Match

Miedź Legnica II vs Sparta Katowice: prediction and stats

III Liga - Group 3Group III - 10Kick-off on September 26, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Boisko piłkarskie przy Stadionie Miejskim - sztuczna nawierzchnia, Legnica

Miedź Legnica IISparta Katowice

The Footlab model makes Sparta Katowice the favourite at 38%, against 25% for a draw and 37% for Miedź Legnica II. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Miedź Legnica II vs Sparta Katowice?

A very open match: only 61 Elo points separate Miedź Legnica II (1,772) and Sparta Katowice (1,832).

Miedź Legnica II win37 %
Draw25 %
Sparta Katowice win38 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Miedź Legnica II have 8 wins, 2 draws and 5 defeats; Sparta Katowice have 10, 3 and 2.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Miedź Legnica II
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Zagłębie Lubin II(away)2-3III Liga - Group 3
Aug 19, 2026Odra Bytom Odrzański(home)0-1III Liga - Group 3
Aug 14, 2026Górnik Polkowice(away)3-3III Liga - Group 3
Aug 9, 2026Barycz Sułów(home)1-2III Liga - Group 3
Aug 1, 2026Carina Gubin(away)1-2III Liga - Group 3
Sparta Katowice
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Ślęza Wrocław(home)3-0III Liga - Group 3
Aug 19, 2026Goczałkowice Zdrój(home)2-1III Liga - Group 3
Aug 14, 2026Stal Brzeg(away)1-1III Liga - Group 3
Aug 8, 2026Stilon Gorzów(home)2-1III Liga - Group 3
Aug 1, 2026Zagłębie Lubin II(away)0-1III Liga - Group 3

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 2 meetings: 0 Miedź Legnica II win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Sparta Katowice win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Mar 7, 2026Sparta Katowice 2-2 Miedź Legnica IIIII Liga - Group 3
Aug 22, 2025Miedź Legnica II 2-3 Sparta KatowiceIII Liga - Group 3

Last archived meeting: Sparta Katowice vs Miedź Legnica II on Mar 7, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Miedź Legnica II score 2.2 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Sparta Katowice score 1.9 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 59% probability of over 2.5 goals and 62% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Miedź Legnica II2.21.4410/1510/15
Sparta Katowice1.90.968/159/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Miedź Legnica II sit 17th in III Liga - Group 3 (1 points from 5 matches) and Sparta Katowice sit 5th (10 points from 5 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
5Sparta Katowice53118410
17Miedź Legnica II50147111

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Miedź Legnica II vs Sparta Katowice?
The Footlab model makes Sparta Katowice the favourite at 38%, against 25% for a draw and 37% for Miedź Legnica II.
Where and when is Miedź Legnica II vs Sparta Katowice played?
Miedź Legnica II vs Sparta Katowice is played on September 26, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Boisko piłkarskie przy Stadionie Miejskim - sztuczna nawierzchnia, in the III Liga - Group 3.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 59% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Miedź Legnica II and Sparta Katowice

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