Latvia vs Armenia: prediction and stats
UEFA Nations League6Kick-off on November 15, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Stadions Skonto, Riga
The Footlab AI model makes Latvia the favourite at 37%, against 28% for a draw and 35% for Armenia. The most likely score is 1-1. If Latvia wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 1,754 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 8, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Latvia vs Armenia?
A very open match: only 55 Elo points separate Latvia (1,282) and Armenia (1,337).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Latvia vs Armenia
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Latvia
5-4-1- 9V. Gutkovskis
- 10L. Vapne
- 15D. Zelenkovs
- 7E. Dašķevičs
- 17M. Strods
- 14A. Cigaņiks
- 21D. Meļņiks
- 4O. Vientiess
- 5A. Černomordijs
- 3D. Cirkin
- 23R. Matrevics
Armenia
4-2-3-1- 18A. Miranyan
- 8K. Hovhannisyan
- 9A. Serobyan
- 6U. Iwu
- 14G. Manvelyan
- 10E. Spertsyan
- 21N. Tiknizyan
- 4G. Harutyunyan
- 3E. Piloyan
- 22E. Simonyan
- 12A. Beglaryan
Computed on October 8, 2026 at 09:44 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Latvia have 2 wins, 5 draws and 8 defeats; Armenia have 2, 4 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 5, 2026 | Cyprus(away) | 1-2 | UEFA Nations League |
| Oct 2, 2026 | Montenegro(home) | 1-2 | UEFA Nations League |
| Sep 28, 2026 | Cyprus(home) | 0-0 | UEFA Nations League |
| Sep 25, 2026 | Armenia(away) | 0-2 | UEFA Nations League |
| Jun 9, 2026 | Faroe Islands(home) | 0-1 | Baltic Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 5, 2026 | Montenegro(away) | 0-0 | UEFA Nations League |
| Oct 2, 2026 | Cyprus(away) | 0-2 | UEFA Nations League |
| Sep 28, 2026 | Montenegro(home) | 2-3 | UEFA Nations League |
| Sep 25, 2026 | Latvia(home) | 2-0 | UEFA Nations League |
| Jun 9, 2026 | Moldova(home) | 1-1 | Friendlies |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 1 Latvia win, 0 draws, 4 Armenia wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 25, 2026 | Armenia 2-0 Latvia | UEFA Nations League |
| Nov 17, 2024 | Latvia 1-2 Armenia | UEFA Nations League |
| Sep 7, 2024 | Armenia 4-1 Latvia | UEFA Nations League |
| Oct 12, 2023 | Latvia 2-0 Armenia | Euro Championship - Qualification |
| Jun 19, 2023 | Armenia 2-1 Latvia | Euro Championship - Qualification |
How many goals should we expect?
Latvia score 0.6 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Armenia score 0.9 and concede 2.3. The model gives a 48% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Latvia | 0.6 | 1.3 | 4 | 6/15 | 5/15 |
| Armenia | 0.9 | 2.3 | 2 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Latvia sit 4th in UEFA Nations League (1 point from 4 matches) and Armenia sit 3rd (4 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Armenia | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 4 |
| 4 | Latvia | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 1 |
A question about Latvia vs Armenia?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Latvia vs Armenia?
- The Footlab AI model makes Latvia the favourite at 37%, against 28% for a draw and 35% for Armenia.
- Where and when is Latvia vs Armenia played?
- Latvia vs Armenia is played on November 15, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Stadions Skonto, in the UEFA Nations League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 48% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.