Bristol Rovers vs Walsall: prediction and stats
League TwoRegular Season - 21Kick-off on December 26, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Memorial Stadium, Bristol, Gloucestershire
The Footlab model makes Bristol Rovers the favourite at 41%, against 28% for a draw and 31% for Walsall. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Bristol Rovers vs Walsall?
A very open match: only 16 Elo points separate Bristol Rovers (1,754) and Walsall (1,739).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Bristol Rovers have 9 wins, 3 draws and 3 defeats; Walsall have 4, 5 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Newport County(home) | 5-3 | League Two |
| Aug 15, 2026 | York(away) | 2-3 | League Two |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Peterborough(home) | 0-1 | League Cup |
| Jul 21, 2026 | Forest Green(away) | 2-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 18, 2026 | Portsmouth(home) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Grimsby(home) | 0-0 | League Two |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Gillingham(away) | 3-0 | League Two |
| Aug 6, 2026 | Bristol City(away) | 1-0 | League Cup |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Notts County(home) | 0-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 25, 2026 | AFC Telford United(away) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Bristol Rovers win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Walsall win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 3, 2026 | Bristol Rovers 2-0 Walsall | League Two |
| Oct 4, 2025 | Walsall 2-1 Bristol Rovers | League Two |
| Jan 29, 2022 | Bristol Rovers 1-0 Walsall | League Two |
| Sep 25, 2021 | Walsall 1-2 Bristol Rovers | League Two |
| Nov 7, 2020 | Walsall 1-2 Bristol Rovers | FA Cup |
| Sep 8, 2020 | Bristol Rovers 2-2 Walsall | EFL Trophy |
Last archived meeting: Bristol Rovers vs Walsall on Feb 3, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Bristol Rovers score 2.1 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Walsall score 0.9 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 47% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bristol Rovers | 2.1 | 1.3 | 3 | 11/15 | 10/15 |
| Walsall | 0.9 | 1.5 | 5 | 6/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Bristol Rovers sit 10th in League Two (3 points from 2 matches) and Walsall sit 3rd (4 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Walsall | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 4 |
| 10 | Bristol Rovers | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 6 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Bristol Rovers vs Walsall?
- The Footlab model makes Bristol Rovers the favourite at 41%, against 28% for a draw and 31% for Walsall.
- Where and when is Bristol Rovers vs Walsall played?
- Bristol Rovers vs Walsall is played on December 26, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Memorial Stadium, in the League Two.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 47% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.