Where and when is Bansko vs Botev Ihtiman played?

Bansko vs Botev Ihtiman is played on October 3, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Sveti Petar, in the Third League - Southwest.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 55% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Bansko vs Botev Ihtiman: prediction and stats

Third League - SouthwestSouthwest - 10Kick-off on October 3, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Sveti Petar, Bansko

Bansko

Botev Ihtiman

The Footlab model makes Bansko the favourite at 50%, against 25% for a draw and 25% for Botev Ihtiman. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Bansko vs Botev Ihtiman?

A very open match: only 22 Elo points separate Bansko (1,491) and Botev Ihtiman (1,469).

Bansko win50 %

Draw25 %

Botev Ihtiman win25 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Bansko have 10 wins, 2 draws and 3 defeats; Botev Ihtiman have 5, 2 and 8.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Bansko
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	FK Minyor Pernik(away)	2-1	Third League - Southwest
Aug 15, 2026	Pirin Razlog(home)	3-1	Third League - Southwest
Aug 8, 2026	Natsional Sofia(away)	2-2	Third League - Southwest
Aug 1, 2026	Chavdar Etropole(home)	3-0	Third League - Southwest
May 29, 2026	Balkan Botevgrad(home)	0-2	Third League - Southwest

Botev Ihtiman
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Balkan Botevgrad(away)	0-1	Third League - Southwest
Aug 15, 2026	Kostinbrod(home)	1-0	Third League - Southwest
Aug 8, 2026	Slivnishki geroy(away)	3-2	Third League - Southwest
Aug 2, 2026	Septemvri Sofia II(home)	1-2	Third League - Southwest
May 30, 2026	Vitosha Bistritsa(home)	3-0	Third League - Southwest

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Bansko win(s), 4 draw(s), 1 Botev Ihtiman win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Apr 16, 2026	Botev Ihtiman 1-2 Bansko	Third League - Southwest
Oct 4, 2025	Bansko 0-0 Botev Ihtiman	Third League - Southwest
May 3, 2025	Bansko 1-1 Botev Ihtiman	Third League - Southwest
Oct 12, 2024	Botev Ihtiman 0-0 Bansko	Third League - Southwest
Apr 13, 2024	Botev Ihtiman 1-0 Bansko	Third League - Southwest
Sep 23, 2023	Bansko 1-1 Botev Ihtiman	Third League - Southwest

Last archived meeting: Botev Ihtiman vs Bansko on Apr 16, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Bansko score 1.7 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Botev Ihtiman score 1.3 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 55% probability of over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Bansko	1.7	1.1	6	7/15	10/15
Botev Ihtiman	1.3	1.3	3	8/15	8/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Bansko sit 1st in Third League - Southwest (10 points from 4 matches) and Botev Ihtiman sit 9th (6 points from 4 matches).

2026 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Bansko	4	3	1	0	10	4	10
9	Botev Ihtiman	4	2	0	2	5	5	6

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Bansko vs Botev Ihtiman?: The Footlab model makes Bansko the favourite at 50%, against 25% for a draw and 25% for Botev Ihtiman.
Where and when is Bansko vs Botev Ihtiman played?: Bansko vs Botev Ihtiman is played on October 3, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Sveti Petar, in the Third League - Southwest.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 55% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.