FA Šiauliai II vs Garliava: prediction and stats
1 LygaRegular Season - 27Kick-off on October 17, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Šiaulių Gytarių stadionas, Šiauliai
The Footlab model makes Garliava the favourite at 41%, against 28% for a draw and 31% for FA Šiauliai II. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win FA Šiauliai II vs Garliava?
A very open match: only 67 Elo points separate FA Šiauliai II (1,195) and Garliava (1,262).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, FA Šiauliai II have 3 wins, 3 draws and 9 defeats; Garliava have 4, 2 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Jonava(away) | 1-0 | 1 Lyga |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Žalgiris II(home) | 1-4 | 1 Lyga |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Atmosfera(away) | 1-1 | 1 Lyga |
| Aug 2, 2026 | BFA(home) | 1-0 | 1 Lyga |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Neptūną Klaipėda(away) | 1-2 | 1 Lyga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Be1 NFA(away) | 0-2 | 1 Lyga |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Tauras(home) | 0-1 | 1 Lyga |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Hegelmann II(away) | 1-3 | 1 Lyga |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Neptūną Klaipėda(home) | 0-1 | 1 Lyga |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Jonava(away) | 0-1 | 1 Lyga |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 FA Šiauliai II win(s), 3 draw(s), 2 Garliava win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 29, 2026 | Garliava 1-1 FA Šiauliai II | 1 Lyga |
| Aug 2, 2024 | Garliava 2-4 FA Šiauliai II | 1 Lyga |
| Mar 9, 2024 | FA Šiauliai II 0-0 Garliava | 1 Lyga |
| Oct 7, 2023 | FA Šiauliai II 3-3 Garliava | 1 Lyga |
| May 20, 2023 | Garliava 3-0 FA Šiauliai II | 1 Lyga |
| Jul 9, 2022 | FA Šiauliai II 0-3 Garliava | 1 Lyga |
Last archived meeting: Garliava vs FA Šiauliai II on May 29, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
FA Šiauliai II score 1.0 and concede 2.1 goals per match over their last 15; Garliava score 1.1 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 48% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FA Šiauliai II | 1.0 | 2.1 | 3 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
| Garliava | 1.1 | 1.2 | 2 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
FA Šiauliai II sit 14th in 1 Lyga (14 points from 21 matches) and Garliava sit 11th (22 points from 20 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Garliava | 20 | 6 | 4 | 10 | 23 | 22 | 22 |
| 14 | FA Šiauliai II | 21 | 3 | 5 | 13 | 19 | 45 | 14 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for FA Šiauliai II vs Garliava?
- The Footlab model makes Garliava the favourite at 41%, against 28% for a draw and 31% for FA Šiauliai II.
- Where and when is FA Šiauliai II vs Garliava played?
- FA Šiauliai II vs Garliava is played on October 17, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Šiaulių Gytarių stadionas, in the 1 Lyga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 48% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.