Espanyol vs Real Sociedad: prediction and stats
La LigaRegular Season - 33Kick-off on April 21, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Stage Front Stadium, Cornella de Llobregat
The Footlab model makes Espanyol the favourite at 46%, against 26% for a draw and 28% for Real Sociedad. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Espanyol vs Real Sociedad?
A very open match: only 60 Elo points separate Espanyol (2,038) and Real Sociedad (2,098).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Espanyol have 5 wins, 5 draws and 5 defeats; Real Sociedad have 2, 6 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Real Madrid(home) | 1-2 | La Liga |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Levante(home) | 3-0 | La Liga |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Coventry(away) | 1-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Middlesbrough(away) | 3-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 29, 2026 | Burnley(away) | 2-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Real Betis(away) | 0-1 | La Liga |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Chelsea(away) | 1-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 8, 2026 | 1. FC Köln(away) | 1-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Toulouse(away) | 1-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 28, 2026 | Aston Villa(away) | 4-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Espanyol win(s), 2 draw(s), 4 Real Sociedad win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 23, 2026 | Espanyol 1-1 Real Sociedad | La Liga |
| Aug 24, 2025 | Real Sociedad 2-2 Espanyol | La Liga |
| Feb 9, 2025 | Real Sociedad 2-1 Espanyol | La Liga |
| Aug 24, 2024 | Espanyol 0-1 Real Sociedad | La Liga |
| Feb 13, 2023 | Espanyol 2-3 Real Sociedad | La Liga |
| Sep 18, 2022 | Real Sociedad 2-1 Espanyol | La Liga |
Last archived meeting: Espanyol vs Real Sociedad on May 23, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Espanyol score 1.6 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Real Sociedad score 1.5 and concede 1.8. The model gives a 52% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Espanyol | 1.6 | 1.2 | 5 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
| Real Sociedad | 1.5 | 1.8 | 0 | 12/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Espanyol sit 5th in La Liga (3 points from 2 matches) and Real Sociedad sit 19th (0 points from 1 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Espanyol | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 3 |
| 19 | Real Sociedad | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Espanyol vs Real Sociedad?
- The Footlab model makes Espanyol the favourite at 46%, against 26% for a draw and 28% for Real Sociedad.
- Where and when is Espanyol vs Real Sociedad played?
- Espanyol vs Real Sociedad is played on April 21, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Stage Front Stadium, in the La Liga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 52% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.