Górnik Polkowice vs Odra Bytom Odrzański: prediction and stats
III Liga - Group 3Group III - 10Kick-off on September 26, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Górnik, Polkowice
The Footlab model makes Górnik Polkowice the favourite at 55%, against 24% for a draw and 21% for Odra Bytom Odrzański. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Górnik Polkowice vs Odra Bytom Odrzański?
Górnik Polkowice starts as the favourite with a 157-point Elo edge (1,839 vs 1,682).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Górnik Polkowice have 8 wins, 2 draws and 5 defeats; Odra Bytom Odrzański have 7, 2 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Karkonosze Jelenia Góra(home) | 2-1 | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Warta Gorzów(away) | 0-0 | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Miedź Legnica II(home) | 3-3 | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Kluczbork(away) | 1-2 | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Rakow II(home) | 5-4 | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Warta Gorzów(home) | 0-1 | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Miedź Legnica II(away) | 1-0 | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Kluczbork(home) | 1-0 | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Rakow II(away) | 1-0 | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Polonia Nysa(home) | 3-0 | III Liga - Group 3 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 2 Górnik Polkowice win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Odra Bytom Odrzański win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 21, 2025 | Górnik Polkowice 3-0 Odra Bytom Odrzański | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Oct 26, 2024 | Odra Bytom Odrzański 0-3 Górnik Polkowice | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Mar 30, 2024 | Odra Bytom Odrzański 4-0 Górnik Polkowice | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Sep 2, 2023 | Górnik Polkowice 2-2 Odra Bytom Odrzański | III Liga - Group 3 |
Last archived meeting: Górnik Polkowice vs Odra Bytom Odrzański on May 21, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Górnik Polkowice score 2.3 and concede 2.1 goals per match over their last 15; Odra Bytom Odrzański score 1.3 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 56% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Górnik Polkowice | 2.3 | 2.1 | 3 | 11/15 | 13/15 |
| Odra Bytom Odrzański | 1.3 | 1.1 | 5 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Górnik Polkowice sit 9th in III Liga - Group 3 (8 points from 5 matches) and Odra Bytom Odrzański sit 1st (12 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Odra Bytom Odrzański | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 1 | 12 |
| 9 | Górnik Polkowice | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 11 | 10 | 8 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Górnik Polkowice vs Odra Bytom Odrzański?
- The Footlab model makes Górnik Polkowice the favourite at 55%, against 24% for a draw and 21% for Odra Bytom Odrzański.
- Where and when is Górnik Polkowice vs Odra Bytom Odrzański played?
- Górnik Polkowice vs Odra Bytom Odrzański is played on September 26, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Górnik, in the III Liga - Group 3.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 56% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
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