Botev Ihtiman vs Oborishte: prediction and stats
Third League - SouthwestSouthwest - 11Kick-off on October 21, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Gradski stadion, Ihtiman
The Footlab AI model makes Oborishte the favourite at 39%, against 26% for a draw and 35% for Botev Ihtiman. The most likely score is 1-1. If Oborishte wins, the most likely score is 1-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 2,446 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 16, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Botev Ihtiman vs Oborishte?
A very open match: only 88 Elo points separate Botev Ihtiman (1,434) and Oborishte (1,522).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Botev Ihtiman vs Oborishte
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Botev Ihtiman
4-3-3- AA. Kurdov
- VV. Kaptiev
- KK. Dimitrov
- VV. Baharov
- VV. Velev
- YY. Gavrilov
- BB. Angelov
- SS. Katrankov
- DD. Vezalov
- II. Velikov
- NN. Radev
Oborishte
4-3-3- PP. Petkov
- GGeorgi Netov
- GG. Anev
- MM. Sandov
- DDimitar Pantaleev
- MM. Valchinov
- SS. Georgiev
- SS. Stefanov
- AA. Hristov
- II. Velikov
- MM. Matev
Computed on October 16, 2026 at 03:39 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Botev Ihtiman have 7 wins, 1 draw and 7 defeats; Oborishte have 8, 5 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 7, 2026 | Bansko(away) | 0-1 | Third League - Southwest |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Spartak Plovdiv(away) | 0-1 | Cup |
| Sep 26, 2026 | FK Minyor Pernik(home) | 0-2 | Third League - Southwest |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Pirin Razlog(away) | 0-1 | Third League - Southwest |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Natsional Sofia(home) | 3-2 | Third League - Southwest |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 7, 2026 | Kyustendil(home) | 2-2 | Third League - Southwest |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Yantra 2019(home) | 1-3 | Cup |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Septemvri Simitli(away) | 3-1 | Third League - Southwest |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Strumska Slava(home) | 3-2 | Third League - Southwest |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Belasitsa(home) | 1-0 | Third League - Southwest |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Botev Ihtiman win, 3 draws, 2 Oborishte wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 4, 2026 | Oborishte 0-2 Botev Ihtiman | Third League - Southwest |
| Sep 20, 2025 | Botev Ihtiman 1-1 Oborishte | Third League - Southwest |
| Apr 12, 2025 | Botev Ihtiman 0-3 Oborishte | Third League - Southwest |
| Sep 21, 2024 | Oborishte 0-0 Botev Ihtiman | Third League - Southwest |
| May 18, 2024 | Oborishte 3-1 Botev Ihtiman | Third League - Southwest |
| Nov 3, 2023 | Botev Ihtiman 2-2 Oborishte | Third League - Southwest |
Last archived meeting: Oborishte vs Botev Ihtiman on Apr 4, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Botev Ihtiman score 1.5 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Oborishte score 2.2 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 54% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Botev Ihtiman | 1.5 | 1.3 | 2 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
| Oborishte | 2.2 | 1.2 | 3 | 12/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Botev Ihtiman sit 8th in Third League - Southwest (15 points from 10 matches) and Oborishte sit 2nd (22 points from 10 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Oborishte | 10 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 22 | 10 | 22 |
| 8 | Botev Ihtiman | 10 | 5 | 0 | 5 | 14 | 13 | 15 |
A question about Botev Ihtiman vs Oborishte?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Botev Ihtiman vs Oborishte?
- The Footlab AI model makes Oborishte the favourite at 39%, against 26% for a draw and 35% for Botev Ihtiman.
- Where and when is Botev Ihtiman vs Oborishte played?
- Botev Ihtiman vs Oborishte is played on October 21, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Gradski stadion, in the Third League - Southwest.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 54% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Oct 10, 2026Balkan Botevgrad1-0CSKA Sofia III
- Oct 10, 2026Septemvri Simitli1-1Belasitsa
- Oct 10, 2026Slivnishki geroy2-0Natsional Sofia
- Oct 10, 2026Kostinbrod5-0Chavdar Etropole
- Oct 10, 2026Septemvri Sofia II2-1Pirin Razlog
- Oct 10, 2026Levski Sofia II0-2FK Minyor Pernik
- Oct 21, 2026KyustendilvsStrumska Slava
- Oct 21, 2026Slavia Sofia IIvsBansko