Evesham United vs Chippenham Town: prediction and stats
Non League Premier - Southern SouthRegular Season - 9Kick-off on September 29, 2026 at 06:45 PM (UTC)The Spiers & Hartwell Jubilee Stadium, Evesham, Worcestershire
The Footlab model makes Evesham United the favourite at 49%, against 24% for a draw and 27% for Chippenham Town. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Evesham United vs Chippenham Town?
A very open match: only 23 Elo points separate Evesham United (1,709) and Chippenham Town (1,686).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Evesham United have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; Chippenham Town have 6, 2 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Hanworth Villa(away) | 1-4 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Chichester City(home) | 3-0 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Frome Town(home) | 0-4 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Basingstoke Town(away) | 4-2 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Bishop's Cleeve(home) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Chichester City(away) | 0-4 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Plymouth Parkway(home) | 3-2 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Yate Town(home) | 1-1 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Uxbridge(away) | 0-2 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Jul 14, 2026 | Swindon Town(away) | 1-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
How many goals should we expect?
Evesham United score 1.3 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Chippenham Town score 1.4 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 62% probability of over 2.5 goals and 63% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Evesham United | 1.3 | 1.7 | 4 | 8/15 | 10/15 |
| Chippenham Town | 1.4 | 1.6 | 3 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Evesham United sit 12th in Non League Premier - Southern South (6 points from 4 matches) and Chippenham Town sit 18th (4 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Evesham United | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 10 | 6 |
| 18 | Chippenham Town | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 4 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Evesham United vs Chippenham Town?
- The Footlab model makes Evesham United the favourite at 49%, against 24% for a draw and 27% for Chippenham Town.
- Where and when is Evesham United vs Chippenham Town played?
- Evesham United vs Chippenham Town is played on September 29, 2026 at 06:45 PM (UTC) at The Spiers & Hartwell Jubilee Stadium, in the Non League Premier - Southern South.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 62% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
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- Sep 29, 2026UxbridgevsBasingstoke Town
- Sep 29, 2026Chertsey TownvsPoole Town
- Sep 29, 2026SholingvsBerkhamsted
- Sep 29, 2026Gloucester CityvsPlymouth Parkway
- Sep 29, 2026Bath CityvsMalvern Town
- Sep 29, 2026Hanworth VillavsChichester City
- Sep 29, 2026Havant & WvillevsHanwell Town