Where and when is Union Berlin vs 1899 Hoffenheim played?

Union Berlin vs 1899 Hoffenheim is played on December 19, 2026 at 02:30 PM (UTC) at Stadion An der Alten Försterei, in the Bundesliga.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 68% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Union Berlin vs 1899 Hoffenheim: prediction and stats

BundesligaRegular Season - 14Kick-off on December 19, 2026 at 02:30 PM (UTC)Stadion An der Alten Försterei, Berlin

Union Berlin

1899 Hoffenheim

The Footlab model makes Union Berlin the favourite at 40%, against 23% for a draw and 37% for 1899 Hoffenheim. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Union Berlin vs 1899 Hoffenheim?

1899 Hoffenheim starts as the favourite with a 130-point Elo edge (2,163 vs 2,034).

Union Berlin win40 %

Draw23 %

1899 Hoffenheim win37 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Union Berlin have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; 1899 Hoffenheim have 7, 3 and 5.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Union Berlin
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 23, 2026	Eintracht Braunschweig(away)	4-2	DFB Pokal
Aug 15, 2026	Ipswich(home)	2-4	Friendlies Clubs
Aug 9, 2026	Aris(home)	3-2	Friendlies Clubs
Aug 2, 2026	Cagliari(home)	2-2	Friendlies Clubs
Aug 1, 2026	Dynamo Dresden(away)	1-2	Friendlies Clubs

1899 Hoffenheim
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Erzgebirge Aue(away)	4-0	DFB Pokal
Aug 16, 2026	Tottenham(away)	0-3	Friendlies Clubs
Aug 1, 2026	Karlsruher SC(home)	3-0	Friendlies Clubs
Jul 29, 2026	Holstein Kiel(home)	3-1	Friendlies Clubs
Jul 18, 2026	SGV Freiberg(away)	3-0	Friendlies Clubs

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Union Berlin win(s), 0 draw(s), 3 1899 Hoffenheim win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Jan 31, 2026	1899 Hoffenheim 3-1 Union Berlin	Bundesliga
Sep 13, 2025	Union Berlin 2-4 1899 Hoffenheim	Bundesliga
Feb 8, 2025	1899 Hoffenheim 0-4 Union Berlin	Bundesliga
Sep 21, 2024	Union Berlin 2-1 1899 Hoffenheim	Bundesliga
Feb 17, 2024	1899 Hoffenheim 0-1 Union Berlin	Bundesliga
Sep 23, 2023	Union Berlin 0-2 1899 Hoffenheim	Bundesliga

Last archived meeting: 1899 Hoffenheim vs Union Berlin on Jan 31, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Union Berlin score 2.5 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; 1899 Hoffenheim score 1.9 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 68% probability of over 2.5 goals and 69% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Union Berlin	2.5	1.9	1	13/15	12/15
1899 Hoffenheim	1.9	1.9	4	8/15	13/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Union Berlin sit 11th in Bundesliga (39 points from 34 matches) and 1899 Hoffenheim sit 5th (61 points from 34 matches).

The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.

Final 2025-26 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
5	1899 Hoffenheim	34	18	7	9	65	52	61
11	Union Berlin	34	10	9	15	44	58	39

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Union Berlin vs 1899 Hoffenheim?: The Footlab model makes Union Berlin the favourite at 40%, against 23% for a draw and 37% for 1899 Hoffenheim.
Where and when is Union Berlin vs 1899 Hoffenheim played?: Union Berlin vs 1899 Hoffenheim is played on December 19, 2026 at 02:30 PM (UTC) at Stadion An der Alten Försterei, in the Bundesliga.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 68% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.