Match

Bansko vs Oborishte: prediction and stats

Third League - SouthwestSouthwest - 6Kick-off on September 5, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Sveti Petar, Bansko

BanskoOborishte

The Footlab model makes Bansko the favourite at 45%, against 27% for a draw and 28% for Oborishte. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Bansko vs Oborishte?

A very open match: only 39 Elo points separate Bansko (1,491) and Oborishte (1,530).

Bansko win45 %
Draw27 %
Oborishte win28 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Bansko have 10 wins, 2 draws and 3 defeats; Oborishte have 6, 5 and 4.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Bansko
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026FK Minyor Pernik(away)2-1Third League - Southwest
Aug 15, 2026Pirin Razlog(home)3-1Third League - Southwest
Aug 8, 2026Natsional Sofia(away)2-2Third League - Southwest
Aug 1, 2026Chavdar Etropole(home)3-0Third League - Southwest
May 29, 2026Balkan Botevgrad(home)0-2Third League - Southwest
Oborishte
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Pirin Razlog(away)4-2Third League - Southwest
Aug 15, 2026Natsional Sofia(home)3-1Third League - Southwest
Aug 8, 2026Chavdar Etropole(away)1-1Third League - Southwest
Aug 1, 2026CSKA Sofia III(home)1-1Third League - Southwest
May 30, 2026Germaneya(home)5-1Third League - Southwest

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Bansko win(s), 2 draw(s), 1 Oborishte win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
May 2, 2026Oborishte 0-1 BanskoThird League - Southwest
Oct 18, 2025Bansko 2-1 OborishteThird League - Southwest
May 14, 2025Bansko 0-1 OborishteThird League - Southwest
Oct 24, 2024Oborishte 0-0 BanskoThird League - Southwest
May 11, 2024Bansko 3-1 OborishteThird League - Southwest
Oct 27, 2023Oborishte 0-0 BanskoThird League - Southwest

Last archived meeting: Oborishte vs Bansko on May 2, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Bansko score 1.7 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Oborishte score 1.6 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 50% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Bansko1.71.167/1510/15
Oborishte1.61.139/157/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Bansko sit 1st in Third League - Southwest (10 points from 4 matches) and Oborishte sit 3rd (8 points from 4 matches).

2026 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
1Bansko431010410
3Oborishte4220958

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Bansko vs Oborishte?
The Footlab model makes Bansko the favourite at 45%, against 27% for a draw and 28% for Oborishte.
Where and when is Bansko vs Oborishte played?
Bansko vs Oborishte is played on September 5, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Sveti Petar, in the Third League - Southwest.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 50% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Bansko and Oborishte

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