Match

Wimborne Town vs Yate Town: prediction and stats

Non League Premier - Southern SouthRegular Season - 9Kick-off on September 29, 2026 at 06:30 PM (UTC)The Cuthbury Stadium, Wimborne Minster, Dorset

Wimborne TownYate Town

The Footlab model makes Wimborne Town the favourite at 38%, against 27% for a draw and 35% for Yate Town. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Wimborne Town vs Yate Town?

A very open match: only 36 Elo points separate Wimborne Town (1,743) and Yate Town (1,778).

Wimborne Town win38 %
Draw27 %
Yate Town win35 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Wimborne Town have 3 wins, 5 draws and 7 defeats; Yate Town have 7, 4 and 4.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Wimborne Town
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Malvern Town(away)3-0Non League Premier - Southern South
Aug 15, 2026Gloucester City(home)1-1Non League Premier - Southern South
Aug 11, 2026Chichester City(home)0-1Non League Premier - Southern South
Aug 8, 2026Frome Town(away)0-2Non League Premier - Southern South
Jul 25, 2026Maidenhead(home)1-1Friendlies Clubs
Yate Town
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Bracknell Town(home)2-1Non League Premier - Southern South
Aug 15, 2026Chertsey Town(away)1-1Non League Premier - Southern South
Aug 11, 2026Chippenham Town(away)1-1Non League Premier - Southern South
Aug 8, 2026Gosport Borough(home)1-0Non League Premier - Southern South
Aug 1, 2026Leamington(away)1-3Friendlies Clubs

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Wimborne Town win(s), 2 draw(s), 1 Yate Town win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Mar 7, 2026Yate Town 1-1 Wimborne TownNon League Premier - Southern South
Oct 14, 2025Wimborne Town 4-1 Yate TownNon League Premier - Southern South
Feb 17, 2024Yate Town 0-2 Wimborne TownNon League Div One - Southern South
Oct 28, 2023Wimborne Town 1-0 Yate TownNon League Div One - Southern South
Mar 8, 2022Wimborne Town 0-5 Yate TownNon League Premier - Southern South
Aug 17, 2021Yate Town 0-0 Wimborne TownNon League Premier - Southern South

Last archived meeting: Yate Town vs Wimborne Town on Mar 7, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Wimborne Town score 1.5 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Yate Town score 1.5 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 51% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Wimborne Town1.51.728/159/15
Yate Town1.51.148/157/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Wimborne Town sit 14th in Non League Premier - Southern South (4 points from 4 matches) and Yate Town sit 4th (8 points from 4 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
4Yate Town4220538
14Wimborne Town4112444

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Wimborne Town vs Yate Town?
The Footlab model makes Wimborne Town the favourite at 38%, against 27% for a draw and 35% for Yate Town.
Where and when is Wimborne Town vs Yate Town played?
Wimborne Town vs Yate Town is played on September 29, 2026 at 06:30 PM (UTC) at The Cuthbury Stadium, in the Non League Premier - Southern South.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 51% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Wimborne Town and Yate Town

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