Where and when is Pirin Razlog vs Septemvri Simitli played?

Pirin Razlog vs Septemvri Simitli is played on September 5, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Septemvri, in the Third League - Southwest.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 57% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Pirin Razlog vs Septemvri Simitli: prediction and stats

Third League - SouthwestSouthwest - 6Kick-off on September 5, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Septemvri, Razlog

Pirin Razlog

Septemvri Simitli

The Footlab model makes Septemvri Simitli the favourite at 48%, against 25% for a draw and 27% for Pirin Razlog. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Pirin Razlog vs Septemvri Simitli?

Septemvri Simitli starts as the favourite with a 123-point Elo edge (1,489 vs 1,366).

Pirin Razlog win27 %

Draw25 %

Septemvri Simitli win48 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Pirin Razlog have 6 wins, 0 draws and 9 defeats; Septemvri Simitli have 8, 2 and 5.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Pirin Razlog
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Oborishte(home)	2-4	Third League - Southwest
Aug 15, 2026	Bansko(away)	1-3	Third League - Southwest
Aug 8, 2026	FK Minyor Pernik(home)	0-3	Third League - Southwest
Aug 1, 2026	Belasitsa(home)	1-3	Third League - Southwest
May 30, 2026	Strumska Slava(home)	2-1	Third League - Southwest

Septemvri Simitli
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Chavdar Etropole(away)	2-4	Third League - Southwest
Aug 15, 2026	CSKA Sofia III(home)	0-0	Third League - Southwest
Aug 8, 2026	Balkan Botevgrad(away)	2-1	Third League - Southwest
Aug 1, 2026	Kostinbrod(home)	2-0	Third League - Southwest
May 29, 2026	Kyustendil(home)	2-0	Third League - Southwest

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Pirin Razlog win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Septemvri Simitli win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Apr 4, 2026	Septemvri Simitli 0-1 Pirin Razlog	Third League - Southwest
Sep 20, 2025	Pirin Razlog 6-0 Septemvri Simitli	Third League - Southwest
Mar 22, 2025	Septemvri Simitli 1-0 Pirin Razlog	Third League - Southwest
Aug 31, 2024	Pirin Razlog 3-1 Septemvri Simitli	Third League - Southwest
Apr 27, 2024	Pirin Razlog 0-0 Septemvri Simitli	Third League - Southwest
Oct 7, 2023	Septemvri Simitli 2-0 Pirin Razlog	Third League - Southwest

Last archived meeting: Septemvri Simitli vs Pirin Razlog on Apr 4, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Pirin Razlog score 1.3 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Septemvri Simitli score 1.4 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 57% probability of over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Pirin Razlog	1.3	1.9	5	8/15	9/15
Septemvri Simitli	1.4	0.9	7	5/15	6/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Pirin Razlog sit 18th in Third League - Southwest (0 points from 4 matches) and Septemvri Simitli sit 6th (7 points from 4 matches).

2026 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
6	Septemvri Simitli	4	2	1	1	6	5	7
18	Pirin Razlog	4	0	0	4	4	13	0

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Pirin Razlog vs Septemvri Simitli?: The Footlab model makes Septemvri Simitli the favourite at 48%, against 25% for a draw and 27% for Pirin Razlog.
Where and when is Pirin Razlog vs Septemvri Simitli played?: Pirin Razlog vs Septemvri Simitli is played on September 5, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Septemvri, in the Third League - Southwest.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 57% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.