Internacional Palmira vs Real Cartagena: prediction and stats
Primera BClausura - 9Kick-off on September 12, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC)
The Footlab model makes Internacional Palmira the favourite at 38%, against 30% for a draw and 33% for Real Cartagena. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Internacional Palmira vs Real Cartagena?
A very open match: only 14 Elo points separate Internacional Palmira (1,602) and Real Cartagena (1,617).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Internacional Palmira have 5 wins, 6 draws and 4 defeats; Real Cartagena have 7, 4 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 25, 2026 | Barranquilla(home) | 1-0 | Primera B |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Quindio(away) | 1-1 | Primera B |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Bogota FC(home) | 0-0 | Primera B |
| Jul 29, 2026 | Internacional de Bogota(home) | 1-2 | Copa Colombia |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Patriotas(away) | 1-3 | Primera B |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 24, 2026 | Leones FC(away) | 6-1 | Primera B |
| Aug 20, 2026 | Bogota FC(home) | 2-0 | Primera B |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Ind. Yumbo(home) | 0-2 | Primera B |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Real Soacha(away) | 1-1 | Primera B |
| Jul 30, 2026 | America de Cali(home) | 1-1 | Copa Colombia |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Internacional Palmira win(s), 4 draw(s), 1 Real Cartagena win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 11, 2026 | Real Cartagena 2-2 Internacional Palmira | Primera B |
| Jul 15, 2025 | Real Cartagena 0-0 Internacional Palmira | Primera B |
| Jun 14, 2025 | Real Cartagena 3-3 Internacional Palmira | Primera B |
| May 27, 2025 | Internacional Palmira 0-1 Real Cartagena | Primera B |
| Jan 31, 2025 | Internacional Palmira 2-0 Real Cartagena | Primera B |
| Jul 19, 2024 | Internacional Palmira 0-0 Real Cartagena | Primera B |
Last archived meeting: Real Cartagena vs Internacional Palmira on Mar 11, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Internacional Palmira score 0.9 and concede 0.8 goals per match over their last 15; Real Cartagena score 1.8 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 42% probability of over 2.5 goals and 48% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Internacional Palmira | 0.9 | 0.8 | 7 | 6/15 | 5/15 |
| Real Cartagena | 1.8 | 1.2 | 3 | 10/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Internacional Palmira sit 1st in Primera B (38 points from 15 matches) and Real Cartagena sit 5th (27 points from 17 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Real Cartagena | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 6 | 13 |
| 1 | Real Cartagena | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 14 | 5 | 10 |
| 1 | Real Cartagena | 28 | 14 | 8 | 6 | 48 | 30 | 50 |
| 1 | Internacional Palmira | 15 | 12 | 2 | 1 | 29 | 13 | 38 |
| 1 | Internacional Palmira | 15 | 12 | 2 | 1 | 29 | 13 | 38 |
| 2 | Internacional Palmira | 25 | 14 | 8 | 3 | 35 | 20 | 50 |
| 3 | Real Cartagena | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 4 | 4 |
| 3 | Internacional Palmira | 6 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 7 |
| 5 | Real Cartagena | 17 | 7 | 6 | 4 | 26 | 19 | 27 |
| 5 | Real Cartagena | 15 | 7 | 5 | 3 | 23 | 15 | 26 |
| 11 | Internacional Palmira | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
| 12 | Internacional Palmira | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 2 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Internacional Palmira vs Real Cartagena?
- The Footlab model makes Internacional Palmira the favourite at 38%, against 30% for a draw and 33% for Real Cartagena.
- Where and when is Internacional Palmira vs Real Cartagena played?
- Internacional Palmira vs Real Cartagena is played on September 12, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC), in the Primera B.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 42% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.