Match

FC Schalke 04 vs Hamburger SV: prediction and stats

BundesligaRegular Season - 30Kick-off on April 17, 2027 at 01:30 PM (UTC)Arena AufSchalke, Gelsenkirchen

FC Schalke 04Hamburger SV

The Footlab AI model makes FC Schalke 04 the favourite at 48%, against 24% for a draw and 28% for Hamburger SV. The most likely score is 1-1. If FC Schalke 04 wins, the most likely score is 2-1.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 4,594 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Nov 5, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win FC Schalke 04 vs Hamburger SV?

A very open match: only 12 Elo points separate FC Schalke 04 (2,038) and Hamburger SV (2,050).

48%24%28%
FC Schalke 04 winDrawHamburger SV win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for FC Schalke 04 vs Hamburger SV

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

FC Schalke 04

3-4-2-1
  1. 7Hwang Hee-Chan
  1. 13S. Tanaka
  2. 24A. Aouchiche
  3. 20J. Adamu
  4. 19K. Karaman
  5. 33Vitalie Becker
  6. 43M. Ayhan
  1. 4H. Kuruçay
  2. 25N. Katić
  3. 5T. Becker
  1. 1L. Karius

Hamburger SV

3-4-2-1
  1. 9T. Moffi
  1. 3D. Møller Wolfe
  2. 5M. Adeline
  3. 28M. Muheim
  4. 6A. Sambi Lokonga
  5. 37L. Lemke
  6. 11A. Grønbæk
  1. 17W. Omari
  2. 43S. Nandja
  3. 33S. Bornauw
  1. 1Daniel Heuer Fernandes

Computed on November 5, 2026 at 11:01 PM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, FC Schalke 04 have 5 wins, 3 draws and 7 defeats; Hamburger SV have 6, 1 and 8.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

FC Schalke 04
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 31, 2026RB Leipzig(home)0-2Bundesliga
Oct 28, 2026Dynamo Dresden(away)0-2DFB Pokal
Oct 24, 20261. FC Köln(away)0-0Bundesliga
Oct 17, 2026FSV Mainz 05(home)0-1Bundesliga
Oct 11, 2026SC Freiburg(away)1-2Bundesliga
Hamburger SV
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Nov 1, 2026Eintracht Frankfurt(away)1-3Bundesliga
Oct 27, 2026Eintracht Frankfurt(home)1-3DFB Pokal
Oct 24, 2026SC Paderborn 07(away)0-1Bundesliga
Oct 17, 2026VfB Stuttgart(home)1-0Bundesliga
Oct 10, 20261899 Hoffenheim(away)3-2Bundesliga

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 0 FC Schalke 04 wins, 3 draws, 3 Hamburger SV wins.

DateScoreCompetition
Apr 19, 2025FC Schalke 04 2-2 Hamburger SV2. Bundesliga
Nov 23, 2024Hamburger SV 2-2 FC Schalke 042. Bundesliga
Jan 20, 2024FC Schalke 04 0-2 Hamburger SV2. Bundesliga
Jul 28, 2023Hamburger SV 5-3 FC Schalke 042. Bundesliga
Dec 18, 2021Hamburger SV 1-1 FC Schalke 042. Bundesliga
Jul 23, 2021FC Schalke 04 1-3 Hamburger SV2. Bundesliga

Last archived meeting: FC Schalke 04 vs Hamburger SV on Apr 19, 2025

How many goals should we expect?

FC Schalke 04 score 1.2 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Hamburger SV score 1.3 and concede 2.0. The model gives a 63% probability of over 2.5 goals and 64% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
FC Schalke 041.21.354/158/15
Hamburger SV1.32.038/1511/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

FC Schalke 04 sit 17th in Bundesliga (6 points from 8 matches) and Hamburger SV sit 15th (9 points from 8 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
15Hamburger SV83057199
17FC Schalke 048134496

A question about FC Schalke 04 vs Hamburger SV?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

Ask the AI a questionOpen the full match card in the app

Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for FC Schalke 04 vs Hamburger SV?
The Footlab AI model makes FC Schalke 04 the favourite at 48%, against 24% for a draw and 28% for Hamburger SV.
Where and when is FC Schalke 04 vs Hamburger SV played?
FC Schalke 04 vs Hamburger SV is played on April 17, 2027 at 01:30 PM (UTC) at Arena AufSchalke, in the Bundesliga.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 63% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

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