Where and when is Oborishte vs Kyustendil played?

Oborishte vs Kyustendil is played on October 3, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Stadio Orcho voyvoda, in the Third League - Southwest.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 54% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Oborishte vs Kyustendil: prediction and stats

Third League - SouthwestSouthwest - 10Kick-off on October 3, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Stadio Orcho voyvoda, Panagyurishte

Oborishte

Kyustendil

The Footlab model makes Oborishte the favourite at 62%, against 22% for a draw and 15% for Kyustendil. The most likely score is 2-0.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Oborishte vs Kyustendil?

A very open match: only 80 Elo points separate Oborishte (1,530) and Kyustendil (1,450).

Oborishte win62 %

Draw22 %

Kyustendil win15 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Oborishte have 6 wins, 5 draws and 4 defeats; Kyustendil have 3, 5 and 7.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Oborishte
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Pirin Razlog(away)	4-2	Third League - Southwest
Aug 15, 2026	Natsional Sofia(home)	3-1	Third League - Southwest
Aug 8, 2026	Chavdar Etropole(away)	1-1	Third League - Southwest
Aug 1, 2026	CSKA Sofia III(home)	1-1	Third League - Southwest
May 30, 2026	Germaneya(home)	5-1	Third League - Southwest

Kyustendil
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	CSKA Sofia III(away)	1-1	Third League - Southwest
Aug 15, 2026	Balkan Botevgrad(home)	0-1	Third League - Southwest
Aug 8, 2026	Kostinbrod(away)	1-3	Third League - Southwest
Aug 1, 2026	Slivnishki geroy(home)	2-1	Third League - Southwest
May 29, 2026	Septemvri Simitli(away)	0-2	Third League - Southwest

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Oborishte win(s), 0 draw(s), 3 Kyustendil win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
May 9, 2026	Kyustendil 2-1 Oborishte	Third League - Southwest
Oct 25, 2025	Oborishte 1-0 Kyustendil	Third League - Southwest
Apr 23, 2025	Oborishte 2-1 Kyustendil	Third League - Southwest
Sep 28, 2024	Kyustendil 2-1 Oborishte	Third League - Southwest
May 8, 2024	Oborishte 4-0 Kyustendil	Third League - Southwest
Oct 21, 2023	Kyustendil 5-0 Oborishte	Third League - Southwest

Last archived meeting: Kyustendil vs Oborishte on May 9, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Oborishte score 1.6 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Kyustendil score 0.7 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 54% probability of over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Oborishte	1.6	1.1	3	9/15	7/15
Kyustendil	0.7	1.6	4	8/15	7/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Oborishte sit 3rd in Third League - Southwest (8 points from 4 matches) and Kyustendil sit 15th (4 points from 4 matches).

2026 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
3	Oborishte	4	2	2	0	9	5	8
15	Kyustendil	4	1	1	2	4	6	4

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Oborishte vs Kyustendil?: The Footlab model makes Oborishte the favourite at 62%, against 22% for a draw and 15% for Kyustendil.
Where and when is Oborishte vs Kyustendil played?: Oborishte vs Kyustendil is played on October 3, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Stadio Orcho voyvoda, in the Third League - Southwest.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 54% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.