Match

SV Elversberg vs Hamburger SV: prediction and stats

BundesligaRegular Season - 14Kick-off on December 19, 2026 at 02:30 PM (UTC)URSAPHARM-Arena an der Kaiserlinde, Spiesen-Elversberg

SV ElversbergHamburger SV

The Footlab AI model makes SV Elversberg the favourite at 50%, against 23% for a draw and 27% for Hamburger SV. The most likely score is 1-1. If SV Elversberg wins, the most likely score is 2-1.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.2% of the 2,920 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Oct 21, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win SV Elversberg vs Hamburger SV?

On Elo ratings, SV Elversberg has 2,153 points and Hamburger SV 2,121.

50%23%27%
SV Elversberg winDrawHamburger SV win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for SV Elversberg vs Hamburger SV

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

SV Elversberg

4-2-3-1
  1. 42D. Mokwa
  1. 25L. Petkov
  2. 43F. Keidel
  3. 8Ł. Poręba
  4. 10Noah Darvich
  5. 7M. Krattenmacher
  1. 21L. Günther
  2. 31M. Rohr
  3. 19L. Pinckert
  4. 30J. Gyamerah
  1. 20N. Kristof

Hamburger SV

3-4-2-1
  1. 15Y. Poulsen
  1. 3D. Møller Wolfe
  2. 20Fábio Vieira
  3. 5M. Adeline
  4. 37L. Lemke
  5. 21N. Remberg
  6. 6A. Sambi Lokonga
  1. 24N. Capaldo
  2. 33S. Bornauw
  3. 17W. Omari
  1. 1Daniel Heuer Fernandes

Computed on October 21, 2026 at 03:51 AM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, SV Elversberg have 9 wins, 3 draws and 3 defeats; Hamburger SV have 8, 2 and 5.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

SV Elversberg
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 17, 2026FC Augsburg(home)4-3Bundesliga
Oct 10, 2026Union Berlin(away)0-1Bundesliga
Sep 20, 2026FC Schalke 04(away)0-0Bundesliga
Sep 13, 2026Bayern München(home)1-2Bundesliga
Sep 5, 2026Borussia Mönchengladbach(away)4-3Bundesliga
Hamburger SV
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 17, 2026VfB Stuttgart(home)1-0Bundesliga
Oct 10, 20261899 Hoffenheim(away)3-2Bundesliga
Oct 4, 2026FC Copenhagen(home)2-0Friendlies Clubs
Sep 19, 20261. FC Köln(home)2-1Bundesliga
Sep 13, 2026RB Leipzig(away)0-5Bundesliga

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 4 meetings: 2 SV Elversberg wins, 1 draw, 1 Hamburger SV win.

DateScoreCompetition
Mar 28, 2025Hamburger SV 0-0 SV Elversberg2. Bundesliga
Oct 26, 2024SV Elversberg 4-2 Hamburger SV2. Bundesliga
Feb 25, 2024Hamburger SV 1-0 SV Elversberg2. Bundesliga
Sep 16, 2023SV Elversberg 2-1 Hamburger SV2. Bundesliga

Last archived meeting: Hamburger SV vs SV Elversberg on Mar 28, 2025

How many goals should we expect?

SV Elversberg score 2.4 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Hamburger SV score 1.6 and concede 1.8. The model gives a 65% probability of over 2.5 goals and 65% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
SV Elversberg2.41.3410/1510/15
Hamburger SV1.61.839/1511/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

SV Elversberg sit 6th in Bundesliga (10 points from 6 matches) and Hamburger SV sit 9th (9 points from 6 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
6SV Elversberg6312121110
9Hamburger SV63036159

A question about SV Elversberg vs Hamburger SV?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

Ask the AI a questionOpen the full match card in the app

Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for SV Elversberg vs Hamburger SV?
The Footlab AI model makes SV Elversberg the favourite at 50%, against 23% for a draw and 27% for Hamburger SV.
Where and when is SV Elversberg vs Hamburger SV played?
SV Elversberg vs Hamburger SV is played on December 19, 2026 at 02:30 PM (UTC) at URSAPHARM-Arena an der Kaiserlinde, in the Bundesliga.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 65% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.2% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: SV Elversberg and Hamburger SV

Ready to know everything about football?