Eibar II vs Basconia: prediction and stats
Segunda División RFEF - Group 1Group 1 - 6Kick-off on October 11, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Complejo Deportivo de Unbe Inferior, Eibar
The Footlab model makes Basconia the favourite at 41%, against 25% for a draw and 34% for Eibar II. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Eibar II vs Basconia?
A very open match: only 74 Elo points separate Eibar II (1,887) and Basconia (1,962).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Eibar II have 7 wins, 2 draws and 6 defeats; Basconia have 7, 6 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 2, 2026 | Náxara(home) | 3-2 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Ejea(away) | 1-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Ebro(home) | 1-2 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Utebo(away) | 1-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Apr 4, 2026 | UD Logroñés(home) | 3-2 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 2026 | Racing Santander II(away) | 3-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Gimnástica Torrelavega(away) | 1-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 3, 2026 | Ejea(home) | 5-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Gernika(home) | 0-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Sestao River(away) | 2-2 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 2 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 0 Eibar II win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Basconia win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 15, 2026 | Eibar II 1-3 Basconia | Segunda División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Dec 6, 2025 | Basconia 1-1 Eibar II | Segunda División RFEF - Group 2 |
How many goals should we expect?
Eibar II score 1.5 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Basconia score 2.3 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 59% probability of over 2.5 goals and 62% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eibar II | 1.5 | 1.4 | 3 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
| Basconia | 2.3 | 1.3 | 5 | 9/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Eibar II vs Basconia?
- The Footlab model makes Basconia the favourite at 41%, against 25% for a draw and 34% for Eibar II.
- Where and when is Eibar II vs Basconia played?
- Eibar II vs Basconia is played on October 11, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Complejo Deportivo de Unbe Inferior, in the Segunda División RFEF - Group 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 59% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
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