Ekranas vs Dainava: prediction and stats
1 LygaRegular Season - 27Kick-off on October 16, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Žemynos progimnazijos stadionas, Panevėžys
The Footlab model makes Dainava the favourite at 64%, against 21% for a draw and 15% for Ekranas. The most likely score is 0-2.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Ekranas vs Dainava?
Dainava is a heavy favourite: 1,484 Elo points against 1,175 — a 308-point gap.
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Ekranas have 3 wins, 2 draws and 10 defeats; Dainava have 9, 4 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Hegelmann II(away) | 2-3 | 1 Lyga |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Minija(home) | 0-5 | 1 Lyga |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Jonava(away) | 2-1 | 1 Lyga |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Žalgiris II(home) | 1-1 | 1 Lyga |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Babrungas(away) | 0-2 | 1 Lyga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Atmosfera(home) | 1-1 | 1 Lyga |
| Aug 15, 2026 | BFA(home) | 0-0 | 1 Lyga |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Babrungas(home) | 2-1 | 1 Lyga |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Tauras(home) | 1-1 | 1 Lyga |
| Jul 28, 2026 | Transinvest 2(home) | 3-1 | 1 Lyga |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Ekranas win(s), 0 draw(s), 2 Dainava win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 29, 2026 | Dainava 2-0 Ekranas | 1 Lyga |
| Aug 12, 2022 | Dainava 2-1 Ekranas | 1 Lyga |
| Apr 1, 2022 | Ekranas 2-0 Dainava | 1 Lyga |
| Sep 25, 2014 | Ekranas 2-1 Dainava | A Lyga |
| Jul 27, 2014 | Dainava 1-2 Ekranas | A Lyga |
| May 3, 2014 | Ekranas 6-0 Dainava | A Lyga |
How many goals should we expect?
Ekranas score 1.1 and concede 2.1 goals per match over their last 15; Dainava score 1.7 and concede 0.8. The model gives a 60% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ekranas | 1.1 | 2.1 | 2 | 9/15 | 11/15 |
| Dainava | 1.7 | 0.8 | 7 | 8/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Ekranas sit 16th in 1 Lyga (11 points from 21 matches) and Dainava sit 6th (36 points from 20 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Dainava | 20 | 10 | 6 | 4 | 33 | 19 | 36 |
| 16 | Ekranas | 21 | 3 | 2 | 16 | 21 | 45 | 11 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Ekranas vs Dainava?
- The Footlab model makes Dainava the favourite at 64%, against 21% for a draw and 15% for Ekranas.
- Where and when is Ekranas vs Dainava played?
- Ekranas vs Dainava is played on October 16, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Žemynos progimnazijos stadionas, in the 1 Lyga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 60% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.