in Third League - Southwest (7 points from 4 matches) and Balkan Botevgrad sit 11th (6 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Septemvri Sofia II | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 7 |
| 11 | Balkan Botevgrad | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 6 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Septemvri Sofia II vs Balkan Botevgrad?
- The Footlab model makes Septemvri Sofia II the favourite at 62%, against 23% for a draw and 14% for Balkan Botevgrad.
- Where and when is Septemvri Sofia II vs Balkan Botevgrad played?
- Septemvri Sofia II vs Balkan Botevgrad is played on September 12, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion German, in the Third League - Southwest.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 48% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Sep 12, 2026OborishtevsBelasitsa
- Sep 12, 2026Strumska SlavavsBansko
- Sep 12, 2026Botev IhtimanvsNatsional Sofia
- Sep 12, 2026KyustendilvsPirin Razlog
- Sep 12, 2026Septemvri SimitlivsFK Minyor Pernik
- Sep 12, 2026Slivnishki geroyvsKostinbrod
- Sep 12, 2026Levski Sofia IIvsCSKA Sofia III
- Sep 12, 2026Slavia Sofia IIvsChavdar Etropole