Where and when is Bayern München vs 1899 Hoffenheim played?

Bayern München vs 1899 Hoffenheim is played on April 17, 2027 at 01:30 PM (UTC) at Allianz Arena, in the Bundesliga.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 78% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Bayern München vs 1899 Hoffenheim: prediction and stats

BundesligaRegular Season - 30Kick-off on April 17, 2027 at 01:30 PM (UTC)Allianz Arena, München

Bayern München

1899 Hoffenheim

The Footlab model makes Bayern München the favourite at 72%, against 15% for a draw and 12% for 1899 Hoffenheim. The most likely score is 2-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Bayern München vs 1899 Hoffenheim?

Bayern München is a heavy favourite: 2,527 Elo points against 2,163 — a 364-point gap.

Bayern München win72 %

Draw15 %

1899 Hoffenheim win12 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Bayern München have 11 wins, 2 draws and 2 defeats; 1899 Hoffenheim have 7, 3 and 5.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Bayern München
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Borussia Dortmund(away)	2-1	Super Cup
Aug 18, 2026	1. FC Heidenheim(away)	4-2	Friendlies Clubs
Aug 15, 2026	RB Leipzig(home)	3-1	Friendlies Clubs
Aug 7, 2026	Aston Villa(home)	2-1	Friendlies Clubs
Aug 4, 2026	Jeju United FC(away)	2-1	Friendlies Clubs

1899 Hoffenheim
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Erzgebirge Aue(away)	4-0	DFB Pokal
Aug 16, 2026	Tottenham(away)	0-3	Friendlies Clubs
Aug 1, 2026	Karlsruher SC(home)	3-0	Friendlies Clubs
Jul 29, 2026	Holstein Kiel(home)	3-1	Friendlies Clubs
Jul 18, 2026	SGV Freiberg(away)	3-0	Friendlies Clubs

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 5 Bayern München win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 1899 Hoffenheim win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Feb 8, 2026	Bayern München 5-1 1899 Hoffenheim	Bundesliga
Sep 20, 2025	1899 Hoffenheim 1-4 Bayern München	Bundesliga
May 17, 2025	1899 Hoffenheim 0-4 Bayern München	Bundesliga
Jan 15, 2025	Bayern München 5-0 1899 Hoffenheim	Bundesliga
May 18, 2024	1899 Hoffenheim 4-2 Bayern München	Bundesliga
Jan 12, 2024	Bayern München 3-0 1899 Hoffenheim	Bundesliga

Last archived meeting: Bayern München vs 1899 Hoffenheim on Feb 8, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Bayern München score 2.7 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; 1899 Hoffenheim score 1.9 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 78% probability of over 2.5 goals and 67% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Bayern München	2.7	1.5	3	12/15	12/15
1899 Hoffenheim	1.9	1.9	4	8/15	13/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Bayern München sit 1st in Bundesliga (89 points from 34 matches) and 1899 Hoffenheim sit 5th (61 points from 34 matches).

The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.

Final 2025-26 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Bayern München	34	28	5	1	122	36	89
5	1899 Hoffenheim	34	18	7	9	65	52	61

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Bayern München vs 1899 Hoffenheim?: The Footlab model makes Bayern München the favourite at 72%, against 15% for a draw and 12% for 1899 Hoffenheim.
Where and when is Bayern München vs 1899 Hoffenheim played?: Bayern München vs 1899 Hoffenheim is played on April 17, 2027 at 01:30 PM (UTC) at Allianz Arena, in the Bundesliga.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 78% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.