Where and when is Bayern München vs Werder Bremen played?

Bayern München vs Werder Bremen is played on December 19, 2026 at 02:30 PM (UTC) at Allianz Arena, in the Bundesliga.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 79% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Bayern München vs Werder Bremen: prediction and stats

BundesligaRegular Season - 14Kick-off on December 19, 2026 at 02:30 PM (UTC)Allianz Arena, München

Bayern München

Werder Bremen

The Footlab model makes Bayern München the favourite at 76%, against 14% for a draw and 10% for Werder Bremen. The most likely score is 3-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Bayern München vs Werder Bremen?

Bayern München is a heavy favourite: 2,527 Elo points against 2,041 — a 485-point gap.

Bayern München win76 %

Draw14 %

Werder Bremen win10 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Bayern München have 11 wins, 2 draws and 2 defeats; Werder Bremen have 7, 2 and 6.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Bayern München
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Borussia Dortmund(away)	2-1	Super Cup
Aug 18, 2026	1. FC Heidenheim(away)	4-2	Friendlies Clubs
Aug 15, 2026	RB Leipzig(home)	3-1	Friendlies Clubs
Aug 7, 2026	Aston Villa(home)	2-1	Friendlies Clubs
Aug 4, 2026	Jeju United FC(away)	2-1	Friendlies Clubs

Werder Bremen
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Lüneburger SK Hansa(away)	3-0	DFB Pokal
Aug 15, 2026	Auxerre(home)	0-1	Friendlies Clubs
Aug 8, 2026	SC Paderborn 07(home)	2-2	Friendlies Clubs
Aug 1, 2026	Energie Cottbus(away)	4-2	Friendlies Clubs
Jul 25, 2026	VfL Bochum(home)	2-0	Friendlies Clubs

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 5 Bayern München win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Werder Bremen win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Feb 14, 2026	Werder Bremen 0-3 Bayern München	Bundesliga
Sep 26, 2025	Bayern München 4-0 Werder Bremen	Bundesliga
Feb 7, 2025	Bayern München 3-0 Werder Bremen	Bundesliga
Sep 21, 2024	Werder Bremen 0-5 Bayern München	Bundesliga
Jan 21, 2024	Bayern München 0-1 Werder Bremen	Bundesliga
Aug 18, 2023	Werder Bremen 0-4 Bayern München	Bundesliga

Last archived meeting: Werder Bremen vs Bayern München on Feb 14, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Bayern München score 2.7 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Werder Bremen score 1.8 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 79% probability of over 2.5 goals and 64% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Bayern München	2.7	1.5	3	12/15	12/15
Werder Bremen	1.8	1.3	4	8/15	8/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Bayern München sit 1st in Bundesliga (89 points from 34 matches) and Werder Bremen sit 15th (32 points from 34 matches).

The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.

Final 2025-26 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Bayern München	34	28	5	1	122	36	89
15	Werder Bremen	34	8	8	18	37	60	32

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Bayern München vs Werder Bremen?: The Footlab model makes Bayern München the favourite at 76%, against 14% for a draw and 10% for Werder Bremen.
Where and when is Bayern München vs Werder Bremen played?: Bayern München vs Werder Bremen is played on December 19, 2026 at 02:30 PM (UTC) at Allianz Arena, in the Bundesliga.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 79% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.