Fleetwood Town vs Crewe: prediction and stats
League TwoRegular Season - 21Kick-off on December 26, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Highbury Stadium, Fleetwood, Lancashire
The Footlab model makes Fleetwood Town the favourite at 41%, against 30% for a draw and 30% for Crewe. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Fleetwood Town vs Crewe?
A very open match: only 16 Elo points separate Fleetwood Town (1,768) and Crewe (1,784).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Fleetwood Town have 6 wins, 5 draws and 4 defeats; Crewe have 7, 3 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Gillingham(home) | 0-0 | League Two |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Chesterfield(away) | 1-0 | League Two |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Chesterfield(home) | 1-0 | League Cup |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Hartlepool(away) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 28, 2026 | Bolton(home) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Northampton(home) | 1-0 | League Two |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Crawley Town(away) | 1-0 | League Two |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Accrington ST(home) | 2-1 | League Cup |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Chester(away) | 0-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Birmingham(home) | 1-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Fleetwood Town win(s), 0 draw(s), 2 Crewe win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 17, 2026 | Crewe 0-1 Fleetwood Town | League Two |
| Aug 19, 2025 | Fleetwood Town 1-4 Crewe | League Two |
| Mar 4, 2025 | Crewe 1-4 Fleetwood Town | League Two |
| Oct 22, 2024 | Fleetwood Town 0-1 Crewe | League Two |
| Apr 2, 2022 | Crewe 1-3 Fleetwood Town | League One |
| Oct 16, 2021 | Fleetwood Town 3-0 Crewe | League One |
Last archived meeting: Crewe vs Fleetwood Town on Feb 17, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Fleetwood Town score 1.3 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Crewe score 1.2 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 41% probability of over 2.5 goals and 48% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fleetwood Town | 1.3 | 1.1 | 5 | 7/15 | 5/15 |
| Crewe | 1.2 | 1.1 | 6 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Fleetwood Town sit 9th in League Two (4 points from 2 matches) and Crewe sit 2nd (6 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Crewe | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 6 |
| 9 | Fleetwood Town | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Fleetwood Town vs Crewe?
- The Footlab model makes Fleetwood Town the favourite at 41%, against 30% for a draw and 30% for Crewe.
- Where and when is Fleetwood Town vs Crewe played?
- Fleetwood Town vs Crewe is played on December 26, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Highbury Stadium, in the League Two.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 41% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.