Bayer Leverkusen vs Eintracht Frankfurt: prediction and stats
BundesligaRegular Season - 14Kick-off on December 19, 2026 at 02:30 PM (UTC)BayArena, Leverkusen
The Footlab model makes Bayer Leverkusen the favourite at 58%, against 20% for a draw and 22% for Eintracht Frankfurt. The most likely score is 2-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Bayer Leverkusen vs Eintracht Frankfurt?
Bayer Leverkusen starts as the favourite with a 165-point Elo edge (2,284 vs 2,119).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Bayer Leverkusen have 10 wins, 1 draws and 4 defeats; Eintracht Frankfurt have 7, 4 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | SV Wehen(away) | 4-0 | DFB Pokal |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Newcastle(away) | 2-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Nottingham Forest(away) | 1-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Sevilla(home) | 2-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Rot-Weiß Essen(home) | 3-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | SC St. Tönis(away) | 11-0 | DFB Pokal |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Brentford(away) | 0-7 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 12, 2026 | FSV Frankfurt(away) | 5-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Hull City(home) | 2-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Waldhof Mannheim(away) | 1-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 6 Bayer Leverkusen win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 Eintracht Frankfurt win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 31, 2026 | Eintracht Frankfurt 1-3 Bayer Leverkusen | Bundesliga |
| Sep 12, 2025 | Bayer Leverkusen 3-1 Eintracht Frankfurt | Bundesliga |
| Mar 1, 2025 | Eintracht Frankfurt 1-4 Bayer Leverkusen | Bundesliga |
| Oct 19, 2024 | Bayer Leverkusen 2-1 Eintracht Frankfurt | Bundesliga |
| May 5, 2024 | Eintracht Frankfurt 1-5 Bayer Leverkusen | Bundesliga |
| Dec 17, 2023 | Bayer Leverkusen 3-0 Eintracht Frankfurt | Bundesliga |
Last archived meeting: Eintracht Frankfurt vs Bayer Leverkusen on Jan 31, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Bayer Leverkusen score 2.4 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Eintracht Frankfurt score 3.1 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 72% probability of over 2.5 goals and 69% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bayer Leverkusen | 2.4 | 1.0 | 5 | 9/15 | 12/15 |
| Eintracht Frankfurt | 3.1 | 1.7 | 4 | 10/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Bayer Leverkusen sit 6th in Bundesliga (59 points from 34 matches) and Eintracht Frankfurt sit 8th (44 points from 34 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Bayer Leverkusen | 34 | 17 | 8 | 9 | 68 | 47 | 59 |
| 8 | Eintracht Frankfurt | 34 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 61 | 65 | 44 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Bayer Leverkusen vs Eintracht Frankfurt?
- The Footlab model makes Bayer Leverkusen the favourite at 58%, against 20% for a draw and 22% for Eintracht Frankfurt.
- Where and when is Bayer Leverkusen vs Eintracht Frankfurt played?
- Bayer Leverkusen vs Eintracht Frankfurt is played on December 19, 2026 at 02:30 PM (UTC) at BayArena, in the Bundesliga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 72% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
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