Kazakhstan vs Slovakia: prediction and stats
UEFA Nations League6Kick-off on November 16, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)TBC (Turkey), TBC
The Footlab model makes Kazakhstan the favourite at 40%, against 28% for a draw and 32% for Slovakia. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Kazakhstan vs Slovakia?
Slovakia starts as the favourite with a 156-point Elo edge (1,554 vs 1,398).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Kazakhstan have 5 wins, 3 draws and 7 defeats; Slovakia have 7, 2 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 9, 2026 | Hungary(away) | 1-3 | Friendlies |
| Jun 6, 2026 | Armenia(away) | 1-1 | Friendlies |
| Mar 31, 2026 | Comoros(home) | 1-0 | FIFA Series |
| Mar 25, 2026 | Namibia(home) | 2-0 | FIFA Series |
| Nov 18, 2025 | Faroe Islands(away) | 0-1 | Friendlies |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 5, 2026 | Montenegro(home) | 2-2 | Friendlies |
| Jun 1, 2026 | Malta(home) | 2-1 | Friendlies |
| Mar 31, 2026 | Romania(home) | 2-0 | Friendlies |
| Mar 26, 2026 | Kosovo(home) | 3-4 | World Cup - Qualification Europe |
| Nov 17, 2025 | Germany(away) | 0-6 | World Cup - Qualification Europe |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 2 Kazakhstan win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 Slovakia win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jun 13, 2022 | Kazakhstan 2-1 Slovakia | UEFA Nations League |
| Jun 6, 2022 | Slovakia 0-1 Kazakhstan | UEFA Nations League |
Last archived meeting: Kazakhstan vs Slovakia on Jun 13, 2022
How many goals should we expect?
Kazakhstan score 1.1 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Slovakia score 1.1 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 47% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kazakhstan | 1.1 | 1.5 | 5 | 6/15 | 5/15 |
| Slovakia | 1.1 | 1.4 | 7 | 4/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Kazakhstan vs Slovakia?
- The Footlab model makes Kazakhstan the favourite at 40%, against 28% for a draw and 32% for Slovakia.
- Where and when is Kazakhstan vs Slovakia played?
- Kazakhstan vs Slovakia is played on November 16, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at TBC (Turkey), in the UEFA Nations League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 47% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.