Match

Balsicas Atlético vs Mazarrón FC: prediction and stats

Tercera División RFEF - Group 13Group 13 - 28Kick-off on March 28, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Campo de Fútbol de Balsicas, Torre-Pacheco

Balsicas AtléticoMazarrón FC

The Footlab model makes Mazarrón FC the favourite at 41%, against 29% for a draw and 31% for Balsicas Atlético. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Balsicas Atlético vs Mazarrón FC?

Mazarrón FC starts as the favourite with a 100-point Elo edge (1,799 vs 1,699).

Balsicas Atlético win31 %
Draw29 %
Mazarrón FC win41 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Balsicas Atlético have 4 wins, 5 draws and 6 defeats; Mazarrón FC have 4, 8 and 3.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Balsicas Atlético
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
May 10, 2026Yeclano II(away)3-1Tercera División RFEF - Group 13
May 3, 2026SFC Minerva(home)4-0Tercera División RFEF - Group 13
Apr 26, 2026Atlético Pulpileño(away)0-1Tercera División RFEF - Group 13
Apr 19, 2026Águilas II(home)1-2Tercera División RFEF - Group 13
Apr 11, 2026UCAM Murcia II(away)1-1Tercera División RFEF - Group 13
Mazarrón FC
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
May 24, 2026Real Murcia II(away)0-2Tercera División RFEF - Group 13
May 16, 2026Real Murcia II(home)1-1Tercera División RFEF - Group 13
May 10, 2026Atlético Pulpileño(away)1-0Tercera División RFEF - Group 13
May 3, 2026Águilas II(home)2-3Tercera División RFEF - Group 13
Apr 26, 2026UCAM Murcia II(away)3-3Tercera División RFEF - Group 13

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 2 meetings: 0 Balsicas Atlético win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Mazarrón FC win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Apr 5, 2026Balsicas Atlético 0-0 Mazarrón FCTercera División RFEF - Group 13
Nov 22, 2025Mazarrón FC 1-0 Balsicas AtléticoTercera División RFEF - Group 13

Last archived meeting: Balsicas Atlético vs Mazarrón FC on Apr 5, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Balsicas Atlético score 0.9 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Mazarrón FC score 1.5 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 45% probability of over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Balsicas Atlético0.91.046/155/15
Mazarrón FC1.51.159/155/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Balsicas Atlético sit 13th in Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 (36 points from 34 matches) and Mazarrón FC sit 5th (55 points from 34 matches).

The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.

Final 2025-26 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
5Mazarrón FC3414146503355
13Balsicas Atlético3491015384636

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Balsicas Atlético vs Mazarrón FC?
The Footlab model makes Mazarrón FC the favourite at 41%, against 29% for a draw and 31% for Balsicas Atlético.
Where and when is Balsicas Atlético vs Mazarrón FC played?
Balsicas Atlético vs Mazarrón FC is played on March 28, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Campo de Fútbol de Balsicas, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 13.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 45% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Balsicas Atlético and Mazarrón FC

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