Match

Eibar II vs Basconia: prediction and stats

Segunda División RFEF - Group 1Group 1 - 6Kick-off on October 11, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Complejo Deportivo de Unbe Inferior, Eibar

Eibar IIBasconia

The Footlab model makes Basconia the favourite at 41%, against 25% for a draw and 34% for Eibar II. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Eibar II vs Basconia?

A very open match: only 74 Elo points separate Eibar II (1,887) and Basconia (1,962).

Eibar II win34 %
Draw25 %
Basconia win41 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Eibar II have 7 wins, 2 draws and 6 defeats; Basconia have 7, 6 and 2.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Eibar II
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
May 2, 2026Náxara(home)3-2Segunda División RFEF - Group 2
Apr 26, 2026Ejea(away)1-1Segunda División RFEF - Group 2
Apr 18, 2026Ebro(home)1-2Segunda División RFEF - Group 2
Apr 12, 2026Utebo(away)1-1Segunda División RFEF - Group 2
Apr 4, 2026UD Logroñés(home)3-2Segunda División RFEF - Group 2
Basconia
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 15, 2026Racing Santander II(away)3-3Friendlies Clubs
Aug 8, 2026Gimnástica Torrelavega(away)1-2Friendlies Clubs
May 3, 2026Ejea(home)5-1Segunda División RFEF - Group 2
Apr 26, 2026Gernika(home)0-0Segunda División RFEF - Group 2
Apr 18, 2026Sestao River(away)2-2Segunda División RFEF - Group 2

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 2 meetings: 0 Eibar II win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Basconia win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Feb 15, 2026Eibar II 1-3 BasconiaSegunda División RFEF - Group 2
Dec 6, 2025Basconia 1-1 Eibar IISegunda División RFEF - Group 2

Last archived meeting: Eibar II vs Basconia on Feb 15, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Eibar II score 1.5 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Basconia score 2.3 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 59% probability of over 2.5 goals and 62% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Eibar II1.51.439/158/15
Basconia2.31.359/1511/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Eibar II vs Basconia?
The Footlab model makes Basconia the favourite at 41%, against 25% for a draw and 34% for Eibar II.
Where and when is Eibar II vs Basconia played?
Eibar II vs Basconia is played on October 11, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Complejo Deportivo de Unbe Inferior, in the Segunda División RFEF - Group 1.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 59% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Eibar II and Basconia

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