Miedź Legnica II vs Sparta Katowice: prediction and stats
III Liga - Group 3Group III - 10Kick-off on September 26, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Boisko piłkarskie przy Stadionie Miejskim - sztuczna nawierzchnia, Legnica
The Footlab model makes Sparta Katowice the favourite at 38%, against 25% for a draw and 37% for Miedź Legnica II. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Miedź Legnica II vs Sparta Katowice?
A very open match: only 61 Elo points separate Miedź Legnica II (1,772) and Sparta Katowice (1,832).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Miedź Legnica II have 8 wins, 2 draws and 5 defeats; Sparta Katowice have 10, 3 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Zagłębie Lubin II(away) | 2-3 | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Odra Bytom Odrzański(home) | 0-1 | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Górnik Polkowice(away) | 3-3 | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Barycz Sułów(home) | 1-2 | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Carina Gubin(away) | 1-2 | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Ślęza Wrocław(home) | 3-0 | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Goczałkowice Zdrój(home) | 2-1 | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Stal Brzeg(away) | 1-1 | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Stilon Gorzów(home) | 2-1 | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Zagłębie Lubin II(away) | 0-1 | III Liga - Group 3 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 0 Miedź Legnica II win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Sparta Katowice win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 7, 2026 | Sparta Katowice 2-2 Miedź Legnica II | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Aug 22, 2025 | Miedź Legnica II 2-3 Sparta Katowice | III Liga - Group 3 |
Last archived meeting: Sparta Katowice vs Miedź Legnica II on Mar 7, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Miedź Legnica II score 2.2 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Sparta Katowice score 1.9 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 59% probability of over 2.5 goals and 62% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Miedź Legnica II | 2.2 | 1.4 | 4 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
| Sparta Katowice | 1.9 | 0.9 | 6 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Miedź Legnica II sit 17th in III Liga - Group 3 (1 points from 5 matches) and Sparta Katowice sit 5th (10 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Sparta Katowice | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 4 | 10 |
| 17 | Miedź Legnica II | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 11 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Miedź Legnica II vs Sparta Katowice?
- The Footlab model makes Sparta Katowice the favourite at 38%, against 25% for a draw and 37% for Miedź Legnica II.
- Where and when is Miedź Legnica II vs Sparta Katowice played?
- Miedź Legnica II vs Sparta Katowice is played on September 26, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Boisko piłkarskie przy Stadionie Miejskim - sztuczna nawierzchnia, in the III Liga - Group 3.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 59% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Sep 26, 2026Zaglebie SosnowiecvsSłowianin
- Sep 26, 2026ROW RybnikvsStal Brzeg
- Sep 26, 2026Górnik PolkowicevsOdra Bytom Odrzański
- Sep 26, 2026KluczborkvsSKRA Częstochowa
- Sep 26, 2026Warta GorzówvsŚlęza Wrocław
- Sep 26, 2026Carina GubinvsStilon Gorzów
- Sep 26, 2026Karkonosze Jelenia GóravsGoczałkowice Zdrój
- Sep 26, 2026Barycz SułówvsZagłębie Lubin II