Where and when is FC Augsburg vs SC Paderborn 07 played?

FC Augsburg vs SC Paderborn 07 is played on December 19, 2026 at 02:30 PM (UTC) at WWK Arena, in the Bundesliga.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 63% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

FC Augsburg vs SC Paderborn 07: prediction and stats

BundesligaRegular Season - 14Kick-off on December 19, 2026 at 02:30 PM (UTC)WWK Arena, Augsburg

FC Augsburg

SC Paderborn 07

The Footlab model makes FC Augsburg the favourite at 40%, against 24% for a draw and 36% for SC Paderborn 07. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win FC Augsburg vs SC Paderborn 07?

A very open match: only 19 Elo points separate FC Augsburg (2,073) and SC Paderborn 07 (2,092).

FC Augsburg win40 %

Draw24 %

SC Paderborn 07 win36 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, FC Augsburg have 6 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats; SC Paderborn 07 have 7, 6 and 2.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

FC Augsburg
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Energie Cottbus(away)	2-0	DFB Pokal
Aug 15, 2026	Leeds(away)	0-4	Friendlies Clubs
Aug 8, 2026	Sassuolo(home)	3-2	Friendlies Clubs
Aug 5, 2026	Schwaz(away)	15-0	Friendlies Clubs
Jul 30, 2026	Bournemouth(home)	2-5	Friendlies Clubs

SC Paderborn 07
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 23, 2026	Phönix Lübeck(away)	4-2	DFB Pokal
Aug 8, 2026	Werder Bremen(away)	2-2	Friendlies Clubs
Aug 1, 2026	VfL Osnabrück(away)	2-0	Friendlies Clubs
May 25, 2026	VfL Wolfsburg(home)	2-1	Bundesliga
May 21, 2026	VfL Wolfsburg(away)	0-0	Bundesliga

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 4 meetings: 2 FC Augsburg win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 SC Paderborn 07 win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
May 27, 2020	FC Augsburg 0-0 SC Paderborn 07	Bundesliga
Nov 9, 2019	SC Paderborn 07 0-1 FC Augsburg	Bundesliga
Apr 11, 2015	SC Paderborn 07 2-1 FC Augsburg	Bundesliga
Nov 8, 2014	FC Augsburg 3-0 SC Paderborn 07	Bundesliga

Last archived meeting: FC Augsburg vs SC Paderborn 07 on May 27, 2020

How many goals should we expect?

FC Augsburg score 2.5 and concede 2.0 goals per match over their last 15; SC Paderborn 07 score 1.9 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 63% probability of over 2.5 goals and 65% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
FC Augsburg	2.5	2.0	2	10/15	10/15
SC Paderborn 07	1.9	1.5	4	11/15	9/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.

Final 2025-26 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
9	FC Augsburg	34	12	7	15	45	61	43

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for FC Augsburg vs SC Paderborn 07?: The Footlab model makes FC Augsburg the favourite at 40%, against 24% for a draw and 36% for SC Paderborn 07.
Where and when is FC Augsburg vs SC Paderborn 07 played?: FC Augsburg vs SC Paderborn 07 is played on December 19, 2026 at 02:30 PM (UTC) at WWK Arena, in the Bundesliga.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 63% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.