Match

Santomera vs Águilas II: prediction and stats

Tercera División RFEF - Group 13Group 13 - 28Kick-off on March 28, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadio El Limonar, Santomera

SantomeraÁguilas II

The Footlab model makes Águilas II the favourite at 45%, against 26% for a draw and 28% for Santomera. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Santomera vs Águilas II?

Águilas II starts as the favourite with a 136-point Elo edge (1,824 vs 1,687).

Santomera win28 %
Draw26 %
Águilas II win45 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Santomera have 4 wins, 0 draws and 11 defeats; Águilas II have 9, 3 and 3.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Santomera
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Cieza(home)1-2Friendlies Clubs
May 10, 2026Olímpico Totana(away)1-3Tercera División RFEF - Group 13
May 2, 2026Cartagena LU II(home)2-1Tercera División RFEF - Group 13
Apr 25, 2026Real Murcia II(away)3-2Tercera División RFEF - Group 13
Apr 19, 2026Yeclano II(home)3-1Tercera División RFEF - Group 13
Águilas II
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
May 10, 2026UCAM Murcia II(home)2-2Tercera División RFEF - Group 13
May 3, 2026Mazarrón FC(away)3-2Tercera División RFEF - Group 13
Apr 25, 2026El Palmar(home)2-1Tercera División RFEF - Group 13
Apr 19, 2026Balsicas Atlético(away)2-1Tercera División RFEF - Group 13
Apr 11, 2026Unión Molinense(home)2-1Tercera División RFEF - Group 13

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 4 meetings: 1 Santomera win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Águilas II win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Mar 28, 2026Águilas II 2-0 SantomeraTercera División RFEF - Group 13
Nov 16, 2025Santomera 2-2 Águilas IITercera División RFEF - Group 13
Mar 19, 2025Santomera 2-0 Águilas IITercera División RFEF - Group 13
Oct 20, 2024Águilas II 1-0 SantomeraTercera División RFEF - Group 13

Last archived meeting: Águilas II vs Santomera on Mar 28, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Santomera score 1.1 and concede 2.1 goals per match over their last 15; Águilas II score 1.6 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 52% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Santomera1.12.118/1510/15
Águilas II1.60.977/158/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Santomera sit 15th in Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 (32 points from 34 matches) and Águilas II sit 7th (52 points from 34 matches).

The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.

Final 2025-26 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
7Águilas II34141010474252
15Santomera348818386432

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Santomera vs Águilas II?
The Footlab model makes Águilas II the favourite at 45%, against 26% for a draw and 28% for Santomera.
Where and when is Santomera vs Águilas II played?
Santomera vs Águilas II is played on March 28, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio El Limonar, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 13.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 52% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Santomera and Águilas II

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