Crawley Town vs Gillingham: prediction and stats
League TwoRegular Season - 21Kick-off on December 26, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Broadfield Stadium, Crawley, West Sussex
The Footlab AI model makes Crawley Town the favourite at 39%, against 28% for a draw and 33% for Gillingham. The most likely score is 1-1. If Crawley Town wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,504 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 17, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Crawley Town vs Gillingham?
A very open match: only 73 Elo points separate Crawley Town (1,706) and Gillingham (1,779).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Crawley Town vs Gillingham
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Crawley Town
4-4-2- 9D. Orsi
- 8L. Watson
- 20J. Arthurs
- 22A. Adeyemo
- 30Kai Jennings
- 10S. Duke-McKenna
- 6P. Farquharson
- 24A. Odimayo
- 5C. Barker
- 12L. Richards
- 1V. Mannone
Gillingham
3-4-3- 10Ronan Hale
- 24H. Waldock
- 11L. Sillah
- 16J. Brophy
- 22N. Freeman
- 14R. McKenzie
- 8A. Little
- 5A. Smith
- 26L. Dobbs
- 19O. Beckles
- 40R. Luthra
Computed on October 17, 2026 at 03:26 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Crawley Town have 4 wins, 2 draws and 9 defeats; Gillingham have 7, 4 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Chesterfield(home) | 2-2 | League Two |
| Oct 6, 2026 | Bromley(home) | 4-0 | EFL Trophy |
| Sep 22, 2026 | Milton Keynes Dons(away) | 1-4 | EFL Trophy |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Grimsby(away) | 0-2 | League Two |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Cheltenham(home) | 1-3 | League Two |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 13, 2026 | Brighton U21(home) | 4-3 | EFL Trophy |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Rotherham(away) | 4-1 | League Two |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Newport County(home) | 0-0 | League Two |
| Sep 26, 2026 | York(away) | 0-3 | League Two |
| Sep 22, 2026 | Cambridge United(home) | 1-4 | EFL Trophy |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Crawley Town wins, 2 draws, 2 Gillingham wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 28, 2026 | Crawley Town 2-0 Gillingham | League Two |
| Nov 15, 2025 | Gillingham 2-2 Crawley Town | League Two |
| Dec 26, 2023 | Gillingham 0-2 Crawley Town | League Two |
| Aug 19, 2023 | Crawley Town 0-1 Gillingham | League Two |
| Feb 4, 2023 | Gillingham 1-0 Crawley Town | League Two |
| Nov 22, 2022 | Crawley Town 0-0 Gillingham | League Two |
Last archived meeting: Crawley Town vs Gillingham on Mar 28, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Crawley Town score 1.1 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Gillingham score 1.5 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 45% probability of over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Crawley Town | 1.1 | 1.6 | 3 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
| Gillingham | 1.5 | 1.4 | 5 | 7/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Crawley Town sit 24th in League Two (5 points from 8 matches) and Gillingham sit 4th (16 points from 10 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Gillingham | 10 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 15 | 10 | 16 |
| 24 | Crawley Town | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 8 | 15 | 5 |
A question about Crawley Town vs Gillingham?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Crawley Town vs Gillingham?
- The Footlab AI model makes Crawley Town the favourite at 39%, against 28% for a draw and 33% for Gillingham.
- Where and when is Crawley Town vs Gillingham played?
- Crawley Town vs Gillingham is played on December 26, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Broadfield Stadium, in the League Two.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 45% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.