Tigres FC vs Bogota FC: prediction and stats
Primera BClausura - 9Kick-off on September 12, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Metropolitano de Techo, Bogotá, D.C.
The Footlab model makes Tigres FC the favourite at 40%, against 34% for a draw and 26% for Bogota FC. The most likely score is 0-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Tigres FC vs Bogota FC?
A very open match: only 31 Elo points separate Tigres FC (1,487) and Bogota FC (1,456).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Tigres FC have 5 wins, 2 draws and 8 defeats; Bogota FC have 5, 4 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 24, 2026 | Union Magdalena(home) | 1-0 | Primera B |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Envigado(home) | 2-1 | Primera B |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Popayan(away) | 0-0 | Primera B |
| Jul 29, 2026 | Atletico Nacional(home) | 0-2 | Copa Colombia |
| Jul 24, 2026 | Leones FC(home) | 0-1 | Primera B |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 25, 2026 | Popayan(away) | 2-1 | Primera B |
| Aug 20, 2026 | Real Cartagena(away) | 0-2 | Primera B |
| Aug 6, 2026 | Leones FC(home) | 0-1 | Primera B |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Internacional Palmira(away) | 0-0 | Primera B |
| Jul 29, 2026 | Deportivo Pasto(home) | 0-3 | Copa Colombia |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Tigres FC win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Bogota FC win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 11, 2026 | Bogota FC 0-1 Tigres FC | Primera B |
| Oct 20, 2025 | Tigres FC 1-1 Bogota FC | Primera B |
| Sep 6, 2025 | Bogota FC 1-0 Tigres FC | Primera B |
| May 11, 2025 | Bogota FC 1-2 Tigres FC | Primera B |
| Mar 30, 2025 | Tigres FC 2-1 Bogota FC | Primera B |
| Oct 5, 2024 | Bogota FC 3-2 Tigres FC | Primera B |
Last archived meeting: Bogota FC vs Tigres FC on Mar 11, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Tigres FC score 0.8 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Bogota FC score 0.7 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 28% probability of over 2.5 goals and 36% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tigres FC | 0.8 | 1.1 | 4 | 4/15 | 4/15 |
| Bogota FC | 0.7 | 1.1 | 5 | 5/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Tigres FC sit 8th in Primera B (20 points from 15 matches) and Bogota FC sit 6th (23 points from 15 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Tigres FC | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 4 |
| 4 | Bogota FC | 6 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 3 |
| 6 | Tigres FC | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 7 |
| 6 | Bogota FC | 15 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 16 | 14 | 23 |
| 6 | Bogota FC | 15 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 16 | 14 | 23 |
| 6 | Bogota FC | 26 | 8 | 9 | 9 | 22 | 26 | 33 |
| 7 | Tigres FC | 25 | 8 | 7 | 10 | 22 | 24 | 31 |
| 7 | Bogota FC | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 7 |
| 8 | Tigres FC | 15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 15 | 14 | 20 |
| 8 | Tigres FC | 15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 15 | 14 | 20 |
| 8 | Bogota FC | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 |
| 15 | Tigres FC | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Tigres FC vs Bogota FC?
- The Footlab model makes Tigres FC the favourite at 40%, against 34% for a draw and 26% for Bogota FC.
- Where and when is Tigres FC vs Bogota FC played?
- Tigres FC vs Bogota FC is played on September 12, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Metropolitano de Techo, in the Primera B.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 28% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.