Belarus vs Albania: prediction and stats
UEFA Nations League6Kick-off on November 15, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Natsional'nyy Futbol'nyy Stadion, Minsk
The Footlab AI model makes Albania the favourite at 44%, against 28% for a draw and 28% for Belarus. The most likely score is 1-1. If Albania wins, the most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 1,754 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 8, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Belarus vs Albania?
A very open match: only 86 Elo points separate Belarus (1,430) and Albania (1,515).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Belarus vs Albania
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Belarus
4-2-3-1- 11G. Barkovskiy
- 9M. Ebong
- 8A. Selyava
- 7A. Shumanskiy
- 19A. Lukashov
- 10V. Gromyko
- 20Z. Volkov
- 2K. Pechenin
- 13K. Gomanov
- 5V. Kalinin
- 21F. Lapoukhov
Albania
4-3-3- 7R. Manaj
- 10E. Muçi
- 21A. Hoxha
- 8K. Asllani
- 22S. Pilios
- 16J. Shehu
- 6B. Djimsiti
- 18A. Ismajli
- 3M. Mitaj
- 4E. Hysaj
- 1E. Berisha
Computed on October 8, 2026 at 10:17 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Belarus have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; Albania have 8, 1 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 6, 2026 | Finland(home) | 1-0 | UEFA Nations League |
| Oct 3, 2026 | San Marino(home) | 4-0 | UEFA Nations League |
| Sep 29, 2026 | Finland(away) | 0-0 | UEFA Nations League |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Albania(away) | 0-2 | UEFA Nations League |
| Jun 9, 2026 | Burkina Faso(home) | 2-2 | Friendlies |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 6, 2026 | San Marino(home) | 2-1 | UEFA Nations League |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Finland(away) | 1-2 | UEFA Nations League |
| Sep 29, 2026 | San Marino(away) | 3-0 | UEFA Nations League |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Belarus(home) | 2-0 | UEFA Nations League |
| Jun 6, 2026 | Luxembourg(home) | 0-1 | Friendlies |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 0 Belarus wins, 0 draws, 3 Albania wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 26, 2026 | Albania 2-0 Belarus | UEFA Nations League |
| Nov 18, 2020 | Albania 3-2 Belarus | UEFA Nations League |
| Sep 4, 2020 | Belarus 0-2 Albania | UEFA Nations League |
How many goals should we expect?
Belarus score 1.3 and concede 1.8 goals per match over their last 15; Albania score 1.2 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 48% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Belarus | 1.3 | 1.8 | 5 | 7/15 | 9/15 |
| Albania | 1.2 | 0.9 | 6 | 5/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Belarus sit 2nd in UEFA Nations League (7 points from 4 matches) and Albania sit 1st (9 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Albania | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 3 | 9 |
| 2 | Belarus | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 7 |
A question about Belarus vs Albania?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Belarus vs Albania?
- The Footlab AI model makes Albania the favourite at 44%, against 28% for a draw and 28% for Belarus.
- Where and when is Belarus vs Albania played?
- Belarus vs Albania is played on November 15, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Natsional'nyy Futbol'nyy Stadion, in the UEFA Nations League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 48% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.