Uxbridge vs Basingstoke Town: prediction and stats
Non League Premier - Southern SouthRegular Season - 9Kick-off on September 29, 2026 at 06:45 PM (UTC)Honeycroft, London
The Footlab model makes Uxbridge the favourite at 56%, against 21% for a draw and 23% for Basingstoke Town. The most likely score is 2-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Uxbridge vs Basingstoke Town?
Uxbridge starts as the favourite with a 102-point Elo edge (1,819 vs 1,716).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Uxbridge have 9 wins, 5 draws and 1 defeats; Basingstoke Town have 6, 3 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Taunton Town(home) | 5-4 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Gosport Borough(away) | 1-1 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Havant & Wville(away) | 2-0 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Chippenham Town(home) | 2-0 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Poole Town(home) | 3-3 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Bath City(home) | 1-0 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Poole Town(away) | 2-0 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Hanwell Town(away) | 1-2 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Evesham United(home) | 2-4 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Hanwell Town(away) | 1-2 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Uxbridge win(s), 2 draw(s), 3 Basingstoke Town win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 31, 2026 | Basingstoke Town 1-1 Uxbridge | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Oct 11, 2025 | Uxbridge 2-1 Basingstoke Town | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Mar 18, 2023 | Basingstoke Town 3-2 Uxbridge | Non League Div One - Isthmian South Central |
| Oct 22, 2022 | Uxbridge 1-2 Basingstoke Town | Non League Div One - Isthmian South Central |
| Mar 5, 2022 | Uxbridge 0-2 Basingstoke Town | Non League Div One - Isthmian South Central |
| Nov 9, 2021 | Basingstoke Town 1-1 Uxbridge | Non League Div One - Isthmian South Central |
Last archived meeting: Basingstoke Town vs Uxbridge on Jan 31, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Uxbridge score 2.6 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Basingstoke Town score 1.7 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 72% probability of over 2.5 goals and 69% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Uxbridge | 2.6 | 1.3 | 5 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
| Basingstoke Town | 1.7 | 1.7 | 4 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Uxbridge sit 2nd in Non League Premier - Southern South (10 points from 4 matches) and Basingstoke Town sit 10th (6 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Uxbridge | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 5 | 10 |
| 10 | Basingstoke Town | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 6 | 6 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Uxbridge vs Basingstoke Town?
- The Footlab model makes Uxbridge the favourite at 56%, against 21% for a draw and 23% for Basingstoke Town.
- Where and when is Uxbridge vs Basingstoke Town played?
- Uxbridge vs Basingstoke Town is played on September 29, 2026 at 06:45 PM (UTC) at Honeycroft, in the Non League Premier - Southern South.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 72% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Sep 29, 2026Wimborne TownvsYate Town
- Sep 29, 2026Chertsey TownvsPoole Town
- Sep 29, 2026Evesham UnitedvsChippenham Town
- Sep 29, 2026SholingvsBerkhamsted
- Sep 29, 2026Gloucester CityvsPlymouth Parkway
- Sep 29, 2026Bath CityvsMalvern Town
- Sep 29, 2026Hanworth VillavsChichester City
- Sep 29, 2026Havant & WvillevsHanwell Town