Match

Uxbridge vs Basingstoke Town: prediction and stats

Non League Premier - Southern SouthRegular Season - 9Kick-off on September 29, 2026 at 06:45 PM (UTC)Honeycroft, London

UxbridgeBasingstoke Town

The Footlab model makes Uxbridge the favourite at 56%, against 21% for a draw and 23% for Basingstoke Town. The most likely score is 2-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Uxbridge vs Basingstoke Town?

Uxbridge starts as the favourite with a 102-point Elo edge (1,819 vs 1,716).

Uxbridge win56 %
Draw21 %
Basingstoke Town win23 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Uxbridge have 9 wins, 5 draws and 1 defeats; Basingstoke Town have 6, 3 and 6.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Uxbridge
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Taunton Town(home)5-4Non League Premier - Southern South
Aug 15, 2026Gosport Borough(away)1-1Non League Premier - Southern South
Aug 11, 2026Havant & Wville(away)2-0Non League Premier - Southern South
Aug 8, 2026Chippenham Town(home)2-0Non League Premier - Southern South
Apr 25, 2026Poole Town(home)3-3Non League Premier - Southern South
Basingstoke Town
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Bath City(home)1-0Non League Premier - Southern South
Aug 15, 2026Poole Town(away)2-0Non League Premier - Southern South
Aug 11, 2026Hanwell Town(away)1-2Non League Premier - Southern South
Aug 8, 2026Evesham United(home)2-4Non League Premier - Southern South
Apr 25, 2026Hanwell Town(away)1-2Non League Premier - Southern South

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Uxbridge win(s), 2 draw(s), 3 Basingstoke Town win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Jan 31, 2026Basingstoke Town 1-1 UxbridgeNon League Premier - Southern South
Oct 11, 2025Uxbridge 2-1 Basingstoke TownNon League Premier - Southern South
Mar 18, 2023Basingstoke Town 3-2 UxbridgeNon League Div One - Isthmian South Central
Oct 22, 2022Uxbridge 1-2 Basingstoke TownNon League Div One - Isthmian South Central
Mar 5, 2022Uxbridge 0-2 Basingstoke TownNon League Div One - Isthmian South Central
Nov 9, 2021Basingstoke Town 1-1 UxbridgeNon League Div One - Isthmian South Central

Last archived meeting: Basingstoke Town vs Uxbridge on Jan 31, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Uxbridge score 2.6 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Basingstoke Town score 1.7 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 72% probability of over 2.5 goals and 69% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Uxbridge2.61.3510/1510/15
Basingstoke Town1.71.749/1510/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Uxbridge sit 2nd in Non League Premier - Southern South (10 points from 4 matches) and Basingstoke Town sit 10th (6 points from 4 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
2Uxbridge431010510
10Basingstoke Town4202666

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Uxbridge vs Basingstoke Town?
The Footlab model makes Uxbridge the favourite at 56%, against 21% for a draw and 23% for Basingstoke Town.
Where and when is Uxbridge vs Basingstoke Town played?
Uxbridge vs Basingstoke Town is played on September 29, 2026 at 06:45 PM (UTC) at Honeycroft, in the Non League Premier - Southern South.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 72% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Uxbridge and Basingstoke Town

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