Belarus U17 vs Slovenia U17: prediction and stats
UEFA U17 Championship - QualificationGroup Stage - 1Kick-off on October 16, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)
The Footlab model makes Slovenia U17 the favourite at 39%, against 24% for a draw and 37% for Belarus U17. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Belarus U17 vs Slovenia U17?
Slovenia U17 starts as the favourite with a 144-point Elo edge (1,595 vs 1,450).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Belarus U17 have 6 wins, 1 draws and 8 defeats; Slovenia U17 have 7, 4 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 31, 2026 | Netherlands U17(away) | 1-2 | UEFA U17 Championship - Qualification |
| Mar 28, 2026 | Kosovo U17(home) | 1-0 | UEFA U17 Championship - Qualification |
| Oct 14, 2025 | Moldova U17(away) | 6-0 | UEFA U17 Championship - Qualification |
| Oct 11, 2025 | Belgium U17(away) | 0-6 | UEFA U17 Championship - Qualification |
| Oct 8, 2025 | Norway U17(home) | 3-4 | UEFA U17 Championship - Qualification |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 31, 2026 | North Macedonia U17(away) | 4-0 | UEFA U17 Championship - Qualification |
| Mar 28, 2026 | Germany U17(away) | 1-1 | UEFA U17 Championship - Qualification |
| Mar 25, 2026 | France U17(home) | 0-2 | UEFA U17 Championship - Qualification |
| Nov 18, 2025 | Portugal U17(home) | 2-4 | UEFA U17 Championship - Qualification |
| Nov 15, 2025 | Liechtenstein U17(home) | 5-0 | UEFA U17 Championship - Qualification |
How many goals should we expect?
Belarus U17 score 1.6 and concede 2.0 goals per match over their last 15; Slovenia U17 score 1.8 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 67% probability of over 2.5 goals and 68% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Belarus U17 | 1.6 | 2.0 | 6 | 6/15 | 10/15 |
| Slovenia U17 | 1.8 | 1.2 | 5 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Belarus U17 sit 3rd in UEFA U17 Championship - Qualification (3 points from 3 matches) and Slovenia U17 sit 2nd (6 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Slovenia U17 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 5 | 6 |
| 3 | Belarus U17 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 10 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Belarus U17 vs Slovenia U17?
- The Footlab model makes Slovenia U17 the favourite at 39%, against 24% for a draw and 37% for Belarus U17.
- Where and when is Belarus U17 vs Slovenia U17 played?
- Belarus U17 vs Slovenia U17 is played on October 16, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC), in the UEFA U17 Championship - Qualification.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 67% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Sep 23, 2026Iceland U17vsGibraltar U17
- Sep 23, 2026Bosnia-Herzegovina U17vsGreece U17
- Sep 26, 2026Greece U17vsGibraltar U17
- Sep 26, 2026Iceland U17vsBosnia-Herzegovina U17
- Sep 29, 2026Gibraltar U17vsBosnia-Herzegovina U17
- Sep 29, 2026Greece U17vsIceland U17
- Oct 12, 2026Israel U17vsSwitzerland U17
- Oct 12, 2026Spain U17vsLiechtenstein U17