Match

SFC Minerva vs Unión Molinense: prediction and stats

Tercera División RFEF - Group 13Group 13 - 28Kick-off on March 28, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Campo Municipal El Secante, Alumbres

SFC MinervaUnión Molinense

The Footlab model makes Unión Molinense the favourite at 40%, against 31% for a draw and 29% for SFC Minerva. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win SFC Minerva vs Unión Molinense?

Unión Molinense starts as the favourite with a 130-point Elo edge (1,827 vs 1,697).

SFC Minerva win29 %
Draw31 %
Unión Molinense win40 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, SFC Minerva have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; Unión Molinense have 6, 5 and 4.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

SFC Minerva
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
May 10, 2026El Palmar(home)3-2Tercera División RFEF - Group 13
May 3, 2026Balsicas Atlético(away)0-4Tercera División RFEF - Group 13
Apr 26, 2026Unión Molinense(home)2-0Tercera División RFEF - Group 13
Apr 18, 2026Santa Cruz(away)0-1Tercera División RFEF - Group 13
Apr 12, 2026Santomera(home)1-0Tercera División RFEF - Group 13
Unión Molinense
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
May 24, 2026Olímpico Totana(home)0-2Tercera División RFEF - Group 13
May 17, 2026Olímpico Totana(away)0-0Tercera División RFEF - Group 13
May 10, 2026Real Murcia II(away)2-0Tercera División RFEF - Group 13
May 3, 2026Yeclano II(home)2-0Tercera División RFEF - Group 13
Apr 26, 2026SFC Minerva(away)0-2Tercera División RFEF - Group 13

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 4 meetings: 1 SFC Minerva win(s), 2 draw(s), 1 Unión Molinense win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Apr 26, 2026SFC Minerva 2-0 Unión MolinenseTercera División RFEF - Group 13
Dec 21, 2025Unión Molinense 5-1 SFC MinervaTercera División RFEF - Group 13
Jan 26, 2025Unión Molinense 0-0 SFC MinervaTercera División RFEF - Group 13
Sep 15, 2024SFC Minerva 2-2 Unión MolinenseTercera División RFEF - Group 13

Last archived meeting: SFC Minerva vs Unión Molinense on Apr 26, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

SFC Minerva score 0.9 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Unión Molinense score 1.3 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 37% probability of over 2.5 goals and 44% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
SFC Minerva0.91.354/156/15
Unión Molinense1.30.966/154/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

SFC Minerva sit 10th in Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 (44 points from 34 matches) and Unión Molinense sit 3rd (59 points from 34 matches).

The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.

Final 2025-26 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
3Unión Molinense341789463459
10SFC Minerva34111112283944

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for SFC Minerva vs Unión Molinense?
The Footlab model makes Unión Molinense the favourite at 40%, against 31% for a draw and 29% for SFC Minerva.
Where and when is SFC Minerva vs Unión Molinense played?
SFC Minerva vs Unión Molinense is played on March 28, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Campo Municipal El Secante, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 13.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 37% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: SFC Minerva and Unión Molinense

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