Žalgiris II vs Atmosfera: prediction and stats
1 LygaRegular Season - 27Kick-off on October 17, 2026 at 12:30 PM (UTC)Vilniaus LFF stadionas, Vilnius
The Footlab AI model makes Žalgiris II the favourite at 45%, against 26% for a draw and 29% for Atmosfera. The most likely score is 1-1. If Žalgiris II wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,365 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 13, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Žalgiris II vs Atmosfera?
A very open match: only 11 Elo points separate Žalgiris II (1,390) and Atmosfera (1,379).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Žalgiris II vs Atmosfera
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Žalgiris II
4-3-3- 33N. Klimavičius
- 27V. Berenta
- 42K. LukaševiÄ
- 70M. Valukonis
- 28U. Simonavičius
- 29K. Bicka
- 3D. Aleksa
- 25V. Pavilonis
- 60T. Baksys
- 35G. Mikelaitis
- 95D. Cekavicius
Atmosfera
4-3-3- 14E. Gritkus
- 19K. Seki
- 17M. Fujiyoshi
- 67M. Vasiliauskas
- 8K. Kitazawa
- 6A. Pilipavicius
- 11D. Gineitis
- 15M. Bawa
- 5D. Petrauskas
- 66M. Stasys
- 1L. Juska
Computed on October 13, 2026 at 12:57 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Žalgiris II have 11 wins, 1 draw and 3 defeats; Atmosfera have 4, 5 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 9, 2026 | BFA(away) | 2-1 | 1 Lyga |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Babrungas(home) | 0-1 | 1 Lyga |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Tauras(away) | 1-0 | 1 Lyga |
| Sep 7, 2026 | Neptūną Klaipėda(home) | 1-0 | 1 Lyga |
| Aug 28, 2026 | Dainava(away) | 1-0 | 1 Lyga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Garliava(away) | 0-0 | 1 Lyga |
| Sep 19, 2026 | BFA(home) | 1-1 | 1 Lyga |
| Sep 11, 2026 | Babrungas(away) | 2-3 | 1 Lyga |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Tauras(home) | 3-1 | 1 Lyga |
| Aug 29, 2026 | Neptūną Klaipėda(away) | 1-3 | 1 Lyga |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Žalgiris II win, 3 draws, 2 Atmosfera wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 30, 2026 | Atmosfera 2-0 Žalgiris II | 1 Lyga |
| Aug 23, 2025 | Atmosfera 5-0 Žalgiris II | 1 Lyga |
| Apr 26, 2025 | Žalgiris II 2-1 Atmosfera | 1 Lyga |
| Aug 27, 2022 | Žalgiris II 4-4 Atmosfera | 1 Lyga |
| Apr 15, 2022 | Atmosfera 1-1 Žalgiris II | 1 Lyga |
| Aug 13, 2021 | Atmosfera 3-3 Žalgiris II | 1 Lyga |
Last archived meeting: Atmosfera vs Žalgiris II on May 30, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Žalgiris II score 1.7 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Atmosfera score 1.3 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 55% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Žalgiris II | 1.7 | 0.9 | 5 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
| Atmosfera | 1.3 | 1.3 | 2 | 10/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Žalgiris II sit 4th in 1 Lyga (46 points from 26 matches) and Atmosfera sit 9th (31 points from 25 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Žalgiris II | 26 | 14 | 4 | 8 | 40 | 33 | 46 |
| 9 | Atmosfera | 25 | 8 | 7 | 10 | 37 | 33 | 31 |
A question about Žalgiris II vs Atmosfera?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Žalgiris II vs Atmosfera?
- The Footlab AI model makes Žalgiris II the favourite at 45%, against 26% for a draw and 29% for Atmosfera.
- Where and when is Žalgiris II vs Atmosfera played?
- Žalgiris II vs Atmosfera is played on October 17, 2026 at 12:30 PM (UTC) at Vilniaus LFF stadionas, in the 1 Lyga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 55% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.