Barranquilla vs Ind. Yumbo: prediction and stats
Primera BClausura - 9Kick-off on September 12, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Metropolitano Roberto Meléndez, Barranquilla
The Footlab model makes Barranquilla the favourite at 38%, against 30% for a draw and 32% for Ind. Yumbo. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Barranquilla vs Ind. Yumbo?
Ind. Yumbo starts as the favourite with a 100-point Elo edge (1,578 vs 1,479).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Barranquilla have 3 wins, 7 draws and 5 defeats; Ind. Yumbo have 4, 4 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 20, 2026 | Real Santander(away) | 2-2 | Primera B |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Depor FC(home) | 2-2 | Primera B |
| Jul 29, 2026 | Junior(home) | 3-3 | Copa Colombia |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Orsomarso(away) | 0-1 | Primera B |
| Jul 23, 2026 | Junior(away) | 2-2 | Copa Colombia |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 24, 2026 | Real Santander(away) | 0-1 | Primera B |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Real Cartagena(away) | 2-0 | Primera B |
| Aug 3, 2026 | Envigado(home) | 1-1 | Primera B |
| Jul 28, 2026 | Depor FC(away) | 2-0 | Primera B |
| May 21, 2026 | Jaguares(away) | 0-3 | Copa Colombia |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 1 meetings: 0 Barranquilla win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Ind. Yumbo win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 11, 2026 | Ind. Yumbo 1-0 Barranquilla | Primera B |
Last archived meeting: Ind. Yumbo vs Barranquilla on Mar 11, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Barranquilla score 1.4 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Ind. Yumbo score 0.7 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 42% probability of over 2.5 goals and 48% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Barranquilla | 1.4 | 1.5 | 3 | 10/15 | 8/15 |
| Ind. Yumbo | 0.7 | 1.3 | 4 | 5/15 | 3/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Barranquilla sit 7th in Primera B (20 points from 15 matches) and Ind. Yumbo sit 9th (19 points from 15 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ind. Yumbo | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 7 |
| 3 | Barranquilla | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 6 |
| 3 | Ind. Yumbo | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 7 |
| 7 | Barranquilla | 15 | 6 | 2 | 7 | 21 | 20 | 20 |
| 7 | Barranquilla | 15 | 6 | 2 | 7 | 21 | 20 | 20 |
| 7 | Barranquilla | 24 | 7 | 7 | 10 | 30 | 31 | 28 |
| 9 | Ind. Yumbo | 15 | 4 | 7 | 4 | 13 | 14 | 19 |
| 9 | Ind. Yumbo | 15 | 4 | 7 | 4 | 13 | 14 | 19 |
| 9 | Ind. Yumbo | 18 | 6 | 8 | 4 | 18 | 15 | 26 |
| 13 | Barranquilla | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 2 |
| 14 | Barranquilla | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Barranquilla vs Ind. Yumbo?
- The Footlab model makes Barranquilla the favourite at 38%, against 30% for a draw and 32% for Ind. Yumbo.
- Where and when is Barranquilla vs Ind. Yumbo played?
- Barranquilla vs Ind. Yumbo is played on September 12, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Metropolitano Roberto Meléndez, in the Primera B.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 42% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.