Match

FK Minyor Pernik vs Slavia Sofia II: prediction and stats

Third League - SouthwestSouthwest - 10Kick-off on October 3, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Minyor, Pernik

FK Minyor PernikSlavia Sofia II

The Footlab model makes FK Minyor Pernik the favourite at 52%, against 25% for a draw and 23% for Slavia Sofia II. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win FK Minyor Pernik vs Slavia Sofia II?

A very open match: only 35 Elo points separate FK Minyor Pernik (1,516) and Slavia Sofia II (1,481).

FK Minyor Pernik win52 %
Draw25 %
Slavia Sofia II win23 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, FK Minyor Pernik have 4 wins, 2 draws and 9 defeats; Slavia Sofia II have 7, 1 and 7.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

FK Minyor Pernik
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Bansko(home)1-2Third League - Southwest
Aug 15, 2026Belasitsa(home)1-1Third League - Southwest
Aug 8, 2026Pirin Razlog(away)3-0Third League - Southwest
Aug 1, 2026Natsional Sofia(home)1-0Third League - Southwest
May 23, 2026Dunav Ruse(home)1-2Second League
Slavia Sofia II
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 23, 2026Kostinbrod(away)0-1Third League - Southwest
Aug 15, 2026Slivnishki geroy(home)1-2Third League - Southwest
Aug 8, 2026Septemvri Sofia II(away)0-1Third League - Southwest
Aug 1, 2026Levski Sofia II(home)1-0Third League - Southwest
May 30, 2026Slivnishki geroy(away)3-0Third League - Southwest

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 2 meetings: 2 FK Minyor Pernik win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 Slavia Sofia II win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
May 1, 2024FK Minyor Pernik 2-1 Slavia Sofia IIThird League - Southwest
Nov 8, 2023Slavia Sofia II 1-3 FK Minyor PernikThird League - Southwest

Last archived meeting: FK Minyor Pernik vs Slavia Sofia II on May 1, 2024

How many goals should we expect?

FK Minyor Pernik score 1.3 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Slavia Sofia II score 1.6 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 55% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
FK Minyor Pernik1.31.547/159/15
Slavia Sofia II1.61.155/156/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

FK Minyor Pernik sit 4th in Third League - Southwest (7 points from 4 matches) and Slavia Sofia II sit 16th (3 points from 4 matches).

2026 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
4FK Minyor Pernik4211637
16Slavia Sofia II4103243

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for FK Minyor Pernik vs Slavia Sofia II?
The Footlab model makes FK Minyor Pernik the favourite at 52%, against 25% for a draw and 23% for Slavia Sofia II.
Where and when is FK Minyor Pernik vs Slavia Sofia II played?
FK Minyor Pernik vs Slavia Sofia II is played on October 3, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Minyor, in the Third League - Southwest.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 55% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: FK Minyor Pernik and Slavia Sofia II

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