SFC Minerva vs Unión Molinense: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 13Group 13 - 28Kick-off on March 28, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Campo Municipal El Secante, Alumbres
The Footlab model makes Unión Molinense the favourite at 40%, against 31% for a draw and 29% for SFC Minerva. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win SFC Minerva vs Unión Molinense?
Unión Molinense starts as the favourite with a 130-point Elo edge (1,827 vs 1,697).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, SFC Minerva have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; Unión Molinense have 6, 5 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 10, 2026 | El Palmar(home) | 3-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| May 3, 2026 | Balsicas Atlético(away) | 0-4 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Unión Molinense(home) | 2-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Santa Cruz(away) | 0-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Santomera(home) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 24, 2026 | Olímpico Totana(home) | 0-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| May 17, 2026 | Olímpico Totana(away) | 0-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| May 10, 2026 | Real Murcia II(away) | 2-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| May 3, 2026 | Yeclano II(home) | 2-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Apr 26, 2026 | SFC Minerva(away) | 0-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 1 SFC Minerva win(s), 2 draw(s), 1 Unión Molinense win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 26, 2026 | SFC Minerva 2-0 Unión Molinense | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Dec 21, 2025 | Unión Molinense 5-1 SFC Minerva | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Jan 26, 2025 | Unión Molinense 0-0 SFC Minerva | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Sep 15, 2024 | SFC Minerva 2-2 Unión Molinense | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
Last archived meeting: SFC Minerva vs Unión Molinense on Apr 26, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
SFC Minerva score 0.9 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Unión Molinense score 1.3 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 37% probability of over 2.5 goals and 44% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SFC Minerva | 0.9 | 1.3 | 5 | 4/15 | 6/15 |
| Unión Molinense | 1.3 | 0.9 | 6 | 6/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
SFC Minerva sit 10th in Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 (44 points from 34 matches) and Unión Molinense sit 3rd (59 points from 34 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Unión Molinense | 34 | 17 | 8 | 9 | 46 | 34 | 59 |
| 10 | SFC Minerva | 34 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 28 | 39 | 44 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for SFC Minerva vs Unión Molinense?
- The Footlab model makes Unión Molinense the favourite at 40%, against 31% for a draw and 29% for SFC Minerva.
- Where and when is SFC Minerva vs Unión Molinense played?
- SFC Minerva vs Unión Molinense is played on March 28, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Campo Municipal El Secante, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 13.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 37% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
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