Where and when is Strumska Slava vs Septemvri Simitli played?

Strumska Slava vs Septemvri Simitli is played on October 3, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Gradski stadion, in the Third League - Southwest.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 53% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Strumska Slava vs Septemvri Simitli: prediction and stats

Third League - SouthwestSouthwest - 10Kick-off on October 3, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Gradski stadion, Radomir

Strumska Slava

Septemvri Simitli

The Footlab model makes Strumska Slava the favourite at 56%, against 24% for a draw and 20% for Septemvri Simitli. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Strumska Slava vs Septemvri Simitli?

A very open match: only 74 Elo points separate Strumska Slava (1,563) and Septemvri Simitli (1,489).

Strumska Slava win56 %

Draw24 %

Septemvri Simitli win20 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Strumska Slava have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; Septemvri Simitli have 8, 2 and 5.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Strumska Slava
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Natsional Sofia(away)	3-0	Third League - Southwest
Aug 15, 2026	Chavdar Etropole(home)	2-1	Third League - Southwest
Aug 8, 2026	CSKA Sofia III(away)	0-0	Third League - Southwest
Aug 1, 2026	Balkan Botevgrad(home)	2-0	Third League - Southwest
May 30, 2026	Pirin Razlog(away)	1-2	Third League - Southwest

Septemvri Simitli
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Chavdar Etropole(away)	2-4	Third League - Southwest
Aug 15, 2026	CSKA Sofia III(home)	0-0	Third League - Southwest
Aug 8, 2026	Balkan Botevgrad(away)	2-1	Third League - Southwest
Aug 1, 2026	Kostinbrod(home)	2-0	Third League - Southwest
May 29, 2026	Kyustendil(home)	2-0	Third League - Southwest

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Strumska Slava win(s), 0 draw(s), 3 Septemvri Simitli win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Apr 16, 2026	Septemvri Simitli 3-2 Strumska Slava	Third League - Southwest
Oct 4, 2025	Strumska Slava 3-2 Septemvri Simitli	Third League - Southwest
Apr 2, 2022	Strumska Slava 0-1 Septemvri Simitli	Second League
Sep 17, 2021	Septemvri Simitli 1-3 Strumska Slava	Second League
Mar 10, 2021	Strumska Slava 2-0 Septemvri Simitli	Second League
Aug 29, 2020	Septemvri Simitli 2-0 Strumska Slava	Second League

Last archived meeting: Septemvri Simitli vs Strumska Slava on Apr 16, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Strumska Slava score 1.6 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Septemvri Simitli score 1.4 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 53% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Strumska Slava	1.6	1.1	4	9/15	10/15
Septemvri Simitli	1.4	0.9	7	5/15	6/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Strumska Slava sit 2nd in Third League - Southwest (10 points from 4 matches) and Septemvri Simitli sit 6th (7 points from 4 matches).

2026 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
2	Strumska Slava	4	3	1	0	7	1	10
6	Septemvri Simitli	4	2	1	1	6	5	7

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Strumska Slava vs Septemvri Simitli?: The Footlab model makes Strumska Slava the favourite at 56%, against 24% for a draw and 20% for Septemvri Simitli.
Where and when is Strumska Slava vs Septemvri Simitli played?: Strumska Slava vs Septemvri Simitli is played on October 3, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Gradski stadion, in the Third League - Southwest.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 53% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.