Be1 NFA vs Neptūną Klaipėda: prediction and stats
1 LygaRegular Season - 27Kick-off on October 16, 2026 at 03:30 PM (UTC)Jonavos dirbtinės dangos stadionas, Jonava
The Footlab model makes Neptūną Klaipėda the favourite at 40%, against 27% for a draw and 33% for Be1 NFA. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Be1 NFA vs Neptūną Klaipėda?
A very open match: only 80 Elo points separate Be1 NFA (1,381) and Neptūną Klaipėda (1,462).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Be1 NFA have 9 wins, 0 draws and 6 defeats; Neptūną Klaipėda have 10, 1 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Garliava(home) | 2-0 | 1 Lyga |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Hegelmann II(home) | 2-1 | 1 Lyga |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Minija(away) | 0-3 | 1 Lyga |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Jonava(home) | 0-2 | 1 Lyga |
| Jul 26, 2026 | BFA(away) | 1-3 | 1 Lyga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | BFA(away) | 0-2 | 1 Lyga |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Babrungas(home) | 0-4 | 1 Lyga |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Tauras(away) | 2-0 | 1 Lyga |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Garliava(away) | 1-0 | 1 Lyga |
| Jul 25, 2026 | FA Šiauliai II(home) | 2-1 | 1 Lyga |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Be1 NFA win(s), 2 draw(s), 4 Neptūną Klaipėda win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 30, 2026 | Neptūną Klaipėda 1-0 Be1 NFA | 1 Lyga |
| Aug 15, 2025 | Be1 NFA 0-4 Neptūną Klaipėda | 1 Lyga |
| Apr 18, 2025 | Neptūną Klaipėda 3-0 Be1 NFA | 1 Lyga |
| Oct 18, 2024 | Neptūną Klaipėda 4-1 Be1 NFA | 1 Lyga |
| May 31, 2024 | Be1 NFA 1-1 Neptūną Klaipėda | 1 Lyga |
| Oct 21, 2023 | Neptūną Klaipėda 1-1 Be1 NFA | 1 Lyga |
Last archived meeting: Neptūną Klaipėda vs Be1 NFA on May 30, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Be1 NFA score 1.3 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Neptūną Klaipėda score 1.5 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 50% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Be1 NFA | 1.3 | 1.1 | 5 | 5/15 | 6/15 |
| Neptūną Klaipėda | 1.5 | 1.2 | 5 | 7/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Be1 NFA sit 4th in 1 Lyga (38 points from 20 matches) and Neptūną Klaipėda sit 5th (38 points from 21 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Be1 NFA | 20 | 12 | 2 | 6 | 33 | 24 | 38 |
| 5 | Neptūną Klaipėda | 21 | 12 | 2 | 7 | 27 | 26 | 38 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Be1 NFA vs Neptūną Klaipėda?
- The Footlab model makes Neptūną Klaipėda the favourite at 40%, against 27% for a draw and 33% for Be1 NFA.
- Where and when is Be1 NFA vs Neptūną Klaipėda played?
- Be1 NFA vs Neptūną Klaipėda is played on October 16, 2026 at 03:30 PM (UTC) at Jonavos dirbtinės dangos stadionas, in the 1 Lyga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 50% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.