Kazakhstan vs Slovakia: prediction and stats
UEFA Nations League6Kick-off on November 16, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)TBC (Turkey), TBC
The Footlab AI model makes Slovakia the favourite at 48%, against 26% for a draw and 26% for Kazakhstan. The most likely score is 1-1. If Slovakia wins, the most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 1,754 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 8, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Kazakhstan vs Slovakia?
Slovakia starts as the favourite with a 190-point Elo edge (1,567 vs 1,377).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Kazakhstan vs Slovakia
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Kazakhstan
4-2-3-1- 19R. Karimov
- 9B. Islamkhan
- 5I. Kuat
- 18D. Karaman
- 13S. Basmanov
- 7G. Kenzhebek
- 3N. Alip
- 23T. Erlanov
- 14N. Zhagorov
- 11Y. Vorogovskiy
- 12T. Anarbekov
Slovakia
4-3-3- 15D. Strelec
- 17L. Haraslín
- 7L. Sauer
- 10T. Suslov
- 22S. Lobotka
- 8O. Duda
- 14M. Škriniar
- 21A. Obert
- 16D. Hancko
- 2I. Mesík
- 23D. Greif
Computed on October 8, 2026 at 06:59 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Kazakhstan have 3 wins, 5 draws and 7 defeats; Slovakia have 9, 2 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 6, 2026 | Faroe Islands(home) | 2-2 | UEFA Nations League |
| Oct 2, 2026 | Moldova(home) | 1-2 | UEFA Nations League |
| Sep 29, 2026 | Slovakia(away) | 1-2 | UEFA Nations League |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Faroe Islands(away) | 1-1 | UEFA Nations League |
| Jun 9, 2026 | Hungary(away) | 1-3 | Friendlies |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 6, 2026 | Moldova(away) | 4-0 | UEFA Nations League |
| Oct 2, 2026 | Faroe Islands(away) | 1-1 | UEFA Nations League |
| Sep 29, 2026 | Kazakhstan(home) | 2-1 | UEFA Nations League |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Moldova(home) | 2-0 | UEFA Nations League |
| Jun 5, 2026 | Montenegro(home) | 2-2 | Friendlies |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 2 Kazakhstan wins, 0 draws, 1 Slovakia win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 29, 2026 | Slovakia 2-1 Kazakhstan | UEFA Nations League |
| Jun 13, 2022 | Kazakhstan 2-1 Slovakia | UEFA Nations League |
| Jun 6, 2022 | Slovakia 0-1 Kazakhstan | UEFA Nations League |
Last archived meeting: Slovakia vs Kazakhstan on Sep 29, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Kazakhstan score 1.1 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Slovakia score 1.6 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 51% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kazakhstan | 1.1 | 1.5 | 3 | 8/15 | 6/15 |
| Slovakia | 1.6 | 1.2 | 7 | 5/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Kazakhstan sit 4th in UEFA Nations League (2 points from 4 matches) and Slovakia sit 1st (10 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Slovakia | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 2 | 10 |
| 4 | Kazakhstan | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 2 |
A question about Kazakhstan vs Slovakia?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Kazakhstan vs Slovakia?
- The Footlab AI model makes Slovakia the favourite at 48%, against 26% for a draw and 26% for Kazakhstan.
- Where and when is Kazakhstan vs Slovakia played?
- Kazakhstan vs Slovakia is played on November 16, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at TBC (Turkey), in the UEFA Nations League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 51% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.