Union Berlin vs 1899 Hoffenheim: prediction and stats
BundesligaRegular Season - 14Kick-off on December 19, 2026 at 02:30 PM (UTC)Stadion An der Alten Försterei, Berlin
The Footlab AI model makes Union Berlin the favourite at 43%, against 23% for a draw and 34% for 1899 Hoffenheim. The most likely score is 1-1. If Union Berlin wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.6% of the 2,402 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 14, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Union Berlin vs 1899 Hoffenheim?
A very open match: only 87 Elo points separate Union Berlin (2,031) and 1899 Hoffenheim (2,118).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Union Berlin vs 1899 Hoffenheim
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Union Berlin
4-1-4-1- 29E. Latte Lath
- 8R. Khedira
- 20M. Aebischer
- 11Jeong Woo-Yeong
- 13A. Schäfer
- 30K. Imeri
- 15T. Rothe
- 2F. Uduokhai
- 19J. Haberer
- 4Z. Van Den Bosch
- 1F. Rønnow
1899 Hoffenheim
4-2-3-1- 19T. Lemperle
- 7L. Avdullahu
- 18W. Burger
- 14A. Daghim
- 20B. Conté
- 10A. Hložek
- 34V. Coufal
- 5O. Kabak
- 28K. Machida
- 13Bernardo
- 1O. Baumann
Computed on October 14, 2026 at 07:22 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Union Berlin have 4 wins, 4 draws and 7 defeats; 1899 Hoffenheim have 7, 1 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | SV Elversberg(home) | 1-0 | Bundesliga |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Bayern München(away) | 0-7 | Bundesliga |
| Sep 11, 2026 | FC Schalke 04(home) | 1-3 | Bundesliga |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Bayer Leverkusen(away) | 0-4 | Bundesliga |
| Aug 29, 2026 | Eintracht Frankfurt(home) | 3-3 | Bundesliga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Hamburger SV(home) | 2-3 | Bundesliga |
| Sep 20, 2026 | SC Paderborn 07(away) | 1-3 | Bundesliga |
| Sep 17, 2026 | OFI(away) | 0-2 | UEFA Europa League |
| Sep 12, 2026 | VfB Stuttgart(home) | 2-1 | Bundesliga |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Borussia Dortmund(home) | 2-3 | Bundesliga |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Union Berlin wins, 0 draws, 3 1899 Hoffenheim wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 31, 2026 | 1899 Hoffenheim 3-1 Union Berlin | Bundesliga |
| Sep 13, 2025 | Union Berlin 2-4 1899 Hoffenheim | Bundesliga |
| Feb 8, 2025 | 1899 Hoffenheim 0-4 Union Berlin | Bundesliga |
| Sep 21, 2024 | Union Berlin 2-1 1899 Hoffenheim | Bundesliga |
| Feb 17, 2024 | 1899 Hoffenheim 0-1 Union Berlin | Bundesliga |
| Sep 23, 2023 | Union Berlin 0-2 1899 Hoffenheim | Bundesliga |
Last archived meeting: 1899 Hoffenheim vs Union Berlin on Jan 31, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Union Berlin score 2.1 and concede 2.5 goals per match over their last 15; 1899 Hoffenheim score 1.9 and concede 1.8. The model gives a 67% probability of over 2.5 goals and 68% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Union Berlin | 2.1 | 2.5 | 1 | 11/15 | 11/15 |
| 1899 Hoffenheim | 1.9 | 1.8 | 4 | 8/15 | 13/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Union Berlin sit 16th in Bundesliga (4 points from 5 matches) and 1899 Hoffenheim sit 17th (3 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Union Berlin | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 17 | 4 |
| 17 | 1899 Hoffenheim | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 9 | 13 | 3 |
A question about Union Berlin vs 1899 Hoffenheim?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Union Berlin vs 1899 Hoffenheim?
- The Footlab AI model makes Union Berlin the favourite at 43%, against 23% for a draw and 34% for 1899 Hoffenheim.
- Where and when is Union Berlin vs 1899 Hoffenheim played?
- Union Berlin vs 1899 Hoffenheim is played on December 19, 2026 at 02:30 PM (UTC) at Stadion An der Alten Försterei, in the Bundesliga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 67% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Dec 19, 2026Bayern MünchenvsWerder Bremen
- Dec 19, 2026SC FreiburgvsVfB Stuttgart
- Dec 19, 2026FSV Mainz 05vs1. FC Köln
- Dec 19, 2026Bayer LeverkusenvsEintracht Frankfurt
- Dec 19, 2026FC AugsburgvsSC Paderborn 07
- Dec 19, 2026RB LeipzigvsBorussia Dortmund
- Dec 19, 2026FC Schalke 04vsBorussia Mönchengladbach
- Dec 19, 2026SV ElversbergvsHamburger SV