Bansko vs Oborishte: prediction and stats
Third League - SouthwestSouthwest - 6Kick-off on September 5, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Sveti Petar, Bansko
The Footlab model makes Bansko the favourite at 45%, against 27% for a draw and 28% for Oborishte. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Bansko vs Oborishte?
A very open match: only 39 Elo points separate Bansko (1,491) and Oborishte (1,530).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Bansko have 10 wins, 2 draws and 3 defeats; Oborishte have 6, 5 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | FK Minyor Pernik(away) | 2-1 | Third League - Southwest |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Pirin Razlog(home) | 3-1 | Third League - Southwest |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Natsional Sofia(away) | 2-2 | Third League - Southwest |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Chavdar Etropole(home) | 3-0 | Third League - Southwest |
| May 29, 2026 | Balkan Botevgrad(home) | 0-2 | Third League - Southwest |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Pirin Razlog(away) | 4-2 | Third League - Southwest |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Natsional Sofia(home) | 3-1 | Third League - Southwest |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Chavdar Etropole(away) | 1-1 | Third League - Southwest |
| Aug 1, 2026 | CSKA Sofia III(home) | 1-1 | Third League - Southwest |
| May 30, 2026 | Germaneya(home) | 5-1 | Third League - Southwest |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Bansko win(s), 2 draw(s), 1 Oborishte win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 2, 2026 | Oborishte 0-1 Bansko | Third League - Southwest |
| Oct 18, 2025 | Bansko 2-1 Oborishte | Third League - Southwest |
| May 14, 2025 | Bansko 0-1 Oborishte | Third League - Southwest |
| Oct 24, 2024 | Oborishte 0-0 Bansko | Third League - Southwest |
| May 11, 2024 | Bansko 3-1 Oborishte | Third League - Southwest |
| Oct 27, 2023 | Oborishte 0-0 Bansko | Third League - Southwest |
How many goals should we expect?
Bansko score 1.7 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Oborishte score 1.6 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 50% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bansko | 1.7 | 1.1 | 6 | 7/15 | 10/15 |
| Oborishte | 1.6 | 1.1 | 3 | 9/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Bansko sit 1st in Third League - Southwest (10 points from 4 matches) and Oborishte sit 3rd (8 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bansko | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 4 | 10 |
| 3 | Oborishte | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 9 | 5 | 8 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Bansko vs Oborishte?
- The Footlab model makes Bansko the favourite at 45%, against 27% for a draw and 28% for Oborishte.
- Where and when is Bansko vs Oborishte played?
- Bansko vs Oborishte is played on September 5, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Sveti Petar, in the Third League - Southwest.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 50% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Sep 5, 2026Balkan BotevgradvsLevski Sofia II
- Sep 5, 2026FK Minyor PernikvsStrumska Slava
- Sep 5, 2026BelasitsavsSlivnishki geroy
- Sep 5, 2026Chavdar EtropolevsBotev Ihtiman
- Sep 5, 2026Pirin RazlogvsSeptemvri Simitli
- Sep 5, 2026KostinbrodvsSeptemvri Sofia II
- Sep 5, 2026Natsional SofiavsKyustendil
- Sep 5, 2026CSKA Sofia IIIvsSlavia Sofia II