Where and when is SV Elversberg vs SC Paderborn 07 played?

SV Elversberg vs SC Paderborn 07 is played on April 17, 2027 at 01:30 PM (UTC) at URSAPHARM-Arena an der Kaiserlinde, in the Bundesliga.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 66% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

SV Elversberg vs SC Paderborn 07: prediction and stats

BundesligaRegular Season - 30Kick-off on April 17, 2027 at 01:30 PM (UTC)URSAPHARM-Arena an der Kaiserlinde, Spiesen-Elversberg

SV Elversberg

SC Paderborn 07

The Footlab model makes SV Elversberg the favourite at 48%, against 23% for a draw and 29% for SC Paderborn 07. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win SV Elversberg vs SC Paderborn 07?

A very open match: only 6 Elo points separate SV Elversberg (2,098) and SC Paderborn 07 (2,092).

SV Elversberg win48 %

Draw23 %

SC Paderborn 07 win29 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, SV Elversberg have 8 wins, 4 draws and 3 defeats; SC Paderborn 07 have 7, 6 and 2.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

SV Elversberg
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	MSV Duisburg(away)	3-1	DFB Pokal
Aug 15, 2026	Lorient(home)	4-1	Friendlies Clubs
Aug 8, 2026	Mallorca(away)	1-1	Friendlies Clubs
Aug 4, 2026	Strasbourg(away)	5-2	Friendlies Clubs
Jul 25, 2026	NEC Nijmegen(away)	1-0	Friendlies Clubs

SC Paderborn 07
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 23, 2026	Phönix Lübeck(away)	4-2	DFB Pokal
Aug 8, 2026	Werder Bremen(away)	2-2	Friendlies Clubs
Aug 1, 2026	VfL Osnabrück(away)	2-0	Friendlies Clubs
May 25, 2026	VfL Wolfsburg(home)	2-1	Bundesliga
May 21, 2026	VfL Wolfsburg(away)	0-0	Bundesliga

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 3 SV Elversberg win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 SC Paderborn 07 win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
May 3, 2026	SV Elversberg 5-1 SC Paderborn 07	2. Bundesliga
Dec 6, 2025	SC Paderborn 07 1-2 SV Elversberg	2. Bundesliga
Apr 26, 2025	SC Paderborn 07 1-1 SV Elversberg	2. Bundesliga
Nov 30, 2024	SV Elversberg 1-3 SC Paderborn 07	2. Bundesliga
Apr 27, 2024	SC Paderborn 07 3-1 SV Elversberg	2. Bundesliga
Nov 25, 2023	SV Elversberg 4-1 SC Paderborn 07	2. Bundesliga

Last archived meeting: SV Elversberg vs SC Paderborn 07 on May 3, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

SV Elversberg score 2.5 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; SC Paderborn 07 score 1.9 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 66% probability of over 2.5 goals and 66% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
SV Elversberg	2.5	1.2	4	11/15	11/15
SC Paderborn 07	1.9	1.5	4	11/15	9/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for SV Elversberg vs SC Paderborn 07?: The Footlab model makes SV Elversberg the favourite at 48%, against 23% for a draw and 29% for SC Paderborn 07.
Where and when is SV Elversberg vs SC Paderborn 07 played?: SV Elversberg vs SC Paderborn 07 is played on April 17, 2027 at 01:30 PM (UTC) at URSAPHARM-Arena an der Kaiserlinde, in the Bundesliga.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 66% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.