Match

ROW Rybnik vs Stal Brzeg: prediction and stats

III Liga - Group 3Group III - 10Kick-off on September 26, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stadion MOSiR, Rybnik

ROW RybnikStal Brzeg

The Footlab model makes ROW Rybnik the favourite at 65%, against 19% for a draw and 16% for Stal Brzeg. The most likely score is 2-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win ROW Rybnik vs Stal Brzeg?

A very open match: only 35 Elo points separate ROW Rybnik (1,661) and Stal Brzeg (1,627).

ROW Rybnik win65 %
Draw19 %
Stal Brzeg win16 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, ROW Rybnik have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; Stal Brzeg have 5, 4 and 6.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

ROW Rybnik
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Barycz Sułów(away)0-4III Liga - Group 3
Aug 19, 2026Carina Gubin(home)4-0III Liga - Group 3
Aug 16, 2026Zaglebie Sosnowiec(home)4-1III Liga - Group 3
Aug 8, 2026Karkonosze Jelenia Góra(away)0-1III Liga - Group 3
Aug 1, 2026Warta Gorzów(home)5-1III Liga - Group 3
Stal Brzeg
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 23, 2026Rakow II(home)3-0III Liga - Group 3
Aug 19, 2026Polonia Nysa(away)2-3III Liga - Group 3
Aug 14, 2026Sparta Katowice(home)1-1III Liga - Group 3
Aug 7, 2026Ślęza Wrocław(home)5-1III Liga - Group 3
Jul 31, 2026Goczałkowice Zdrój(home)1-1III Liga - Group 3

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 2 meetings: 1 ROW Rybnik win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Stal Brzeg win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Mar 27, 2021Stal Brzeg 1-2 ROW RybnikIII Liga - Group 3
Aug 15, 2020ROW Rybnik 0-2 Stal BrzegIII Liga - Group 3

Last archived meeting: Stal Brzeg vs ROW Rybnik on Mar 27, 2021

How many goals should we expect?

ROW Rybnik score 2.5 and concede 2.2 goals per match over their last 15; Stal Brzeg score 1.5 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 71% probability of over 2.5 goals and 64% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
ROW Rybnik2.52.249/1512/15
Stal Brzeg1.51.347/156/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

ROW Rybnik sit 6th in III Liga - Group 3 (9 points from 5 matches) and Stal Brzeg sit 7th (8 points from 5 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
6ROW Rybnik53021379
7Stal Brzeg52211268

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for ROW Rybnik vs Stal Brzeg?
The Footlab model makes ROW Rybnik the favourite at 65%, against 19% for a draw and 16% for Stal Brzeg.
Where and when is ROW Rybnik vs Stal Brzeg played?
ROW Rybnik vs Stal Brzeg is played on September 26, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion MOSiR, in the III Liga - Group 3.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 71% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: ROW Rybnik and Stal Brzeg

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