FK Minyor Pernik vs Slavia Sofia II: prediction and stats
Third League - SouthwestSouthwest - 10Kick-off on October 3, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Minyor, Pernik
The Footlab model makes FK Minyor Pernik the favourite at 52%, against 25% for a draw and 23% for Slavia Sofia II. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win FK Minyor Pernik vs Slavia Sofia II?
A very open match: only 35 Elo points separate FK Minyor Pernik (1,516) and Slavia Sofia II (1,481).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, FK Minyor Pernik have 4 wins, 2 draws and 9 defeats; Slavia Sofia II have 7, 1 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Bansko(home) | 1-2 | Third League - Southwest |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Belasitsa(home) | 1-1 | Third League - Southwest |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Pirin Razlog(away) | 3-0 | Third League - Southwest |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Natsional Sofia(home) | 1-0 | Third League - Southwest |
| May 23, 2026 | Dunav Ruse(home) | 1-2 | Second League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Kostinbrod(away) | 0-1 | Third League - Southwest |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Slivnishki geroy(home) | 1-2 | Third League - Southwest |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Septemvri Sofia II(away) | 0-1 | Third League - Southwest |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Levski Sofia II(home) | 1-0 | Third League - Southwest |
| May 30, 2026 | Slivnishki geroy(away) | 3-0 | Third League - Southwest |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 2 FK Minyor Pernik win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 Slavia Sofia II win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 1, 2024 | FK Minyor Pernik 2-1 Slavia Sofia II | Third League - Southwest |
| Nov 8, 2023 | Slavia Sofia II 1-3 FK Minyor Pernik | Third League - Southwest |
Last archived meeting: FK Minyor Pernik vs Slavia Sofia II on May 1, 2024
How many goals should we expect?
FK Minyor Pernik score 1.3 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Slavia Sofia II score 1.6 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 55% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FK Minyor Pernik | 1.3 | 1.5 | 4 | 7/15 | 9/15 |
| Slavia Sofia II | 1.6 | 1.1 | 5 | 5/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
FK Minyor Pernik sit 4th in Third League - Southwest (7 points from 4 matches) and Slavia Sofia II sit 16th (3 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | FK Minyor Pernik | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 3 | 7 |
| 16 | Slavia Sofia II | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for FK Minyor Pernik vs Slavia Sofia II?
- The Footlab model makes FK Minyor Pernik the favourite at 52%, against 25% for a draw and 23% for Slavia Sofia II.
- Where and when is FK Minyor Pernik vs Slavia Sofia II played?
- FK Minyor Pernik vs Slavia Sofia II is played on October 3, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Minyor, in the Third League - Southwest.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 55% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Oct 3, 2026BanskovsBotev Ihtiman
- Oct 3, 2026OborishtevsKyustendil
- Oct 3, 2026Strumska SlavavsSeptemvri Simitli
- Oct 3, 2026BelasitsavsBalkan Botevgrad
- Oct 3, 2026Chavdar EtropolevsSlivnishki geroy
- Oct 3, 2026Pirin RazlogvsLevski Sofia II
- Oct 3, 2026Natsional SofiavsSeptemvri Sofia II
- Oct 3, 2026CSKA Sofia IIIvsKostinbrod