Match

Bayern München vs Werder Bremen: prediction and stats

BundesligaRegular Season - 14Kick-off on December 19, 2026 at 02:30 PM (UTC)Allianz Arena, München

Bayern MünchenWerder Bremen

The Footlab AI model makes Bayern München the favourite at 87%, against 9% for a draw and 4% for Werder Bremen. The most likely score is 3-0.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 2,768 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Oct 18, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Bayern München vs Werder Bremen?

Bayern München is a heavy favourite: 2,537 Elo points against 2,082, a 455-point gap.

87%9%4%
Bayern München winDrawWerder Bremen win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Bayern München vs Werder Bremen

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Bayern München

4-2-3-1
  1. 9H. Kane
  1. 17M. Olise
  2. 6J. Kimmich
  3. 14L. Díaz
  4. 45A. Pavlović
  5. 34I. Saibari
  1. 2D. Upamecano
  2. 11N. Brown
  3. 3Kim Min-Jae
  4. 27K. Laimer
  1. 40J. Urbig

Werder Bremen

4-2-3-1
  1. 10N. Füllkrug
  1. 15L. Reis
  2. 20Chuky San José
  3. 17M. Grüll
  4. 44Y. Regeer
  5. 18E. Dinkçi
  1. 2O. Deman
  2. 32M. Friedl
  3. 5A. Pieper
  4. 13Arthur
  1. 1K. Hein

Computed on October 18, 2026 at 10:42 PM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Bayern München have 11 wins, 3 draws and 1 defeat; Werder Bremen have 7, 4 and 4.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Bayern München
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 17, 2026RB Leipzig(home)6-1Bundesliga
Oct 13, 2026Viking(away)3-3UEFA Champions League
Oct 10, 2026FC Augsburg(away)2-2Bundesliga
Sep 18, 2026Union Berlin(home)7-0Bundesliga
Sep 13, 2026SV Elversberg(away)2-1Bundesliga
Werder Bremen
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 17, 2026SC Paderborn 07(home)2-2Bundesliga
Oct 9, 2026Borussia Dortmund(away)2-2Bundesliga
Sep 19, 2026FC Augsburg(home)3-2Bundesliga
Sep 12, 20261. FC Köln(away)1-1Bundesliga
Sep 5, 2026RB Leipzig(home)3-1Bundesliga

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 5 Bayern München wins, 0 draws, 1 Werder Bremen win.

DateScoreCompetition
Feb 14, 2026Werder Bremen 0-3 Bayern MünchenBundesliga
Sep 26, 2025Bayern München 4-0 Werder BremenBundesliga
Feb 7, 2025Bayern München 3-0 Werder BremenBundesliga
Sep 21, 2024Werder Bremen 0-5 Bayern MünchenBundesliga
Jan 21, 2024Bayern München 0-1 Werder BremenBundesliga
Aug 18, 2023Werder Bremen 0-4 Bayern MünchenBundesliga

Last archived meeting: Werder Bremen vs Bayern München on Feb 14, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Bayern München score 3.2 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Werder Bremen score 2.1 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 84% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Bayern München3.21.1312/1514/15
Werder Bremen2.11.539/159/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Bayern München sit 1st in Bundesliga (14 points from 6 matches) and Werder Bremen sit 8th (9 points from 6 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
1Bayern München642022514
8Werder Bremen623112129

A question about Bayern München vs Werder Bremen?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

Ask the AI a questionOpen the full match card in the app

Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Bayern München vs Werder Bremen?
The Footlab AI model makes Bayern München the favourite at 87%, against 9% for a draw and 4% for Werder Bremen.
Where and when is Bayern München vs Werder Bremen played?
Bayern München vs Werder Bremen is played on December 19, 2026 at 02:30 PM (UTC) at Allianz Arena, in the Bundesliga.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 84% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Bayern München and Werder Bremen

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