Kostinbrod vs Septemvri Sofia II: prediction and stats
Third League - SouthwestSouthwest - 6Kick-off on September 5, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Georgi Benkovski, Kostinbrod
The Footlab model makes Kostinbrod the favourite at 37%, against 28% for a draw and 35% for Septemvri Sofia II. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Kostinbrod vs Septemvri Sofia II?
A very open match: only 72 Elo points separate Kostinbrod (1,437) and Septemvri Sofia II (1,510).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Kostinbrod have 6 wins, 2 draws and 7 defeats; Septemvri Sofia II have 8, 5 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Slavia Sofia II(home) | 1-0 | Third League - Southwest |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Botev Ihtiman(away) | 0-1 | Third League - Southwest |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Kyustendil(home) | 3-1 | Third League - Southwest |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Septemvri Simitli(away) | 0-2 | Third League - Southwest |
| May 30, 2026 | CSKA Sofia III(away) | 0-1 | Third League - Southwest |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Belasitsa(away) | 1-2 | Third League - Southwest |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Levski Sofia II(away) | 1-1 | Third League - Southwest |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Slavia Sofia II(home) | 1-0 | Third League - Southwest |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Botev Ihtiman(away) | 2-1 | Third League - Southwest |
| May 29, 2026 | Levski Sofia II(away) | 2-0 | Third League - Southwest |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Kostinbrod win(s), 2 draw(s), 4 Septemvri Sofia II win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 16, 2026 | Septemvri Sofia II 4-0 Kostinbrod | Third League - Southwest |
| Oct 4, 2025 | Kostinbrod 2-2 Septemvri Sofia II | Third League - Southwest |
| May 29, 2024 | Septemvri Sofia II 3-0 Kostinbrod | Third League - Southwest |
| Oct 27, 2023 | Kostinbrod 2-2 Septemvri Sofia II | Third League - Southwest |
| Apr 2, 2022 | Septemvri Sofia II 3-1 Kostinbrod | Third League - Southwest |
| Sep 18, 2021 | Kostinbrod 1-2 Septemvri Sofia II | Third League - Southwest |
Last archived meeting: Septemvri Sofia II vs Kostinbrod on Apr 16, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Kostinbrod score 0.9 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Septemvri Sofia II score 1.8 and concede 0.8. The model gives a 46% probability of over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kostinbrod | 0.9 | 1.3 | 4 | 5/15 | 6/15 |
| Septemvri Sofia II | 1.8 | 0.8 | 8 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Kostinbrod sit 10th in Third League - Southwest (6 points from 4 matches) and Septemvri Sofia II sit 7th (7 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Septemvri Sofia II | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 7 |
| 10 | Kostinbrod | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 6 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Kostinbrod vs Septemvri Sofia II?
- The Footlab model makes Kostinbrod the favourite at 37%, against 28% for a draw and 35% for Septemvri Sofia II.
- Where and when is Kostinbrod vs Septemvri Sofia II played?
- Kostinbrod vs Septemvri Sofia II is played on September 5, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Georgi Benkovski, in the Third League - Southwest.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 46% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Sep 5, 2026BanskovsOborishte
- Sep 5, 2026Balkan BotevgradvsLevski Sofia II
- Sep 5, 2026FK Minyor PernikvsStrumska Slava
- Sep 5, 2026BelasitsavsSlivnishki geroy
- Sep 5, 2026Chavdar EtropolevsBotev Ihtiman
- Sep 5, 2026Pirin RazlogvsSeptemvri Simitli
- Sep 5, 2026Natsional SofiavsKyustendil
- Sep 5, 2026CSKA Sofia IIIvsSlavia Sofia II