Where and when is SV Elversberg vs Hamburger SV played?

SV Elversberg vs Hamburger SV is played on December 19, 2026 at 02:30 PM (UTC) at URSAPHARM-Arena an der Kaiserlinde, in the Bundesliga.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 63% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

SV Elversberg vs Hamburger SV: prediction and stats

BundesligaRegular Season - 14Kick-off on December 19, 2026 at 02:30 PM (UTC)URSAPHARM-Arena an der Kaiserlinde, Spiesen-Elversberg

SV Elversberg

Hamburger SV

The Footlab model makes SV Elversberg the favourite at 49%, against 24% for a draw and 28% for Hamburger SV. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win SV Elversberg vs Hamburger SV?

A very open match: only 41 Elo points separate SV Elversberg (2,098) and Hamburger SV (2,057).

SV Elversberg win49 %

Draw24 %

Hamburger SV win28 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, SV Elversberg have 8 wins, 4 draws and 3 defeats; Hamburger SV have 4, 4 and 7.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

SV Elversberg
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	MSV Duisburg(away)	3-1	DFB Pokal
Aug 15, 2026	Lorient(home)	4-1	Friendlies Clubs
Aug 8, 2026	Mallorca(away)	1-1	Friendlies Clubs
Aug 4, 2026	Strasbourg(away)	5-2	Friendlies Clubs
Jul 25, 2026	NEC Nijmegen(away)	1-0	Friendlies Clubs

Hamburger SV
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 15, 2026	Toulouse(away)	2-1	Friendlies Clubs
Aug 8, 2026	Lille(home)	2-2	Friendlies Clubs
Aug 1, 2026	Everton(home)	1-2	Friendlies Clubs
Jul 18, 2026	Rapid Vienna(away)	2-3	Friendlies Clubs
May 16, 2026	Bayer Leverkusen(away)	1-1	Bundesliga

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 4 meetings: 2 SV Elversberg win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Hamburger SV win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Mar 28, 2025	Hamburger SV 0-0 SV Elversberg	2. Bundesliga
Oct 26, 2024	SV Elversberg 4-2 Hamburger SV	2. Bundesliga
Feb 25, 2024	Hamburger SV 1-0 SV Elversberg	2. Bundesliga
Sep 16, 2023	SV Elversberg 2-1 Hamburger SV	2. Bundesliga

Last archived meeting: Hamburger SV vs SV Elversberg on Mar 28, 2025

How many goals should we expect?

SV Elversberg score 2.5 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Hamburger SV score 1.4 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 63% probability of over 2.5 goals and 64% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
SV Elversberg	2.5	1.2	4	11/15	11/15
Hamburger SV	1.4	1.9	0	13/15	11/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.

Final 2025-26 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
13	Hamburger SV	34	9	11	14	40	54	38

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for SV Elversberg vs Hamburger SV?: The Footlab model makes SV Elversberg the favourite at 49%, against 24% for a draw and 28% for Hamburger SV.
Where and when is SV Elversberg vs Hamburger SV played?: SV Elversberg vs Hamburger SV is played on December 19, 2026 at 02:30 PM (UTC) at URSAPHARM-Arena an der Kaiserlinde, in the Bundesliga.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 63% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.