Where and when is SC Freiburg vs 1. FC Köln played?

SC Freiburg vs 1. FC Köln is played on May 8, 2027 at 01:30 PM (UTC) at Europa-Park Stadion, in the Bundesliga.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 65% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

SC Freiburg vs 1. FC Köln: prediction and stats

BundesligaRegular Season - 32Kick-off on May 8, 2027 at 01:30 PM (UTC)Europa-Park Stadion, Freiburg im Breisgau

SC Freiburg

1. FC Köln

The Footlab model makes SC Freiburg the favourite at 49%, against 23% for a draw and 27% for 1. FC Köln. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win SC Freiburg vs 1. FC Köln?

SC Freiburg starts as the favourite with a 144-point Elo edge (2,192 vs 2,048).

SC Freiburg win49 %

Draw23 %

1. FC Köln win27 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, SC Freiburg have 9 wins, 1 draws and 5 defeats; 1. FC Köln have 4, 6 and 5.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

SC Freiburg
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 23, 2026	Fortuna Düsseldorf(away)	5-1	DFB Pokal
Aug 20, 2026	Motherwell(away)	3-1	UEFA Europa Conference League
Aug 15, 2026	Crystal Palace(home)	3-0	Friendlies Clubs
Aug 8, 2026	Strasbourg(home)	2-0	Friendlies Clubs
Jul 24, 2026	Derby(home)	3-1	Friendlies Clubs

1. FC Köln
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 24, 2026	Würzburger Kickers(away)	2-1	DFB Pokal
Aug 8, 2026	Real Sociedad(home)	2-1	Friendlies Clubs
Jul 31, 2026	Hertha BSC(home)	2-2	Friendlies Clubs
Jul 23, 2026	Bergisch Gladbach(away)	8-0	Friendlies Clubs
May 16, 2026	Bayern München(away)	1-5	Bundesliga

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 4 SC Freiburg win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 1. FC Köln win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Jan 25, 2026	SC Freiburg 2-1 1. FC Köln	Bundesliga
Aug 31, 2025	1. FC Köln 4-1 SC Freiburg	Bundesliga
May 4, 2024	1. FC Köln 0-0 SC Freiburg	Bundesliga
Dec 17, 2023	SC Freiburg 2-0 1. FC Köln	Bundesliga
Apr 29, 2023	1. FC Köln 0-1 SC Freiburg	Bundesliga
Nov 6, 2022	SC Freiburg 2-0 1. FC Köln	Bundesliga

Last archived meeting: SC Freiburg vs 1. FC Köln on Jan 25, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

SC Freiburg score 2.2 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; 1. FC Köln score 2.0 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 65% probability of over 2.5 goals and 65% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
SC Freiburg	2.2	1.5	2	11/15	13/15
1. FC Köln	2.0	1.9	1	13/15	12/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

SC Freiburg sit 7th in Bundesliga (47 points from 34 matches) and 1. FC Köln sit 14th (32 points from 34 matches).

The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.

Final 2025-26 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
7	SC Freiburg	34	13	8	13	51	57	47
14	1. FC Köln	34	7	11	16	49	63	32

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for SC Freiburg vs 1. FC Köln?: The Footlab model makes SC Freiburg the favourite at 49%, against 23% for a draw and 27% for 1. FC Köln.
Where and when is SC Freiburg vs 1. FC Köln played?: SC Freiburg vs 1. FC Köln is played on May 8, 2027 at 01:30 PM (UTC) at Europa-Park Stadion, in the Bundesliga.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 65% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.