Match

Bayer Leverkusen vs Eintracht Frankfurt: prediction and stats

BundesligaRegular Season - 14Kick-off on December 19, 2026 at 02:30 PM (UTC)BayArena, Leverkusen

Bayer LeverkusenEintracht Frankfurt

The Footlab model makes Bayer Leverkusen the favourite at 58%, against 20% for a draw and 22% for Eintracht Frankfurt. The most likely score is 2-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Bayer Leverkusen vs Eintracht Frankfurt?

Bayer Leverkusen starts as the favourite with a 165-point Elo edge (2,284 vs 2,119).

Bayer Leverkusen win58 %
Draw20 %
Eintracht Frankfurt win22 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Bayer Leverkusen have 10 wins, 1 draws and 4 defeats; Eintracht Frankfurt have 7, 4 and 4.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Bayer Leverkusen
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026SV Wehen(away)4-0DFB Pokal
Aug 15, 2026Newcastle(away)2-1Friendlies Clubs
Aug 12, 2026Nottingham Forest(away)1-2Friendlies Clubs
Aug 8, 2026Sevilla(home)2-1Friendlies Clubs
Aug 1, 2026Rot-Weiß Essen(home)3-0Friendlies Clubs
Eintracht Frankfurt
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 21, 2026SC St. Tönis(away)11-0DFB Pokal
Aug 15, 2026Brentford(away)0-7Friendlies Clubs
Aug 12, 2026FSV Frankfurt(away)5-1Friendlies Clubs
Aug 8, 2026Hull City(home)2-0Friendlies Clubs
Aug 1, 2026Waldhof Mannheim(away)1-0Friendlies Clubs

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 6 Bayer Leverkusen win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 Eintracht Frankfurt win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Jan 31, 2026Eintracht Frankfurt 1-3 Bayer LeverkusenBundesliga
Sep 12, 2025Bayer Leverkusen 3-1 Eintracht FrankfurtBundesliga
Mar 1, 2025Eintracht Frankfurt 1-4 Bayer LeverkusenBundesliga
Oct 19, 2024Bayer Leverkusen 2-1 Eintracht FrankfurtBundesliga
May 5, 2024Eintracht Frankfurt 1-5 Bayer LeverkusenBundesliga
Dec 17, 2023Bayer Leverkusen 3-0 Eintracht FrankfurtBundesliga

Last archived meeting: Eintracht Frankfurt vs Bayer Leverkusen on Jan 31, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Bayer Leverkusen score 2.4 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Eintracht Frankfurt score 3.1 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 72% probability of over 2.5 goals and 69% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Bayer Leverkusen2.41.059/1512/15
Eintracht Frankfurt3.11.7410/1512/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Bayer Leverkusen sit 6th in Bundesliga (59 points from 34 matches) and Eintracht Frankfurt sit 8th (44 points from 34 matches).

The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.

Final 2025-26 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
6Bayer Leverkusen341789684759
8Eintracht Frankfurt34111112616544

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Bayer Leverkusen vs Eintracht Frankfurt?
The Footlab model makes Bayer Leverkusen the favourite at 58%, against 20% for a draw and 22% for Eintracht Frankfurt.
Where and when is Bayer Leverkusen vs Eintracht Frankfurt played?
Bayer Leverkusen vs Eintracht Frankfurt is played on December 19, 2026 at 02:30 PM (UTC) at BayArena, in the Bundesliga.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 72% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Bayer Leverkusen and Eintracht Frankfurt

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