Match

FK Minyor Pernik vs Strumska Slava: prediction and stats

Third League - SouthwestSouthwest - 6Kick-off on September 5, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Minyor, Pernik

FK Minyor PernikStrumska Slava

The Footlab model makes FK Minyor Pernik the favourite at 45%, against 26% for a draw and 29% for Strumska Slava. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win FK Minyor Pernik vs Strumska Slava?

A very open match: only 47 Elo points separate FK Minyor Pernik (1,516) and Strumska Slava (1,563).

FK Minyor Pernik win45 %
Draw26 %
Strumska Slava win29 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, FK Minyor Pernik have 4 wins, 2 draws and 9 defeats; Strumska Slava have 7, 3 and 5.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

FK Minyor Pernik
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Bansko(home)1-2Third League - Southwest
Aug 15, 2026Belasitsa(home)1-1Third League - Southwest
Aug 8, 2026Pirin Razlog(away)3-0Third League - Southwest
Aug 1, 2026Natsional Sofia(home)1-0Third League - Southwest
May 23, 2026Dunav Ruse(home)1-2Second League
Strumska Slava
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Natsional Sofia(away)3-0Third League - Southwest
Aug 15, 2026Chavdar Etropole(home)2-1Third League - Southwest
Aug 8, 2026CSKA Sofia III(away)0-0Third League - Southwest
Aug 1, 2026Balkan Botevgrad(home)2-0Third League - Southwest
May 30, 2026Pirin Razlog(away)1-2Third League - Southwest

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 3 FK Minyor Pernik win(s), 2 draw(s), 1 Strumska Slava win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
May 24, 2025FK Minyor Pernik 4-1 Strumska SlavaSecond League
Nov 30, 2024Strumska Slava 0-0 FK Minyor PernikSecond League
May 1, 2023FK Minyor Pernik 1-1 Strumska SlavaSecond League
Oct 4, 2022Strumska Slava 0-3 FK Minyor PernikSecond League
Apr 10, 2022Strumska Slava 2-1 FK Minyor PernikSecond League
Oct 4, 2021FK Minyor Pernik 3-0 Strumska SlavaSecond League

Last archived meeting: FK Minyor Pernik vs Strumska Slava on May 24, 2025

How many goals should we expect?

FK Minyor Pernik score 1.3 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Strumska Slava score 1.6 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 53% probability of over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
FK Minyor Pernik1.31.547/159/15
Strumska Slava1.61.149/1510/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

FK Minyor Pernik sit 4th in Third League - Southwest (7 points from 4 matches) and Strumska Slava sit 2nd (10 points from 4 matches).

2026 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
2Strumska Slava43107110
4FK Minyor Pernik4211637

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for FK Minyor Pernik vs Strumska Slava?
The Footlab model makes FK Minyor Pernik the favourite at 45%, against 26% for a draw and 29% for Strumska Slava.
Where and when is FK Minyor Pernik vs Strumska Slava played?
FK Minyor Pernik vs Strumska Slava is played on September 5, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Minyor, in the Third League - Southwest.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 53% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: FK Minyor Pernik and Strumska Slava

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