Wimborne Town vs Yate Town: prediction and stats
Non League Premier - Southern SouthRegular Season - 9Kick-off on September 29, 2026 at 06:30 PM (UTC)The Cuthbury Stadium, Wimborne Minster, Dorset
The Footlab model makes Wimborne Town the favourite at 38%, against 27% for a draw and 35% for Yate Town. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Wimborne Town vs Yate Town?
A very open match: only 36 Elo points separate Wimborne Town (1,743) and Yate Town (1,778).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Wimborne Town have 3 wins, 5 draws and 7 defeats; Yate Town have 7, 4 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Malvern Town(away) | 3-0 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Gloucester City(home) | 1-1 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Chichester City(home) | 0-1 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Frome Town(away) | 0-2 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Maidenhead(home) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Bracknell Town(home) | 2-1 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Chertsey Town(away) | 1-1 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Chippenham Town(away) | 1-1 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Gosport Borough(home) | 1-0 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Leamington(away) | 1-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Wimborne Town win(s), 2 draw(s), 1 Yate Town win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 7, 2026 | Yate Town 1-1 Wimborne Town | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Oct 14, 2025 | Wimborne Town 4-1 Yate Town | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Feb 17, 2024 | Yate Town 0-2 Wimborne Town | Non League Div One - Southern South |
| Oct 28, 2023 | Wimborne Town 1-0 Yate Town | Non League Div One - Southern South |
| Mar 8, 2022 | Wimborne Town 0-5 Yate Town | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 17, 2021 | Yate Town 0-0 Wimborne Town | Non League Premier - Southern South |
Last archived meeting: Yate Town vs Wimborne Town on Mar 7, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Wimborne Town score 1.5 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Yate Town score 1.5 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 51% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wimborne Town | 1.5 | 1.7 | 2 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
| Yate Town | 1.5 | 1.1 | 4 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Wimborne Town sit 14th in Non League Premier - Southern South (4 points from 4 matches) and Yate Town sit 4th (8 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Yate Town | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 8 |
| 14 | Wimborne Town | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 4 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Wimborne Town vs Yate Town?
- The Footlab model makes Wimborne Town the favourite at 38%, against 27% for a draw and 35% for Yate Town.
- Where and when is Wimborne Town vs Yate Town played?
- Wimborne Town vs Yate Town is played on September 29, 2026 at 06:30 PM (UTC) at The Cuthbury Stadium, in the Non League Premier - Southern South.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 51% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
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