Bath City vs Chippenham Town: prediction and stats
Non League Premier - Southern SouthRegular Season - 7Kick-off on September 12, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Twerton Park Stadium, Bath, Somerset
The Footlab model makes Bath City the favourite at 49%, against 24% for a draw and 27% for Chippenham Town. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Bath City vs Chippenham Town?
A very open match: only 4 Elo points separate Bath City (1,690) and Chippenham Town (1,686).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Bath City have 5 wins, 2 draws and 8 defeats; Chippenham Town have 6, 2 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Basingstoke Town(away) | 0-1 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Hanworth Villa(home) | 1-0 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Plymouth Parkway(home) | 1-1 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Sholing(away) | 2-1 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Farnborough(away) | 0-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Chichester City(away) | 0-4 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Plymouth Parkway(home) | 3-2 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Yate Town(home) | 1-1 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Uxbridge(away) | 0-2 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Jul 14, 2026 | Swindon Town(away) | 1-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Bath City win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Chippenham Town win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 3, 2026 | Bath City 1-0 Chippenham Town | National League - South |
| Dec 26, 2025 | Chippenham Town 3-2 Bath City | National League - South |
| Apr 21, 2025 | Bath City 0-1 Chippenham Town | National League - South |
| Dec 26, 2024 | Chippenham Town 0-3 Bath City | National League - South |
| Jan 1, 2024 | Bath City 0-0 Chippenham Town | National League - South |
| Dec 26, 2023 | Chippenham Town 1-2 Bath City | National League - South |
Last archived meeting: Bath City vs Chippenham Town on Apr 3, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Bath City score 1.2 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Chippenham Town score 1.4 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 63% probability of over 2.5 goals and 64% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bath City | 1.2 | 1.9 | 2 | 8/15 | 10/15 |
| Chippenham Town | 1.4 | 1.6 | 3 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Bath City sit 6th in Non League Premier - Southern South (7 points from 4 matches) and Chippenham Town sit 18th (4 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Bath City | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 7 |
| 18 | Chippenham Town | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 4 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Bath City vs Chippenham Town?
- The Footlab model makes Bath City the favourite at 49%, against 24% for a draw and 27% for Chippenham Town.
- Where and when is Bath City vs Chippenham Town played?
- Bath City vs Chippenham Town is played on September 12, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Twerton Park Stadium, in the Non League Premier - Southern South.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 63% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Sep 12, 2026Havant & WvillevsPoole Town
- Sep 12, 2026Frome TownvsHanwell Town
- Sep 12, 2026UxbridgevsChichester City
- Sep 12, 2026Chertsey TownvsMalvern Town
- Sep 12, 2026Evesham UnitedvsBerkhamsted
- Sep 12, 2026SholingvsPlymouth Parkway
- Sep 12, 2026Gosport BoroughvsTaunton Town
- Sep 12, 2026Wimborne TownvsBracknell Town