Match

Belarus U17 vs Slovenia U17: prediction and stats

UEFA U17 Championship - QualificationGroup Stage - 1Kick-off on October 16, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)

Belarus U17Slovenia U17

The Footlab model makes Slovenia U17 the favourite at 39%, against 24% for a draw and 37% for Belarus U17. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Belarus U17 vs Slovenia U17?

Slovenia U17 starts as the favourite with a 144-point Elo edge (1,595 vs 1,450).

Belarus U17 win37 %
Draw24 %
Slovenia U17 win39 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Belarus U17 have 6 wins, 1 draws and 8 defeats; Slovenia U17 have 7, 4 and 4.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Belarus U17
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Mar 31, 2026Netherlands U17(away)1-2UEFA U17 Championship - Qualification
Mar 28, 2026Kosovo U17(home)1-0UEFA U17 Championship - Qualification
Oct 14, 2025Moldova U17(away)6-0UEFA U17 Championship - Qualification
Oct 11, 2025Belgium U17(away)0-6UEFA U17 Championship - Qualification
Oct 8, 2025Norway U17(home)3-4UEFA U17 Championship - Qualification
Slovenia U17
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Mar 31, 2026North Macedonia U17(away)4-0UEFA U17 Championship - Qualification
Mar 28, 2026Germany U17(away)1-1UEFA U17 Championship - Qualification
Mar 25, 2026France U17(home)0-2UEFA U17 Championship - Qualification
Nov 18, 2025Portugal U17(home)2-4UEFA U17 Championship - Qualification
Nov 15, 2025Liechtenstein U17(home)5-0UEFA U17 Championship - Qualification

How many goals should we expect?

Belarus U17 score 1.6 and concede 2.0 goals per match over their last 15; Slovenia U17 score 1.8 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 67% probability of over 2.5 goals and 68% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Belarus U171.62.066/1510/15
Slovenia U171.81.259/159/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Belarus U17 sit 3rd in UEFA U17 Championship - Qualification (3 points from 3 matches) and Slovenia U17 sit 2nd (6 points from 3 matches).

2025-26 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
2Slovenia U173201956
3Belarus U1731029103

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Belarus U17 vs Slovenia U17?
The Footlab model makes Slovenia U17 the favourite at 39%, against 24% for a draw and 37% for Belarus U17.
Where and when is Belarus U17 vs Slovenia U17 played?
Belarus U17 vs Slovenia U17 is played on October 16, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC), in the UEFA U17 Championship - Qualification.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 67% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Belarus U17 and Slovenia U17

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