FC Augsburg vs SC Paderborn 07: prediction and stats
BundesligaRegular Season - 14Kick-off on December 19, 2026 at 02:30 PM (UTC)WWK Arena, Augsburg
The Footlab AI model makes FC Augsburg the favourite at 48%, against 23% for a draw and 29% for SC Paderborn 07. The most likely score is 1-1. If FC Augsburg wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,404 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 15, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win FC Augsburg vs SC Paderborn 07?
A very open match: only 23 Elo points separate FC Augsburg (2,118) and SC Paderborn 07 (2,095).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for FC Augsburg vs SC Paderborn 07
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
FC Augsburg
3-4-2-1- 9Rodrigo Ribeiro
- 16Hennes Behrens
- 4H. Massengo
- 19R. Fellhauer
- 32F. Rieder
- 21A. Ibrahimović
- 27M. Wolf
- 2C. Brackelmann
- 5C. Matsima
- 35Abdulay Bah
- 1F. Dahmen
SC Paderborn 07
3-5-2- 18M. Pieringer
- 30S. Marino
- 5S. Castañeda
- 40G. Vidović
- 23R. Obermair
- 17L. Curda
- 28L. Ulrich
- 21J. ter Horst
- 22M. Hansen
- 25T. Scheller
- 15N. Noll
Computed on October 15, 2026 at 08:11 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, FC Augsburg have 7 wins, 4 draws and 4 defeats; SC Paderborn 07 have 6, 4 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Bayern München(home) | 2-2 | Bundesliga |
| Oct 2, 2026 | Hertha BSC(home) | 2-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Werder Bremen(away) | 2-3 | Bundesliga |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Bayer Leverkusen(home) | 2-2 | Bundesliga |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Eintracht Frankfurt(away) | 4-1 | Bundesliga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | VfB Stuttgart(home) | 0-2 | Bundesliga |
| Sep 30, 2026 | DC United(away) | 1-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Sep 20, 2026 | 1899 Hoffenheim(home) | 3-1 | Bundesliga |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Borussia Dortmund(away) | 0-3 | Bundesliga |
| Sep 5, 2026 | SC Freiburg(home) | 0-1 | Bundesliga |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 2 FC Augsburg wins, 1 draw, 1 SC Paderborn 07 win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 27, 2020 | FC Augsburg 0-0 SC Paderborn 07 | Bundesliga |
| Nov 9, 2019 | SC Paderborn 07 0-1 FC Augsburg | Bundesliga |
| Apr 11, 2015 | SC Paderborn 07 2-1 FC Augsburg | Bundesliga |
| Nov 8, 2014 | FC Augsburg 3-0 SC Paderborn 07 | Bundesliga |
Last archived meeting: FC Augsburg vs SC Paderborn 07 on May 27, 2020
How many goals should we expect?
FC Augsburg score 2.9 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; SC Paderborn 07 score 1.4 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 66% probability of over 2.5 goals and 66% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FC Augsburg | 2.9 | 1.9 | 3 | 10/15 | 13/15 |
| SC Paderborn 07 | 1.4 | 1.5 | 5 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
FC Augsburg sit 6th in Bundesliga (8 points from 5 matches) and SC Paderborn 07 sit 15th (4 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | FC Augsburg | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 13 | 8 | 8 |
| 15 | SC Paderborn 07 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 4 |
A question about FC Augsburg vs SC Paderborn 07?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for FC Augsburg vs SC Paderborn 07?
- The Footlab AI model makes FC Augsburg the favourite at 48%, against 23% for a draw and 29% for SC Paderborn 07.
- Where and when is FC Augsburg vs SC Paderborn 07 played?
- FC Augsburg vs SC Paderborn 07 is played on December 19, 2026 at 02:30 PM (UTC) at WWK Arena, in the Bundesliga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 66% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
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