Santomera vs Águilas II: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 13Group 13 - 28Kick-off on March 28, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadio El Limonar, Santomera
The Footlab model makes Águilas II the favourite at 45%, against 26% for a draw and 28% for Santomera. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Santomera vs Águilas II?
Águilas II starts as the favourite with a 136-point Elo edge (1,824 vs 1,687).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Santomera have 4 wins, 0 draws and 11 defeats; Águilas II have 9, 3 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Cieza(home) | 1-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 10, 2026 | Olímpico Totana(away) | 1-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| May 2, 2026 | Cartagena LU II(home) | 2-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Real Murcia II(away) | 3-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Yeclano II(home) | 3-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 10, 2026 | UCAM Murcia II(home) | 2-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| May 3, 2026 | Mazarrón FC(away) | 3-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Apr 25, 2026 | El Palmar(home) | 2-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Balsicas Atlético(away) | 2-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Apr 11, 2026 | Unión Molinense(home) | 2-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 1 Santomera win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Águilas II win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 28, 2026 | Águilas II 2-0 Santomera | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Nov 16, 2025 | Santomera 2-2 Águilas II | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Mar 19, 2025 | Santomera 2-0 Águilas II | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Oct 20, 2024 | Águilas II 1-0 Santomera | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
Last archived meeting: Águilas II vs Santomera on Mar 28, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Santomera score 1.1 and concede 2.1 goals per match over their last 15; Águilas II score 1.6 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 52% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Santomera | 1.1 | 2.1 | 1 | 8/15 | 10/15 |
| Águilas II | 1.6 | 0.9 | 7 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Santomera sit 15th in Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 (32 points from 34 matches) and Águilas II sit 7th (52 points from 34 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Águilas II | 34 | 14 | 10 | 10 | 47 | 42 | 52 |
| 15 | Santomera | 34 | 8 | 8 | 18 | 38 | 64 | 32 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Santomera vs Águilas II?
- The Footlab model makes Águilas II the favourite at 45%, against 26% for a draw and 28% for Santomera.
- Where and when is Santomera vs Águilas II played?
- Santomera vs Águilas II is played on March 28, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio El Limonar, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 13.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 52% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Mar 28, 2027Los GarresvsBala Azul
- Mar 28, 2027SFC MinervavsUnión Molinense
- Mar 28, 2027UCAM Murcia IIvsSanta Cruz
- Mar 28, 2027Cartagena LU IIvsOlímpico Totana
- Mar 28, 2027AlgarvsEl Palmar
- Mar 28, 2027Balsicas AtléticovsMazarrón FC
- Mar 28, 2027Bullas DeportivovsAlcantarilla
- Mar 28, 2027San JaviervsAtlético Pulpileño