Match

Kostinbrod vs Septemvri Sofia II: prediction and stats

Third League - SouthwestSouthwest - 6Kick-off on September 5, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Georgi Benkovski, Kostinbrod

KostinbrodSeptemvri Sofia II

The Footlab model makes Kostinbrod the favourite at 37%, against 28% for a draw and 35% for Septemvri Sofia II. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Kostinbrod vs Septemvri Sofia II?

A very open match: only 72 Elo points separate Kostinbrod (1,437) and Septemvri Sofia II (1,510).

Kostinbrod win37 %
Draw28 %
Septemvri Sofia II win35 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Kostinbrod have 6 wins, 2 draws and 7 defeats; Septemvri Sofia II have 8, 5 and 2.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Kostinbrod
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 23, 2026Slavia Sofia II(home)1-0Third League - Southwest
Aug 15, 2026Botev Ihtiman(away)0-1Third League - Southwest
Aug 8, 2026Kyustendil(home)3-1Third League - Southwest
Aug 1, 2026Septemvri Simitli(away)0-2Third League - Southwest
May 30, 2026CSKA Sofia III(away)0-1Third League - Southwest
Septemvri Sofia II
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Belasitsa(away)1-2Third League - Southwest
Aug 15, 2026Levski Sofia II(away)1-1Third League - Southwest
Aug 8, 2026Slavia Sofia II(home)1-0Third League - Southwest
Aug 2, 2026Botev Ihtiman(away)2-1Third League - Southwest
May 29, 2026Levski Sofia II(away)2-0Third League - Southwest

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Kostinbrod win(s), 2 draw(s), 4 Septemvri Sofia II win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Apr 16, 2026Septemvri Sofia II 4-0 KostinbrodThird League - Southwest
Oct 4, 2025Kostinbrod 2-2 Septemvri Sofia IIThird League - Southwest
May 29, 2024Septemvri Sofia II 3-0 KostinbrodThird League - Southwest
Oct 27, 2023Kostinbrod 2-2 Septemvri Sofia IIThird League - Southwest
Apr 2, 2022Septemvri Sofia II 3-1 KostinbrodThird League - Southwest
Sep 18, 2021Kostinbrod 1-2 Septemvri Sofia IIThird League - Southwest

Last archived meeting: Septemvri Sofia II vs Kostinbrod on Apr 16, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Kostinbrod score 0.9 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Septemvri Sofia II score 1.8 and concede 0.8. The model gives a 46% probability of over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Kostinbrod0.91.345/156/15
Septemvri Sofia II1.80.887/158/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Kostinbrod sit 10th in Third League - Southwest (6 points from 4 matches) and Septemvri Sofia II sit 7th (7 points from 4 matches).

2026 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
7Septemvri Sofia II4211547
10Kostinbrod4202446

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Kostinbrod vs Septemvri Sofia II?
The Footlab model makes Kostinbrod the favourite at 37%, against 28% for a draw and 35% for Septemvri Sofia II.
Where and when is Kostinbrod vs Septemvri Sofia II played?
Kostinbrod vs Septemvri Sofia II is played on September 5, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Georgi Benkovski, in the Third League - Southwest.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 46% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Kostinbrod and Septemvri Sofia II

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