FK Minyor Pernik vs Strumska Slava: prediction and stats
Third League - SouthwestSouthwest - 6Kick-off on September 5, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Minyor, Pernik
The Footlab model makes FK Minyor Pernik the favourite at 45%, against 26% for a draw and 29% for Strumska Slava. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win FK Minyor Pernik vs Strumska Slava?
A very open match: only 47 Elo points separate FK Minyor Pernik (1,516) and Strumska Slava (1,563).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, FK Minyor Pernik have 4 wins, 2 draws and 9 defeats; Strumska Slava have 7, 3 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Bansko(home) | 1-2 | Third League - Southwest |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Belasitsa(home) | 1-1 | Third League - Southwest |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Pirin Razlog(away) | 3-0 | Third League - Southwest |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Natsional Sofia(home) | 1-0 | Third League - Southwest |
| May 23, 2026 | Dunav Ruse(home) | 1-2 | Second League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Natsional Sofia(away) | 3-0 | Third League - Southwest |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Chavdar Etropole(home) | 2-1 | Third League - Southwest |
| Aug 8, 2026 | CSKA Sofia III(away) | 0-0 | Third League - Southwest |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Balkan Botevgrad(home) | 2-0 | Third League - Southwest |
| May 30, 2026 | Pirin Razlog(away) | 1-2 | Third League - Southwest |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 FK Minyor Pernik win(s), 2 draw(s), 1 Strumska Slava win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 24, 2025 | FK Minyor Pernik 4-1 Strumska Slava | Second League |
| Nov 30, 2024 | Strumska Slava 0-0 FK Minyor Pernik | Second League |
| May 1, 2023 | FK Minyor Pernik 1-1 Strumska Slava | Second League |
| Oct 4, 2022 | Strumska Slava 0-3 FK Minyor Pernik | Second League |
| Apr 10, 2022 | Strumska Slava 2-1 FK Minyor Pernik | Second League |
| Oct 4, 2021 | FK Minyor Pernik 3-0 Strumska Slava | Second League |
Last archived meeting: FK Minyor Pernik vs Strumska Slava on May 24, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
FK Minyor Pernik score 1.3 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Strumska Slava score 1.6 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 53% probability of over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FK Minyor Pernik | 1.3 | 1.5 | 4 | 7/15 | 9/15 |
| Strumska Slava | 1.6 | 1.1 | 4 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
FK Minyor Pernik sit 4th in Third League - Southwest (7 points from 4 matches) and Strumska Slava sit 2nd (10 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Strumska Slava | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 1 | 10 |
| 4 | FK Minyor Pernik | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 3 | 7 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for FK Minyor Pernik vs Strumska Slava?
- The Footlab model makes FK Minyor Pernik the favourite at 45%, against 26% for a draw and 29% for Strumska Slava.
- Where and when is FK Minyor Pernik vs Strumska Slava played?
- FK Minyor Pernik vs Strumska Slava is played on September 5, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Minyor, in the Third League - Southwest.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 53% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Sep 5, 2026BanskovsOborishte
- Sep 5, 2026Balkan BotevgradvsLevski Sofia II
- Sep 5, 2026BelasitsavsSlivnishki geroy
- Sep 5, 2026Chavdar EtropolevsBotev Ihtiman
- Sep 5, 2026Pirin RazlogvsSeptemvri Simitli
- Sep 5, 2026KostinbrodvsSeptemvri Sofia II
- Sep 5, 2026Natsional SofiavsKyustendil
- Sep 5, 2026CSKA Sofia IIIvsSlavia Sofia II